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1.  The Risk of Infection-Related Hospitalization With Decreased Kidney Function 
Background
Moderate kidney disease may predispose to infection. We sought to determine whether decreased kidney function, as estimated by serum cystatin C, was associated with the risk of infection-related hospitalization in older individuals.
Study Design
Cohort Study.
Setting & Participants
5,142 Cardiovascular Health Study participants with measured serum creatinine and cystatin C and without eGFR <15 ml/min/1.73 m2 at enrollment.
Predictor
The primary exposure of interest was estimated glomerular filtration rate using serum cystatin C (eGFRSCysC).
Outcome
Infection-related hospitalizations during a median follow-up of 11.5 years.
Results
In adjusted analyses, eGFRSCysC categories of 60–89, 45–59, and 15–44 ml/min/1.73 m2 were associated with 16%, 37%, and 64% greater risk of all-cause infection-related hospitalization, respectively, compared with an eGFRSCysC ≥90 ml/min/1.73 m2. When cause specific infection was examined, an eGFRSCysC of 15–44 ml/min/1.73 m2 was associated with an 80% greater risk of pulmonary and 160% greater risk of genitourinary infection compared with an eGFRSCysC ≥90 ml/min/1.73 m2.
Limitations
No measures of urinary protein, study limited to principal discharge diagnosis.
Conclusions
Lower kidney function, estimated using cystatin C, was associated with a linear and graded risk of infection-related hospitalization. These findings highlight that even moderate degrees of reduced kidney function are associated with clinically significant higher risks of serious infection in older individuals.
doi:10.1053/j.ajkd.2011.07.012
PMCID: PMC3288732  PMID: 21906862
renal disease; chronic kidney disease; infection; clinical epidemiology
2.  Seasonal Variation in 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Concentrations in the Cardiovascular Health Study 
American Journal of Epidemiology  2011;174(12):1363-1372.
Low circulating concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) are associated with adverse health outcomes in diverse populations. However, 25(OH)D concentrations vary seasonally with varying exposure to sunlight, so single measurements may poorly reflect long-term 25(OH)D exposure. The authors investigated cyclical trends in average serum 25(OH)D concentrations among 2,298 individuals enrolled in the Cardiovascular Health Study of community-based older adults (1992–1993). A sinusoidal model closely approximated observed 25(OH)D concentrations and fit the data significantly better than did a mean model (P < 0.0001). The mean annual 25(OH)D concentration was 25.1 ng/mL (95% confidence interval: 24.7, 25.5), and the mean peak-trough difference was 9.6 ng/mL (95% confidence interval: 8.5, 10.7). Male sex, higher latitude of study site, and greater physical activity levels were associated with larger peak-trough difference in 25(OH)D concentration (each P < 0.05). Serum concentrations of intact parathyroid hormone and bone-specific alkaline phosphatase also varied in a sinusoidal fashion (P < 0.0001), inversely to 25(OH)D. In conclusion, serum 25(OH)D varies in a sinusoidal manner, with large seasonal differences relative to mean concentration and laboratory evidence of biologic sequelae. Single 25(OH)D measurements might not capture overall vitamin D status, and the extent of misclassification could vary by demographic and behavioral factors. Accounting for collection time may reduce bias in research studies and improve decision-making in clinical care.
doi:10.1093/aje/kwr258
PMCID: PMC3276302  PMID: 22112344
alkaline phosphatase; parathyroid hormone; seasons; vitamin D
3.  Fasting and Post-Glucose Load Measures of Insulin Resistance and Risk of Ischemic Stroke in Older Adults 
Background and purpose
Few studies have assessed post-glucose load measures of insulin resistance and ischemic stroke risk, and data are sparse for older adults. We investigated whether fasting and post-glucose load measures of insulin resistance were related to incident ischemic stroke in non-diabetic older adults.
Methods
Participants were men and women in the Cardiovascular Health Study, aged 65+ and without prevalent diabetes or stroke at baseline, followed for 17 years for incident ischemic stroke. The Gutt insulin sensitivity index was calculated from baseline body weight and fasting and 2-hour post-load insulin and glucose; a lower Gutt index indicates higher insulin resistance.
Results
Analyses included 3,442 participants (42% men) with a mean age of 73. Incidence of ischemic stroke was 9.8 strokes per 1,000 person years. The relative risk (RR) for lowest quartile vs. highest quartile of Gutt index was 1.64 (95% confidence interval: 1.24, 2.16), adjusted for demographics and prevalent cardiovascular and kidney disease. Similarly, the adjusted RR for highest quartile vs. lowest quartile of 2-hour glucose was 1.84 (95% CI: 1.39, 2.42). In contrast, the adjusted RR for highest quartile vs. lowest quartile of fasting insulin was 1.10 (95% CI: 0.84, 1.46).
Conclusions
In non-diabetic older adults, insulin resistance measured by Gutt index or 2-hour glucose, but not fasting insulin, was associated with risk of incident ischemic stroke.
doi:10.1161/STROKEAHA.111.620773
PMCID: PMC3226936  PMID: 21998054
Non-diabetic older adults; Cohort study; Gutt insulin sensitivity index
4.  Vitamin D, Parathyroid Hormone and Sudden Cardiac Death: Results from the Cardiovascular Health Study 
Hypertension  2011;58(6):1021-1028.
