While anemia is associated with poor functional and mortality outcomes in the elderly, the impact of hemoglobin decline is less studied.
We evaluated the determinants and consequences of hemoglobin decline in 3.758 non-anemic participants from the Cardiovascular Health Study, a prospective cohort of community-dwelling elderly ≥65 years old at baseline and followed for up to 16 years. Hemoglobin was measured at baseline and 3 years later and anemia defined by World Health Organization (WHO) criteria. We modeled hemoglobin decline in two ways: 1) per each 1g/dL decrease in hemoglobin and 2) development of anemia by the WHO criteria.
Among participants without baseline anemia, hemoglobin decreased by 0.4g/dL and 9% developed anemia over 3 years. Baseline increasing age, female sex, diabetes, and kidney disease predicted hemoglobin decline over 3 years. Baseline increasing age, being African-American, and kidney disease predicted anemia development over 3 years. Hemoglobin decline was associated with subsequent worse cognitive function in men and anemia development with subsequent worse cognitive function in women. Both anemia development (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.15, 1.69) and hemoglobin decline (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.04, 1.18 per 1g/dL decrease) predicted subsequent mortality in men and women.
Hemoglobin decreases identified a large group of elderly individuals at risk for subsequent adverse outcomes who would not be identified using the WHO anemia criteria. These data may allow clinicians to identify at-risk elderly individuals for early intervention to improve the quality and quantity of life.
Anemia; Hemoglobin; Elderly; Mortality; Function; Epidemiology
P-selectin is a cell adhesion molecule shown to play a role in venous thromboembolism. We evaluated whether higher P-selectin is associated with chronic venous insufficiency (CVI).
Materials and Methods
In a cohort of 2408 participants, the San Diego Population Study, peripheral venous disease was established by symptoms, clinical examination, and ultrasound. We measured P-selectin in a subsample of 352 CVI cases frequency matched to controls. Cases included four hierarchical groups of increasing severity of CVI.
The association of P-selectin with CVI considering all cases was weak, with an age, race and sex-adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 1.3 (95% CI 1.0-2.2) for values in the 3rd versus 1st tertile. The OR for cases in the two most severe groups was 2.3 (95% CI 1.2-4.2). Addition of body mass index to the model reduced this OR to 1.9 (95% CI 1.0-3.6).
Higher circulating P-selectin was associated with more severe CVI, but not CVI overall. Results support that platelet and endothelial cell activation may be involved in the pathogenesis of CVI.
P-selectin; chronic venous insufficiency; risk factor; blood coagulation
The objective of this study was to examine the joint associations of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and urinary albumin excretion with incident stroke in a large national cohort study.
Associations of urinary albumin to creatinine ratio (ACR) and eGFR with incident stroke were examined in 25,310 participants of the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study, a prospective study of black and white US adults ≥45 years of age.
A total of 548 incident strokes were observed over a median of 4.7 years of follow-up. Higher ACR values were associated with lower stroke-free survival in both black and white participants. Among black participants, as compared to an ACR <10 mg/g, the hazard ratios of stroke associated with an ACR of 10–29.99, 30–300, and >300 mg/g were 1.41 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01–1.98), 2.10 (95% CI 1.48–2.99), and 2.70 (95% CI 1.58–4.61), respectively, in analyses adjusted for traditional stroke risk factors and eGFR. In contrast, the hazard ratios among white subjects were only modestly elevated and not statistically significant after adjustment for established stroke risk factors. eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 was not associated with incident stroke in black or white participants after adjustment for established stroke risk factors.
Higher ACR was independently associated with higher risk of stroke in black but not white participants from a national cohort. Elucidating the reasons for these findings may uncover novel mechanisms for persistent racial disparities in stroke.
Recent findings suggest that chronic kidney disease (CKD) may be associated with increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Given the high prevalence of mild-to-moderate CKD in the general population, in depth analysis of this association is warranted.
