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1.  Age, family history, and memory and future risk for cognitive impairment 
Purpose
To provide a clinical tool for calculating a patient's future risk for developing cognitive impairment based on age, family history, and AVLT retention.
Participants
1019 cognitively normal persons followed for an average of 5 years. 159 participants were eventually diagnosed with cognitive impairment.
Results
Risk of developing cognitive impairment increases with age and family history, but decreases with better memory performance. A nomogram is provided for calculation of relative risk of developing cognitive impairment in combinations of age, family history, and memory performance.
Conclusions
These results enhance clinicians' ability to provide information to a patient about risk of cognitive impairment.
doi:10.1080/13803390802020443
PMCID: PMC2750804  PMID: 18608678
cognitive decline; dementia; risk; AVLT; family history

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