Recent studies have demonstrated greater risks of cardiovascular events and mortality among persons who have lower 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD) and higher parathyroid hormone (PTH) levels. We sought to evaluate the association between markers of mineral metabolism and sudden cardiac death (SCD) among the 2,312 participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study who were free of clinical cardiovascular disease at baseline. We estimated associations of baseline 25-OHD and PTH concentrations individually and in combination with SCD using Cox proportional hazards models after adjustment for demographics, cardiovascular risk factors, and kidney function. During a median follow-up of 14 years, there were 73 adjudicated SCD events. The annual incidence of SCD was greater among subjects who had lower 25-OHD concentrations: 2 events per 10,000 for 25-OHD ≥ 20 ng/ml and 4 events per 10,000 for 25-OHD < 20 ng/ml. Similarly, SCD incidence was greater among subjects who had higher PTH concentrations: 2 events per 10,000 for PTH ≤ 65 pg/ml and 4 events per 10,000 for PTH > 65 pg/ml. Multivariate adjustment attenuated associations of 25-OHD and PTH with SCD. Finally, 267 participants (11.7% of the cohort) had high PTH and low 25-OHD concentrations. This combination was associated with a more than 2-fold risk of SCD after adjustment (hazard ratio 2.19, 95% confidence interval 1.17, 4.10, p=0.017) compared to participants with normal levels of PTH and 25-OHD. The combination of lower 25-OHD and higher PTH concentrations appears to be associated independently with SCD risk among older adults without cardiovascular disease.
doi:10.1161/HYPERTENSIONAHA.111.179135
PMCID: PMC3337033  PMID: 22068871
Sudden cardiac death; Vitamin D; Parathyroid hormone; Elderly; Risk Factors
5.  Association of Body Mass Index With Peripheral Arterial Disease in Older Adults 
American Journal of Epidemiology  2011;174(9):1036-1043.
The authors hypothesized that the absence of cross-sectional associations of body mass index (BMI; weight (kg)/height (m)2) with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in prior studies may reflect lower weight among persons who smoke or have poor health status. They conducted an observational study among 5,419 noninstitutionalized residents of 4 US communities aged ≥65 years at baseline (1989–1990 or 1992–1993). Ankle brachial index was measured, and participants reported their history of PAD procedures. Participants were followed longitudinally for adjudicated incident PAD events. At baseline, mean BMI was 26.6 (standard deviation, 4.6), and 776 participants (14%) had prevalent PAD. During 13.2 (median) years of follow-up through June 30, 2007, 276 incident PAD events occurred. In cross-sectional analysis, each 5-unit increase in BMI was inversely associated with PAD (prevalence ratio (PR) = 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85, 1.00). However, among persons in good health who had never smoked, the direction of association was opposite (PR = 1.20, 95% CI: 0.94, 1.52). Similar results were observed between BMI calculated using weight at age 50 years and PAD prevalence (PR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.11, 1.51) and between BMI at baseline and incident PAD events occurring during follow-up (hazard ratio = 1.32, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.76) among never smokers in good health. Greater BMI is associated with PAD in older persons who remain healthy and have never smoked. Normal weight maintenance may decrease PAD incidence and associated comorbidity in older age.
doi:10.1093/aje/kwr228
PMCID: PMC3243937  PMID: 21920948
ankle brachial index; body mass index; cardiovascular diseases; peripheral arterial disease
6.  Association of Serum Phosphate Levels with Aortic Valve Sclerosis and Annular Calcification: the Cardiovascular Health Study 
Objectives
To evaluate mineral metabolism markers as potential risk factors for calcific aortic valve disease.
Background
Mineral metabolism disturbances are common among older people and may contribute to cardiac valvular calcification. Associations of serum mineral metabolism markers with cardiac valvular calcification have not been evaluated in a well-characterized general population of older adults.
Methods
We measured serum levels of phosphate, calcium, parathyroid hormone, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D in 1,938 Cardiovascular Health Study participants who were free of clinical cardiovascular disease and who underwent echocardiography measurements of aortic valve sclerosis (AVS), mitral annular calcification (MAC), and aortic annular calcification (AAC). We used logistic regression models to estimate associations of mineral metabolism markers with AVS, MAC, and AAC after adjustment for relevant confounding variables, including kidney function.
Results
The respective prevalences of AVS, MAC, and AAC were 54%, 39%, and 44%. Each 0.5 mg/dl higher serum phosphate concentration was associated with a greater adjusted odds of AVS (odds ratio 1.17, 95% confidence interval 1.04 to 1.31, p = 0.01), MAC (odds ratio 1.12, 95% confidence interval 1.00 to 1.26, p =0.05), and AAC (odds ratio 1.12, 95% confidence interval 0.99 to 1.25, p = 0.05). In contrast, serum calcium, parathyroid hormone, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations were not associated with aortic or mitral calcification.
Conclusions
Higher serum phosphate levels within the normal range are associated with valvular and annular calcification in a community-based cohort of older adults. Phosphate may be a novel risk factor for calcific aortic valve disease and warrants further study.
doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2010.11.073
PMCID: PMC3147295  PMID: 21737022
Phosphate; Aortic Valve; Mitral Valve; Calcification; Epidemiology
7.  Racial differences in the association of pentraxin-3 with kidney dysfunction: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis 
Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation  2010;26(6):1903-1908.
Background. Pentraxin-3 (PTX3), an inflammatory marker thought to be related to vascular inflammation, is elevated in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). Whether PTX3 is associated with mild to moderate kidney dysfunction is unknown.
Methods. We tested associations of proteins in the pentraxin family [PTX3, C-reactive protein (CRP) and serum amyloid protein (SAP)] with estimated glomerular filtration rate by cystatin C (eGFRcys) and microalbuminuria among 2824 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Associations were tested using multivariable linear regression with adjustment for demographics (age, gender, annual income), comorbidities (diabetes, hypertension, smoking, body mass index, low-density lipoprotein, high-density lipoprotein, triglycerides, ACE inhibitor and statin use) and systemic inflammation [interleukin-6 (IL-6)].