Methods and Results
We pooled individual participant data from five community-based cohorts from Europe (HUNT2, PREVEND and Tromsø study) and United States (ARIC and CHS study) to assess the association of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), albuminuria and CKD with objectively verified VTE. To estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for VTE, categorical and continuous spline models were fit using Cox regression with shared-frailty or random-effect meta-analysis. A total of 1,178 VTE events occurred over 599,453 person-years follow-up. Relative to eGFR 100 mL/min/1.73m2, HRs for VTE were 1.29 (95%CI, 1.04-1.59) for eGFR 75, 1.31 (1.00-1.71) for 60, 1.82 (1.27-2.60) for 45 and 1.95 (1.26-3.01) for 30 mL/min/1.73m2. Compared with albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR) of 5.0 mg/g, the HRs for VTE were 1.34 (1.04-1.72) for 30 mg/g, 1.60 (1.08-2.36) for 300 mg/g and 1.92 (1.19-3.09) for 1000 mg/g. There was no interaction between clinical categories of eGFR and ACR (P=0.20). The adjusted HR for CKD defined as eGFR <60 mL/min/1.73m2 or albuminuria ≥30 mg/g (vs. no CKD) was 1.54 (95%CI, 1.15-2.06). Associations were consistent in subgroups according to age, gender, and comorbidities as well as for unprovoked versus provoked VTE.
Both eGFR and ACR are independently associated with increased risk of VTE in the general population, even across the normal eGFR and ACR ranges.
chronic kidney disease; deep vein thrombosis; epidemiology; pulmonary embolism; thromboembolism
Mechanistic associations between obesity and colorectal cancer remain unclear. In this study, we investigated whether adipokines are risk factors for colorectal cancer and whether they may mediate its association with obesity. In a case–cohort study nested within the Women’s Health Initiative cohort of postmenopausal women, baseline plasma samples from 457 colorectal cancer cases and 841 subcohort subjects were assayed for seven adipokines—adiponectin, leptin, plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1), resistin, hepatocyte growth factor, interleukin-6 (IL-6), and TNF-α. Serum insulin and estradiol values measured previously were also available for data analysis. After adjusting for age, race, smoking, colonoscopy history, and estrogen level, a low level of antiinflammatory adiponectin and high levels of proinflammatory leptin, PAI-1, and IL-6 were associated with increased colorectal cancer risk, though only leptin remained significant after further adjustment for insulin [HRs comparing extreme quartiles (HRQ4–Q1), 1.84; 95% CI, 1.17–2.90]. Mediation analyses showed that leptin and insulin partially explained the association between waist circumference and colorectal cancer and attenuated it by 25% and 37%, respectively, with insulin being a significant mediator (P = 0.041). Our findings support the conclusion that adipokines involved in inflammation are associated with colorectal cancer risk, but that their effects may be mediated mostly by insulin, with leptin exerting an independent effect. Hyperinsulinemia and hyperleptinemia may therefore partially explain the adiposity association with colorectal cancer in postmenopausal women.
Associations of adiponectin and leptin and their ratio with BMI and HOMA-IR have been investigated in different ethnic groups but variability in both assays and statistical methods have made cross-study comparisons difficult. We examined associations among these variables across four ethnic groups in a single study.
Adiponectin and leptin were measured in a subset of MESA participants. We calculated associations (using both partial correlations and adjusted linear regression) in each ethnic group and then compared the magnitude of these associations across groups.
After excluding individuals with type 2 diabetes there were 714 White, 219 Chinese, 332 African American, and 405 Hispanic individuals, in the study sample. Associations of BMI with adiponectin and leptin differed significantly (P < 0.05) across the ethnic groups in regression analyses, while associations of HOMA-IR with adiponectin and leptin did not differ across ethnic groups. The leptin to adiponectin ratio was not associated with a greater amount of adiposity or HOMA-IR variance than leptin or adiponectin in any ethnic group.
Given the consistency of HOMA-IR and adipokine associations, the differing means of adiponectin and leptin across ethnic groups may help to explain ethnic differences in mean insulin resistance.
It is unknown whether long-standing disparities in incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) among US blacks and whites persist.