Results. Among the 2824 participants, mean age was 62 years and mean eGFRcys was 94 mL/min/1.73 m2; 25% were white, 25% Chinese, 25% African-American and 25% Hispanic. Among all participants after full adjustment, higher PTX3 was associated with lower eGFRcys independently of IL-6 (β − 3.0 mL/min/1.73 m2 per unit increase in lnPTX3, P < 0.001). In contrast, CRP and SAP were associated with eGFRcys in demographic adjusted models, but these associations were attenuated after adjustment for comorbidities and IL-6 (lnCRP β − 0.06, P = 0.9; lnSAP β − 0.35, P = 0.7). There was a significant interaction with race/ethnicity (P < 0.001) in the association of PTX3 and eGFRcys. After adjustment for demographics, comorbidities and IL-6, this association was significant in blacks (β − 5.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 per unit increase in lnPTX3, P = 0.002) but not in Hispanics (β − 2.4, P = 0.1), Chinese (β − 0.91, P = 0.5) or whites (β − 0.26, P = 0.9). PTX3 and CRP, but not SAP, had correlations with microalbuminuria in unadjusted models (Spearman coefficients PTX3 0.05, P = 0.005; CRP 0.07, P < 0.001; SAP 0.013, P = 0.5), but these were attenuated after full adjustment.
Conclusions. Endovascular inflammation may be an important mechanism associated with early kidney dysfunction, particularly among blacks. This mechanism appears to be independent of IL-6-regulated pathways.
doi:10.1093/ndt/gfq648
PMCID: PMC3145399  PMID: 21079193
C-reactive protein; estimated glomerular filtration rate by cystatin; pentraxin-3; race/ethnicity; serum amyloid protein
8.  Long-term renal outcomes of patients with type 1 diabetes and microalbuminuria: an analysis of the DCCT/EDIC cohort 
Archives of internal medicine  2011;171(5):412-420.
Background
Microalbuminuria is a common diagnosis in the clinical care of patients with type 1 diabetes. Long-term outcomes after the development of microalbuminuria are variable.
Methods
We quantified the incidence of and risk factors for long-term renal outcomes after the development of microalbuminuria in the DCCT/EDIC Study. The DCCT randomly assigned 1441 persons with type 1 diabetes to intensive or conventional diabetes therapy, and participants were subsequently followed during the observational EDIC Study. During DCCT/EDIC, 325 participants developed incident persistent microalbuminuria (albumin excretion rate [AER] ≥ 30 mg/24hr on two consecutive study visits). We assessed their subsequent renal outcomes, including progression to macroalbuminuria (AER ≥ 300 mg/24hr x2), impaired glomerular filtration rate (estimated GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73m2 x2), and end stage renal disease (ESRD), and regression to normoalbuminuria (AER < 30 mg/24hr x2).
Results
Median follow-up after persistent microalbuminuria diagnosis was 13 years (maximum 23 years). 10-year cumulative incidences of progression to macroalbuminuria, impaired GFR, and ESRD and regression to normoalbuminuria were 28%, 15%, 3%, and 40%, respectively. Albuminuria outcomes were more favorable with intensive diabetes therapy, lower hemoglobin A1c, lack of retinopathy, female gender, lower blood pressure, and lower concentrations of LDL cholesterol and triglyceride. Lower hemoglobin A1c, lack of retinopathy, and lower blood pressure were also associated with decreased risk of impaired GFR.
Conclusions
After the development of persistent microalbuminuria, progression and regression of kidney disease each occur commonly. Intensive glycemic control, lower blood pressure, and a more favorable lipid profile are associated with improved outcomes.
doi:10.1001/archinternmed.2011.16
PMCID: PMC3085024  PMID: 21403038
9.  Measures of Adiposity and Future Risk of Ischemic Stroke and Coronary Heart Disease in Older Men and Women 
American Journal of Epidemiology  2010;173(1):10-25.
The relation between measures of general and central adiposity and individual cardiovascular endpoints remains understudied in older adults. This study investigated the association of measures of body size and composition with incident ischemic stroke or coronary heart disease (1989–2007) in 3,754 community-dwelling US adults aged 65–100 years. Standardized anthropometry and bioelectric impedance measurements were obtained at baseline. Body mass index at age 50 years (BMI50) was calculated on the basis of recalled weight. Although only waist/hip ratio was significantly associated with ischemic stroke in quintile analysis in women, dichotomized body mass index (BMI) (≥30 kg/m2) was the only significant predictor in men. For coronary heart disease, there were significant positive adjusted associations for all adiposity measures, without interaction by sex. This was true for both quintiles and conventional cutpoints for obesity, although BMI-defined overweight (25–29.9 kg/m2) was significant at midlife but not at baseline. Strengths of association for extreme quintiles (quintile 5 vs. quintile 1) were broadly comparable, but the highest effect estimates were for waist/hip ratio (hazard ratio = 1.56, 95% confidence interval: 1.25, 1.94) and BMI50 (hazard ratio = 1.71, 95% confidence interval: 1.37, 2.14), both of which remained significant after adjustment for mediators, BMI, or each other. Whether these differences translate to better risk prediction will require meta-analytical approaches, as will determination of prognostic cutpoints.
doi:10.1093/aje/kwq311
PMCID: PMC3025638  PMID: 21123850
aging; body composition; body size; coronary disease; stroke
10.  Glucose, Insulin, and Incident Hypertension in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis 
American Journal of Epidemiology  2010;172(10):1144-1154.
Diabetes mellitus and hypertension commonly coexist, but the nature of this link is not well understood. The authors tested whether diabetes and higher concentrations of fasting serum glucose and insulin are associated with increased risk of developing incident hypertension in the community-based Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. At baseline, 3,513 participants were free of hypertension, defined as systolic blood pressure ≥140 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure ≥90 mm Hg, or use of antihypertensive medications to treat high blood pressure. Of these, 965 participants (27%) developed incident hypertension over 4.7 years’ median follow-up between 2002 and 2007. Compared with participants with normal baseline fasting glucose, those with impaired fasting glucose and diabetes had adjusted relative risks of hypertension of 1.16 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.96, 1.40) and 1.41 (95% CI: 1.17, 1.71), respectively (P = 0.0015). The adjusted relative risk of incident hypertension was 1.08 (95% CI: 1.04, 1.13) for each mmol/L higher glucose (P < 0.0001) and 1.15 (95% CI: 1.05, 1.25) for each doubling of insulin (P = 0.0016). Further adjustment for serum cystatin C, urinary albumin/creatinine ratio, and arterial elasticity measured by tonometry substantially reduced the magnitudes of these associations. In conclusion, diabetes and higher concentrations of glucose and insulin may contribute to the development of hypertension, in part through kidney disease and arterial stiffness.
doi:10.1093/aje/kwq266
PMCID: PMC3004765  PMID: 20961972
diabetes mellitus; glucose; hypertension; insulin; kidney; nephrology
11.  Alcohol consumption and kidney function decline in the elderly 
Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation  2010;25(10):3301-3307.
Background. Alcohol consumption appears to be protective for cardiovascular disease; however, its relationship with kidney disease is unclear.
Methods. This prospective cohort study included 4343 subjects from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal, community-based cohort of persons aged ≥65 from four US communities. We used previously defined categories based on weekly alcohol consumption: none, former, <1 drink, 1–6 drinks, 7–13 drinks and ≥14 drinks. Cystatin C was measured at baseline, year 3 and year 7; eligible subjects had at least two measures. Estimated GFRcys was calculated from cystatin C. The primary outcome was rapid kidney function as an annual estimated GFR (eGFRcys) loss >3 mL/min/1.73 m2/year.
Results. Eight percent of the cohort reported former alcohol use and 52% reported current alcohol consumption. During a mean follow-up of 5.6 years, 1075 (25%) participants had rapid kidney function decline. In adjusted logistic regression models, there was no association between alcohol use and kidney function decline (odds ratio, 95% confidence interval: none = reference; former = 1.18, 0.89–1.56; <1 drink = 1.20, 0.99–1.47; 1–6 = 1.18, 0.95–1.45; 7–13 = 1.10, 0.80–1.53; >14 = 0.89, 0.61–1.13). Results were similar with kidney function decline as a continuous outcome.
Conclusions. Our results suggest that moderate alcohol consumption has neither adverse nor beneficial effects on kidney function. Although clinicians will need to consider the potential deleterious effects associated with alcohol consumption, there does not appear to be a basis for recommending that older adults discontinue or initiate light to moderate alcohol consumption to protect against kidney disease.
doi:10.1093/ndt/gfq188
PMCID: PMC2948837  PMID: 20400446
alcohol; kidney disease; outcomes; progression
12.  Parity and the Association With Diabetes in Older Women 
Diabetes Care  2010;33(8):1778-1782.
OBJECTIVE
To examine the relationship of parity with diabetes and markers of glucose homeostasis in older women.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS
We used data from the female participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study, a longitudinal cohort of adults aged ≥65 years. These data included an assessment of parity (baseline) and fasting serum levels of glucose, insulin, and medication use (baseline and follow-up). We estimated both the cross-sectional relationship of parity with baseline diabetes and the relationship of parity with incident diabetes.
RESULTS
In unadjusted analyses, women with grand multiparity (≥5 live births) had a higher prevalence of diabetes at baseline compared with those with fewer births and with nulliparous women (25 vs. 12 vs. 15%; P < 0.001). In regression models controlling for age and race, grand multiparity was associated with increased prevalence of diabetes (prevalence ratio 1.57 [95% CI 1.20–2.06]); with addition of demographic and clinical factors to the model, the association was attenuated (1.33 [1.00–1.77]). In final models that included body anthropometrics, the association was no longer significant (1.21 [0.86–1.49]). In those without diabetes at baseline, parity was not associated with incident diabetes or with fasting glucose; however, there was a modest association of parity with fasting insulin and homeostasis assessment model of insulin resistance.
CONCLUSIONS
Grand multiparity is associated with diabetes in elderly women in cross-sectional analyses. This relationship seems to be confounded and/or mediated by variation in body weight and sociodemographic factors by parity status. In older nondiabetic women, higher parity does not pose an ongoing risk of developing diabetes.
doi:10.2337/dc10-0015
PMCID: PMC2909061  PMID: 20424225
13.  Development and Progression of Renal Insufficiency With and Without Albuminuria in Adults With Type 1 Diabetes in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial and the Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications Study 
Diabetes Care  2010;33(7):1536-1543.
OBJECTIVE
This multicenter study examined the impact of albumin excretion rate (AER) on the course of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the incidence of sustained eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 in type 1 diabetes up to year 14 of the Epidemiology of Diabetes Interventions and Complications (EDIC) study (mean duration of 19 years in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial [DCCT]/EDIC).