To examine incident CHD by black and white race and by sex.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS
Prospective cohort study of 24 443 participants without CHD at baseline from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort, who resided in the continental United States and were enrolled between 2003 and 2007 with follow-up through December 31, 2009.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE
Expert-adjudicated total (fatal and nonfatal) CHD, fatal CHD, and nonfatal CHD (definite or probable myocardial infarction [MI]; very small non–ST-elevation MI [NSTEMI] had peak troponin level <0.5 µg/L).
Over a mean (SD) of 4.2 (1.5) years of follow-up, 659 incident CHD events occurred (153 in black men, 138 in black women, 254 in white men, and 114 in white women). Among men, the age-standardized incidence rate per 1000 person-years for total CHD was 9.0 (95% CI, 7.5–10.8) for blacks vs 8.1 (95% CI, 6.9–9.4) for whites; fatal CHD: 4.0 (95% CI, 2.9–5.3) vs 1.9 (95% CI, 1.4–2.6), respectively; and nonfatal CHD: 4.9 (95% CI, 3.8–6.2) vs 6.2 (95% CI, 5.2–7.4). Among women, the age-standardized incidence rate per 1000 person-years for total CHD was 5.0 (95% CI, 4.2–6.1) for blacks vs 3.4 (95% CI, 2.8–4.2) for whites; fatal CHD: 2.0 (95% CI, 1.5–2.7) vs 1.0 (95% CI, 0.7–1.5), respectively; and nonfatal CHD: 2.8 (95% CI, 2.2–3.7) vs 2.2 (95% CI, 1.7–2.9). Age- and region-adjusted hazard ratios for fatal CHD among blacks vs whites was near 2.0 for both men and women and became statistically nonsignificant after multivariable adjustment. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio for incident nonfatal CHD for blacks vs whites was 0.68 (95% CI, 0.51–0.91) for men and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.58–1.15) for women. Of the 444 nonfatal CHD events, 139 participants (31.3%) had very small NSTEMIs.
The higher risk of fatal CHD among blacks compared with whites was associated with cardiovascular disease risk factor burden. These relationships may differ by sex.
coronary heart disease; epidemiology; racial disparities; disease incidence; cohort study
Apart from obesity, it remains controversial whether atherosclerosis and its cardiovascular risk disease (CVD) factors are associated with risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Using data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (ARIC), we evaluated associations between CVD risk factors and incident VTE in a cohort of 15,340 participants who were free a history of VTE and/or anticoagulant use on enrolment. The CVD risk factors were updated during the follow-up period. Over a mean follow-up time of 15.5 years (237,375 person-years), 468 participants had VTE events. Adjusting for demographic variables and body mass index (BMI), current smokers were at greater risk [HR of 1.44 (95% CI: 1.12–1.86)] compared to non-smokers. There was a positive monotonic association between BMI and VTE risk. Individuals with a BMI ≥35 kg/m2 had a HR for VTE of 3.09 (95%CI: 2.26–4.23) compared to those with normal BMI (<25 kg/m2). Greater physical activity was associated with lower VTE risk in a demographic adjusted model; however, this association became non-significant following adjustment for BMI. Alcohol intake, diabetes, hypertension, high-density lipoprotein and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglycerides were not associated with VTE risk. In conclusion, among the well-established CVD risk factors, only current smoking and obesity were independently associated with VTE risk in this large cohort where risk factors were updated serially during follow-up. This finding corroborates that the pathogenesis of venous disease differs from that of atherosclerotic disease.
Deep-vein thrombosis; pulmonary embolism; risk factors
Between the ages 45 and 65 years, incident stroke is 2 to 3 times more common in blacks than in whites, a difference not explained by traditional stroke risk factors.
Stroke risk was assessed in 27 748 black and white participants recruited between 2003 and 2007, who were followed up through 2011, in the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study. Racial differences in the impact of systolic blood pressure (SBP) was assessed using proportional hazards models. Racial differences in stroke risk were assessed in strata defined by age (<65 years, 65–74 years, and ≥75 years) and SBP (<120 mm Hg, 120–139 mm Hg, and 140–159 mm Hg).
Over 4.5 years of follow-up, 715 incident strokes occurred. A 10–mm Hg difference in SBP was associated with an 8% (95% CI, 0%-16%) increase in stroke risk for whites, but a 24% (95% CI, 14%-35%) increase for blacks (P value for interaction, .02). For participants aged 45 to 64 years (where disparities are greatest), the black to white hazard ratio was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.48–1.57) for normotensive participants, 1.38 (95% CI, 0.94–2.02) for those with prehypertension, and 2.38 (95% CI, 1.19–4.72) for those with stage 1 hypertension.
These findings suggest racial differences in the impact of elevated blood pressure on stroke risk. When these racial differences are coupled with the previously documented higher prevalence of hypertension and poorer control of hypertension in blacks, they may account for much of the racial disparity in stroke risk.
Associations of inflammation with age-related pathologies are documented; however, it is not understood how changes in inflammation over time impact healthy aging.
We examined associations of long-term change in C-reactive protein (CRP) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) with concurrent onset of physical and cognitive impairment, subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD), and mortality in 1,051 participants in the Cardiovascular Health Study All Stars Study. Biomarkers were measured in 1996–1997 and 2005–2006.
In 2005–2006, median age was 84.9 years, 63% were women and 17% non-white; 21% had at least a doubling in CRP over time and 23% had at least a doubling in IL-6. Adjusting for demographics, CVD risk factors, and 1996–1997 CRP level, each doubling in CRP change over 9 years was associated with higher risk of physical or cognitive impairment (odds ratio 1.29; 95% confidence interval 1.15, 1.45). Results were similar for IL-6 (1.45; 1.20, 1.76). A doubling in IL-6 change over time, but not CRP, was associated with incident CVD events; hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 1.34 (1.03, 1.75). Doubling in change in each biomarker was individually associated with mortality (CRP: 1.12 [1.03, 1.22]; IL-6 1.39 [1.16, 1.65]). In models containing both change and 2005–2006 level, only level was associated with CVD events and mortality.
Although increases in inflammation markers over 9 years were associated with higher concurrent risk of functional impairment and subsequent CVD events and mortality, final levels of each biomarker appeared to be more important in determining risk of subsequent events than change over time.
Inflammation; Aging; Physical function; Cognitive function
The strength and direction of the associations between inflammation and coagulation biomarkers with kidney disease onset and progression remains unclear, especially in a population-based setting.
Prospective observational study.
Setting & Participants
4,966 participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) with a cystatin C-based estimate of glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcys) > 60 ml/min/1.73m2 and least one follow-up measure of kidney function. All participants were free of cardiovascular disease (CVD) at entry.
We evaluated the associations of C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), fibrinogen, factor VIII, and D-dimer with kidney function decline.
Outcomes and Measurements
Kidney function decline was assessed primarily by repeated measures of eGFRcys over 5 years. Rapid decline of kidney function was defined as an eGFR decrease of more than 3 ml/min/1.73m2 per year. Incident low eGFR was defined as the onset of eGFRcys<60 ml/min/1.73m2 at any follow up exam and eGFRcys decline ≥1 ml/min/1.73m2 per year.
Mean age was 60 years, 39% were white, 52% were women, and 11% had diabetes. Mean eGFRcys was 96 mL/min/1.73 m2 and 7% had albuminuria. Median follow up time was 4.77 years. Higher Factor VIII levels (per 1-standard deviation [SD] of biomarker) had the strongest association with kidney function decline (β= −0.25; 95% CI, −0.38 to −0.12; p<0.001), followed by IL-6 (β= −0.16; 95% CI, −0.29 to −0.03; p=0.01), CRP (β= −0.09; 95% CI, −0.22 to 0.03; p=0.1), and fibrinogen (β= −0.09; 95% CI, −0.22 to 0.04; p=0.2). Each 1-SD higher concentration of IL-6 (OR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.07–1.23), Factor VIII (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.03–1.18), and CRP (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.02–1.16) at baseline was significantly associated with rapid kidney function decline. Only IL-6 was significantly associated with incident low eGFR (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.00–1.19).