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS
Urinary albumin measurements from 4-h urine collections were obtained from participants annually during the DCCT and every other year during the EDIC study, and serum creatinine was measured annually in both the DCCT and EDIC study. GFR was estimated from serum creatinine using the abbreviated Modification of Diet in Renal Disease equation.
RESULTS
A total of 89 of 1,439 subjects developed an eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 (stage 3 chronic kidney disease on two or more successive occasions (sustained) during the DCCT/EDIC study (cumulative incidence 11.4%). Of these, 20 (24%) had AER <30 mg/24 h at all prior evaluations, 14 (16%) had developed microalbuminuria (AER 30–300 mg/24 h) before they reached stage 3 chronic kidney disease, and 54 (61%) had macroalbuminuria (AER >300 mg/24 h) before they reached stage 3 chronic kidney disease. Macroalbuminuria is associated with a markedly increased rate of fall in eGFR (5.7%/year vs. 1.2%/year with AER <30 mg/24 h, P < 0.0001) and risk of eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio 15.3, P < 0.0001), whereas microalbuminuria had weaker and less consistent effects on eGFR.
CONCLUSIONS
Macroalbuminuria was a strong predictor of eGFR loss and risk of developing sustained eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m2. However, screening with AER alone would have missed 24% of cases of sustained impaired eGFR.
doi:10.2337/dc09-1098
PMCID: PMC2890355  PMID: 20413518
14.  Markers of Mineral Metabolism Are Not Associated With Aortic Pulse Wave Velocity in Community-Living Elderly Persons: The Health Aging and Body Composition Study 
American journal of hypertension  2011;24(7):755-761.
BACKGROUND
Disorders in mineral metabolism are associated with risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD) events in patients with kidney disease as well as in the general population. This risk is thought to be mediated, in part, through the mechanism of stiffening of the arteries.
METHODS
The objective of this study was to evaluate the relationships between serum calcium, phosphorus, intact parathyroid hormone (iPTH), and 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels and arterial pulse wave velocity (aPWV) among 2,229 community-dwelling elderly persons participating in the Health Aging and Body Composition (Health ABC) study.
RESULTS
The mean age of the participants was 72 years; 52% were woman, 39% were black, and 17% had chronic kidney disease (CKD) (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 ml/min/1.73 m2). In parallel unadjusted analyses, the following associations were observed: 2.86% greater aPWV per 12 ng/ml (s.d.) lower 25-hydroxyvitamin D (95% confidence interval −4.38%, −1.31%), 3.04% greater aPWV per 28 pg/ml (s.d.) higher iPTH (95% confidence interval 1.42–4.68%), and 2.37% lower aPWV per 0.5 mg/dl (s.d.) higher phosphorus (95% confidence interval −3.90% to − 0.81%). Except for phosphorus, these associations were attenuated and rendered no longer statistically significant after adjustment for demographic risk factors, clinical site, season, medications and other CVD risk factors. The results were similar in men and women and were not dependent on the presence of CKD.
CONCLUSIONS
Among well-functioning community-dwelling elderly persons, only serum phosphorus was associated with aPWV; and this association was in the opposite direction of the one hypothesized. Factors other than vascular stiffening may mediate the relationship between disordered mineral metabolism and CVD events in community-living elders.
doi:10.1038/ajh.2011.43
PMCID: PMC3117915  PMID: 21436791
arterial stiffness; blood pressure; cardiovascular disease; hypertension; kidney disease; mineral metabolism; PWV
15.  Albuminuria, impaired kidney function and cardiovascular outcomes or mortality in the elderly 
Nephrology Dialysis Transplantation  2009;25(5):1560-1567.
Background. Kidney disease is a risk factor for mortality and cardiovascular disease in older adults, but the separate and combined effects of albuminuria and cystatin C, a novel marker of glomerular filtration, are not known.
Methods. We examined associations of these markers with mortality and cardiovascular outcomes during a median follow-up of 8.3 years in 3291 older adults in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Kidney disease was assessed using urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR), cystatin C and Modification of Diet in Renal Disease estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). We defined subgroups based on presence of microalbuminuria (MA, ACR > 30 mg/g) and categories of normal kidney function (cystatin C < 1.0 mg/L and eGFR > 60 mL/min/1.73 m2); preclinical kidney disease (cystatin C level > 1.0 mg/l but eGFR > 60 mL/min/1.73 m2); and chronic kidney disease (CKD) (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2). Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine associations between these six subgroups and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality, myocardial infarction and heart failure.
Results. One thousand one hundred fifty (34.9%) had normal kidney function (12.2% with MA), 1518 (46.1%) had preclinical kidney disease (17.9% with MA) and 622 (18.9%) had CKD (47% with MA). After adjustment, the presence of either preclinical kidney disease or MA was associated with an over 50% increase in mortality risk; the presence of both was associated with a 2.4-fold mortality risk. Those with CKD and MA were at highest risk, with a nearly 4-fold mortality risk.
Conclusion. Elevated cystatin C and albuminuria are common, identify different subsets of the older population, and are independent, graded risk factors for cardiovascular disease and mortality.
doi:10.1093/ndt/gfp646
PMCID: PMC3307251  PMID: 20008829
albuminuria; aging; cardiovascular diseases; kidney function; mortality
16.  Urinary Creatinine Excretion Rate and Mortality in Persons with Coronary Artery Disease: The Heart and Soul Study 
Circulation  2010;121(11):1295-1303.