Observational study design and absence of measured GFR.
Inflammation and coagulation biomarkers are associated with declining kidney function in ambulatory adults without established CVD or CKD.
Several mechanisms may associate tooth loss and related oral
inflammation with cognitive impairment. The authors studied the relationship
between tooth loss and cognitive function.
The REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke study is
a national longitudinal study of more than 30,000 African American and white
adults 45 years or older. Data for tooth loss, cognitive function and
potential confounding variables were available for 9,853 participants at the
time of analysis. The authors used incremental linear regression modeling to
investigate the cross-sectional association between self-reported tooth loss
and cognitive function.
In unadjusted analysis (mean learning followed by recall; α
level of significance of .05), the loss of six to 16 teeth and the loss of
more than 16 teeth were associated with poorer cognitive function compared
with the loss of no teeth. Attenuated associations persisted after the
authors adjusted for demographic and systemic risk factors. The full model,
which was adjusted for socioeconomic status (SES), revealed no association
between tooth loss and cognitive function.
Tooth loss may be associated with cognitive function; however, this
association is mediated by age and SES.
Tooth loss due to periodontal disease may be a marker for low SES,
and the interplay of these factors with advanced age may confer risk of
having poorer cognitive function. Further studies are needed to clarify
Cognitive function; tooth loss
Background and Purpose
Diabetes and hypertension impart approximately the same increased relative risk for stroke, although hypertension has a larger population-attributable risk because of its higher population prevalence. With a growing epidemic of obesity and associated increasing prevalence of diabetes that disproportionately impacts the southeastern Stroke Belt states, any potential contribution of diabetes to the geographic disparity in stroke mortality will only increase.
Racial and geographic differences in diabetes prevalence and diabetes awareness, treatment, and control were assessed in the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke study, a national population-based cohort of black and white participants older than 45 years of age. At the time of this report, 21 959 had been enrolled.
The odds of diabetes were significantly increased in both white and black residents of the stroke buckle (OR, 1.26; [1.10, 1.44]; OR, 1.45 [1.26, 1.66], respectively) and Stroke Belt (OR, 1.22; [1.09, 1.36]; OR, 1.13 [1.02, 1.26]) compared to the rest of the United States. In the buckle, regional differences were not fully mediated and remained significant when controlling for socioeconomic status and risk factors. Addition of hypertension to the models did not reduce the magnitude of the associations. There were no significant differences by region with regard to awareness, treatment, or control for either race.
These analyses support a possible role of regional variation in the prevalence of diabetes as, in part, an explanation for the regional variation in stroke mortality but fail to support the potential for a contribution of regional differences in diabetes management.
diabetes; geography; racial differences
Conventional C-reactive protein assays have been used to detect or guide the treatment of acute sepsis. The objective of this study was to determine the association between elevated baseline high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) and the risk of future sepsis events.
We studied data from 30,239 community dwelling, black and white individuals, age ≥45 years old enrolled in the REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort. Baseline hsCRP and participant characteristics were determined at the start of the study. We identified sepsis events through review of hospital records. Elevated hsCRP was defined as values >3.0 mg/L. Using Cox regression, we determined the association between elevated hsCRP and first sepsis event, adjusting for sociodemographic factors (age, sex, race, region, education, income), health behaviors (tobacco and alcohol use), chronic medical conditions (coronary artery disease, diabetes, dyslipidemia, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, chronic lung disease) and statin use.
Over the mean observation time of 5.7 years (IQR 4.5–7.1), 974 individuals experienced a sepsis event, and 11,447 (37.9%) had elevated baseline hsCRP (>3.0 mg/L). Elevated baseline hsCRP was independently associated with subsequent sepsis (adjusted HR 1.56; 95% CI 1.36–1.79), adjusted for sociodemographics, health behaviors, chronic medical conditions and statin use.