Background
In persons with coronary artery disease (CAD), low body mass index is associated with greater mortality, however it is uncertain if low muscle mass is a risk factor for mortality in this setting.
Methods and Results
903 individuals with CAD provided 24-hour urine collections. We measured urine creatinine and volume, and calculated creatinine excretion rate (CER), a marker of muscle mass. Cox proportional hazards models evaluated the association of CER with mortality risk during follow-up. Two-hundred thirty-two participants (26%) died over a median follow-up of 6.0 years. Compared to the highest sex-specific CER tertile, the lowest tertile (< 1,068 mg/day in men, < 766 mg/day in women) was associated with > 2-fold risk of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 2.30; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.51–3.51) in models adjusted for age, sex, race, cystatin C-based eGFR, body mass index, traditional CVD risk factors, and C-reactive protein levels. The association was essentially unaltered with further adjustment for physical fitness, left ventricular (LV) mass, LV ejection fraction, or fasting insulin and glucose levels.
Conclusions
Lower CER is strongly associated with mortality in outpatients with CAD, independent of conventional measures of body composition, kidney function, and traditional CAD risk factors. Future studies should determine whether low CER may be a modifiable risk factor for mortality among persons with CAD, potentially through resistive exercise training or nutrition interventions.
doi:10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.109.924266
PMCID: PMC2844485  PMID: 20212276
Cardiovascular disease; mortality; lean mass; muscle mass; creatinine
17.  Association Between Adiposity in Midlife and Older Age and Risk of Diabetes in Older Adults 
Context
Adiposity is a well-recognized risk factor for type 2 diabetes among young and middle-aged adults, but the relationship between body composition and type 2 diabetes is not well described among older adults.
Objective
To examine the relationship between adiposity, changes in adiposity, and risk of incident type 2 diabetes in adults 65 years of age and older.
Design, Setting, and Participants
Prospective cohort study (1989-2007) of 4193 men and women 65 years of age and older in the Cardiovascular Health Study. Measures of adiposity were derived from anthropometry and bioelectrical impedance data at baseline and anthropometry repeated 3 years later.
Main Outcome Measure
Incident diabetes was ascertained based on use of antidiabetic medication or a fasting glucose level of 126 mg/dL or greater.
Results
Over median follow-up of 12.4 years (range, 0.9-17.8 years), 339 cases of incident diabetes were ascertained (7.1/1000 person-years). The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval [CI]) of type 2 diabetes for participants in the highest quintile of baseline measures compared with those in the lowest was 4.3 (95% CI, 2.9-6.5) for body mass index (BMI [calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared]), 3.0 (95% CI, 2.0-4.3) for BMI at 50 years of age, 4.2 (95% CI, 2.8-6.4) for weight, 4.0 (95% CI, 2.6-6.0) for fat mass, 4.2 (95% CI, 2.8-6.2) for waist circumference, 2.4 (95% CI, 1.6-3.5) for waist-hip ratio, and 3.8 (95% CI, 2.6-5.5) for waist-height ratio. However, when stratified by age, participants 75 years of age and older had HRs approximately half as large as those 65 to 74 years of age. Compared with weight-stable participants (±2 kg), those who gained the most weight from 50 years of age to baseline (≥9 kg), and from baseline to the third follow-up visit (≥6 kg), had HRs for type 2 diabetes of 2.8 (95% CI, 1.9-4.3) and 2.0 (95% CI, 1.1-3.7), respectively. Participants with a greater than 10-cm increase in waist size from baseline to the third follow-up visit had an HR of type 2 diabetes of 1.7 (95% CI, 1.1-2.8) compared with those who gained or lost 2 cm or less.
Conclusion
Among older adults, overall and central adiposity, and weight gain during middle age and after the age of 65 years are associated with risk of diabetes.
doi:10.1001/jama.2010.843
PMCID: PMC3047456  PMID: 20571017
18.  Vitamin D in chronic kidney disease: is the jury in? 
Kidney international  2008;74(8):985-987.
Vitamin D shows promise for improving diverse health outcomes among patients with chronic kidney disease. Observational studies of vitamin D medications have contributed important evidence for broad beneficial clinical effects of vitamin D beyond actions on bone. However, such studies are limited by the potential for confounding by indication. A large randomized controlled trial is now needed to test the hypothesis that vitamin D therapy improves clinical outcomes in patients with kidney disease.
doi:10.1038/ki.2008.419
PMCID: PMC3046549  PMID: 18827796
19.  Cystatin C and Carotid Intima-Media Thickness in Asymptomatic Adults: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) 
Background
Persons with early kidney disease have an increased risk of cardiovascular events and mortality, but the importance of accelerated atherosclerosis in promoting these outcomes is unclear. We therefore explored whether serum cystatin C level is associated with carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) in ambulatory adults without clinical heart disease.
Study Design
Cross-sectional study.
Setting & Participants
We evaluated 6,557 ethnically diverse persons free of clinical cardiovascular disease aged 45 to 84 years at the baseline visit of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.
Predictors
Kidney function was estimated by using 2 methods: serum cystatin C level and estimated glomerular filtration rate, based on creatinine and cystatin C levels.
Outcomes & Measurements
Study outcomes were internal and common carotid IMT, measured by using high-resolution B-mode ultrasound. Multivariate linear and logistic regressions were used to evaluate the independent association of kidney function with carotid IMT.
Results
In unadjusted linear analysis, each SD (0.23 mg/L) greater cystatin C level was associated with 0.091-mm greater internal carotid IMT (P < 0.001), but this association was diminished by 70% after adjustment for age, sex, and race/ethnicity (0.027 mm; P < 0.001) and was no longer significant after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors (0.005 mm; P = 0.5). Similarly, the strong unadjusted associations of cystatin C level with common carotid IMT disappeared after adjustment. Chronic kidney disease, defined by using either creatinine level or cystatin C–based estimated glomerular filtration rate less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, had no independent association with internal and common carotid IMT.
Limitations
There were few participants with severe kidney disease.
Conclusions
Cystatin C level had no independent association with carotid IMT in a population free of clinical heart disease. This observation suggests that accelerated atherosclerosis is unlikely to be the primary mechanism explaining the independent association of cystatin C level with cardiovascular risk.
doi:10.1053/j.ajkd.2008.06.025
PMCID: PMC3046734  PMID: 18823684
Cystatin C; intima-media thickness (IMT); atherosclerosis; cardiovascular diseases; kidney
20.  Calcium Plus Vitamin D Supplementation and the Risk of Incident Diabetes in the Women's Health Initiative 
Diabetes care  2008;31(4):701-707.
Objective
Experimental and epidemiologic studies suggest that calcium and vitamin D may reduce the risk of developing diabetes. We examined the effect of calcium plus vitamin D supplementation on the incidence of drug-treated diabetes in postmenopausal women.
Research Design and Methods
The Women's Health Initiative Calcium/Vitamin D Trial randomly assigned postmenopausal women to receive 1,000 mg elemental calcium plus 400 IU of vitamin D3 daily, or placebo, in a double-blind fashion. Among 33,951 participants without self-reported diabetes at baseline, we ascertained by treatment assignment new diagnoses of diabetes treated with oral hypoglycemic agents or insulin. Effects of the intervention on fasting measurements of glucose, insulin, and insulin resistance were examined among a subset of participants.
Results
Over a median follow-up time of 7 years, 2,291 women were newly diagnosed with diabetes. The hazard ratio for incident diabetes associated with calcium/vitamin D treatment was 1.01 (95% CI 0.94 –1.10) based on intention to treat. This null result was robust in subgroup analyses, efficacy analyses accounting for nonadherence, and analyses examining change in laboratory measurements.
Conclusions
Calcium plus vitamin D3 supplementation did not reduce the risk of developing diabetes over 7 years of follow-up in this randomized placebo-controlled trial. Higher doses of vitamin D may be required to affect diabetes risk, and/or associations of calcium and vitamin D intake with improved glucose metabolism observed in nonrandomized studies may be the result of confounding or of other components of foods containing these nutrients.
doi:10.2337/dc07-1829
PMCID: PMC3046029  PMID: 18235052
21.  Serum Phosphorus Concentrations in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) 
Background
Higher serum phosphorus concentrations within the normal laboratory range have been associated with cardiovascular events and mortality in large prospective cohort studies of individuals with and without kidney disease. Reasons for interindividual variation in steady-state serum phosphorus concentrations are largely unknown.
Study Design
Cross-sectional study.
Setting & Participants
15,513 participants in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey.
Predictors
Demographic data, dietary intake measured by means of 24-hour dietary recall and food-frequency questionnaire, and established cardiovascular risk factors.
Outcome & Measurements
Serum phosphorus concentration.
Results
Mean serum phosphorus concentrations were significantly greater in women (+0.16 mg/dL versus men; P < 0.001) and people of non-Hispanic black and Hispanic race/ethnicity (+0.06 and +0.07 mg/dL versus non-Hispanic white, respectively; P < 0.001). Dietary intakes of phosphorus and phosphorus-rich foods were associated only weakly with circulating serum phosphorus concentrations, if at all. Higher serum phosphorus levels were associated with lower calculated Framingham coronary heart disease risk scores, which are based on traditional atherosclerosis risk factors. In aggregate, demographic, nutritional, cardiovascular, and kidney function variables explained only 12% of the variation in circulating serum phosphorus concentrations.
Limitations
Results may differ with advanced kidney disease.
Conclusions
Serum phosphorus concentration is weakly related to dietary phosphorus and not related to a diverse array of phosphorus-rich foods in the general population. Factors determining serum phosphorus concentration are largely unknown. Previously observed associations of serum phosphorus concentrations with cardiovascular events are unlikely to be a result of differences in dietary intake or traditional cardiovascular risk factors.
doi:10.1053/j.ajkd.2008.07.036
PMCID: PMC3046032  PMID: 18992979
Phosphorus; nutritional; cardiovascular; kidney
22.  Dual Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Blockade for Diabetic Kidney Disease 
Current diabetes reports  2010;10(4):297-305.
Blockade of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) prevents the development and progression of diabetic kidney disease (DKD). It is controversial whether the simultaneous use of two RAAS inhibitors (ie, dual RAAS blockade) further improves renal outcomes. This review examines the scientific rationale and current clinical evidence addressing the use of dual RAAS blockade to prevent and treat DKD. It is concluded that dual RAAS blockade should not be routinely applied to patients with low or moderate risk of progressive kidney disease (normoalbuminuria or microalbuminuria with preserved glomerular filtration rate). For patients with high risk of progressive kidney disease (substantial albuminuria or impaired glomerular filtration rate), clinicians should carefully weigh the potential risks and benefits of dual RAAS blockade on an individual basis until ongoing clinical trials provide further insight.
doi:10.1007/s11892-010-0126-2
PMCID: PMC3044643  PMID: 20532701
Diabetes; Kidney; Diabetic kidney disease; Chronic kidney disease; Renin; Angiotensin II; Aldosterone; Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors; Angiotensin II receptor blockers; Albuminuria; Microalbuminuria; Glomerular filtration rate
23.  Differences in Kidney Function and Incident Hypertension: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis 
Annals of internal medicine  2008;148(7):501-508.
Background
Kidney disease and hypertension commonly coexist, yet the direction of their association is still debated.
Objective
To evaluate whether early kidney dysfunction, measured by serum cystatin C levels and urinary albumin excretion, predates hypertension in adults without clinically recognized kidney or cardiovascular disease.
Design
Observational cohort study using data from 2000 to 2005.
Setting
The MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), a community-based study of subclinical cardiovascular disease in adults age 45 to 84 years.
Participants
2767 MESA participants without prevalent hypertension, cardiovascular disease, or clinically recognized kidney disease (an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 or microalbuminuria).
Measurements
Cystatin C was measured by using a nephelometer, and urinary albumin and creatinine were measured from a spot morning collection. The primary outcome was incident hypertension, defined as systolic blood pressure of at least 140 mm Hg, diastolic blood pressure of at least 90 mm Hg, or use of an antihypertensive medication.
Results
During a median follow-up of 3.1 years, 19.7% of the cohort (545 participants) developed hypertension. After adjustment for established hypertension risk factors, each 15-nmol/L increase in cystatin C was associated with a statistically significant 15% greater incidence of hypertension (P = 0.017). The highest sex-specific quartile of urinary albumin–creatinine ratio was associated with a statistically insignificant 16% greater incidence of hypertension (P = 0.192) compared with the lowest quartile. No statistical evidence suggested a multiplicative interaction.
Limitations
Unmeasured characteristics may have confounded observed associations of kidney markers with hypertension. Follow-up was relatively short. Hypertension that may have occurred between study visits or hypertension that was not captured by standard cuff measurements may have been missed.
Conclusion
Differences in kidney function, indicated by cystatin C levels, are associated with incident hypertension among individuals without clinical kidney or cardiovascular disease. These population-based findings complement experimental work implicating early kidney damage in the pathogenesis of essential hypertension.
PMCID: PMC3044648  PMID: 18378946
24.  Incidence and progression of coronary calcification in chronic kidney disease: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis 
Kidney international  2009;76(9):991-998.
We studied the incidence and progression of coronary artery calcification in people with early chronic kidney disease. We used a cohort of 562 adult patients with chronic kidney disease who had an estimated glomerular filtration rate of <60 ml/min/1.73 m2, in a community-based study of people without clinical cardiovascular disease, the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. The majority had stage 3 disease. Coronary artery calcification was measured at baseline and again approximately 1.6 or 3.2 years later. The prevalence of coronary artery calcification at baseline was 66%, and its adjusted prevalence was 24% lower in African Americans as compared to Caucasians. The incidence of coronary artery calcification was 6.1% per year in women and 14.8% in men. Coronary artery calcification progressed in approximately 17% of subjects per year across all subgroups, and diabetes was associated with a 65% greater adjusted risk of progression. Male gender and diabetes were the only factors associated with adjusted coronary artery calcification incidence and progression, respectively. Our study shows that coronary artery calcification is common in people with stage 3 disease, progresses rapidly, and may contribute to cardiovascular risk.
doi:10.1038/ki.2009.298
PMCID: PMC3039603  PMID: 19692998
chronic kidney disease; coronary calcification; vascular calcification
25.  Relations of Dietary Magnesium Intake to Biomarkers of Inflammation and Endothelial Dysfunction in an Ethnically Diverse Cohort of Postmenopausal Women 
Diabetes Care  2009;33(2):304-310.
OBJECTIVE
Although magnesium may favorably affect metabolic outcomes, few studies have investigated the role of magnesium intake in systemic inflammation and endothelial dysfunction in humans.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS
Among 3,713 postmenopausal women aged 50–79 years in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Study and free of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and diabetes at baseline, we measured plasma concentrations of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), turnor necrosis factor-α receptor 2 (TNF-α-R2), soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (sICAM-1), soluble vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (sVCAM-1), and E-selectin. Magnesium intake was assessed using a semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire.
RESULTS
After adjustment for age, ethnicity, clinical center, time of blood draw, smoking, alcohol, physical activity, energy intake, BMI, and diabetes status, magnesium intake was inversely associated with hs-CRP (P for linear trend = 0.003), IL-6 (P < 0.0001), TNF-α-R2 (P = 0.0006), and sVCAM-1 (P = 0.06). Similar findings remained after further adjustment for dietary fiber, fruit, vegetables, folate, and saturated and trans fat intake. Multivariable-adjusted geometric means across increasing quintiles of magnesium intake were 3.08, 2.63, 2.31, 2.53, and 2.16 mg/l for hs-CRP (P = 0.005); 2.91, 2.63, 2.45, 2.27, and 2.26 pg/ml for IL-6 (P = 0.0005); and 707, 681, 673, 671, and 656 ng/ml for sVCAM-1 (P = 0.04). An increase of 100 mg/day magnesium was inversely associated with hs-CRP (−0.23 mg/l ± 0.07; P = 0.002), IL-6 (−0.14 ± 0.05 pg/ml; P = 0.004), TNF-α-R2 (−0.04 ± 0.02 pg/ml; P = 0.06), and sVCAM-1 (−0.04 ± 0.02 ng/ml; P = 0.07). No significant ethnic differences were observed.
CONCLUSIONS
High magnesium intake is associated with lower concentrations of certain markers of systemic inflammation and endothelial dysfunction in postmenopausal women.
doi:10.2337/dc09-1402
PMCID: PMC2809271  PMID: 19903755

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