Elevated baseline hsCRP was associated with increased risk of future sepsis events. hsCRP may help to identify individuals at increased risk for sepsis.
High waist circumference (WC) (women: >88 cm; men: >102 cm) increases cardiovascular risk. Less is known about moderate WC (women: 80–88 cm; men: 94–102 cm). Therefore, we examined the association between moderate WC and hypertension prevalence, independent of body mass index (BMI).
Among 24,247 eligible adults 45–84 years old, when recruited from January 2003 to October 2007 in the population-based REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort, we examined hypertension prevalence (systolic blood pressure (BP) ≥140 mm Hg, or diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg, or self-reported antihypertensive medication use) by WC before and after stratification by BMI (normal: 18.5–24.9; overweight: 25–29.9; obese class I: 30–34.9). Logistic regression adjusted associations between WC, BMI, and hypertension prevalence for age, race, sex, region, income, education, cigarette smoking, glomerular filtration rate, alcohol use, and physical activity.
Overall, hypertension prevalence was 44% among those with low WC (n = 8,068), 55% with moderate WC (n = 6,488), and 66% with high WC (n = 9,691). After full adjustment, moderate WC was independently associated with hypertension prevalence among persons with normal BMI, (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 1.49; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.31–1.70), overweight BMI (aOR, 1.80; 95% CI, 1.64–1.98), and obese class I BMI (aOR, 2.28; 95%CI, 1.96–2.65) (referent: low WC-normal BMI). The moderate WC–hypertension association was observed in blacks and whites and in men and women.
Moderate WC is associated with hypertension prevalence independent of BMI and several hypertension risk factors in middle-aged and older adults.
blood pressure; clinical epidemiology; hypertension; obesity; race; waist circumference
Stroke symptoms are common among people without a history of stroke or transient ischemic attack; however, it is unknown if particular attention should be focused on specific symptoms for subgroups of patients.
Using baseline data from 26,792 REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) participants without a history of transient ischemic attack or stroke, we assessed the association between age, sex, race, current smoking, hypertension and diabetes and the six stroke symptoms in the Questionnaire for Verifying Stroke-Free Status.
The mean age of participants was 64.4 ± 9.4 years, 40.7% were black and 55.2% women. After multivariable adjustment, older persons more often reported an inability to understand (odds ratio [OR] = 1.16 per 10 years older age, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07–1.25) and unilateral vision loss (OR=1.09, 95% CI: 1.01–1.18) and less often reported numbness (OR=0.83, 95% CI: 0.79–0.87) and weakness (OR=0.85, 95% CI: 0.80–0.90). Women reported difficulty communicating more often than men (OR=1.36, 95% CI: 1.19–1.56). The OR for blacks compared to whites for each of the six stroke symptoms was increased, markedly so for unilateral numbness (OR=1.97, 95% CI: 1.81–2.16), unilateral weakness (OR=1.96, 95% CI: 1.76–2.18) and inability to understand (OR=1.87, 95% CI: 1.61–2.18). Current smoking, hypertension, and diabetes were associated with higher ORs for each stroke symptom.
The association of risk factors with six individual stroke symptoms studied was not uniform, suggesting the need to emphasize individual stroke symptoms in stroke awareness campaigns when targeting populations defined by risk.
individual stroke symptoms; stroke symptoms; risk factors
A triple-marker approach for chronic kidney disease (CKD) evaluation has not been well studied.
To evaluate whether combining creatinine, cystatin C, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) would improve identification of risks associated with CKD compared with creatinine alone.
Design, Setting, and Participants
Prospective cohort study involving 26 643 US adults enrolled in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study from January 2003 to June 2010. Participants were categorized into 8 groups defined by estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) determined by creatinine and by cystatin C of either <60 or ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and ACR of either <30 or ≥30 mg/g.
Main Outcome Measures
All-cause mortality and incident end-stage renal disease with median follow-up of 4.6 years.
Participants had a mean age of 65 years, 40% were black, and 54% were women. Of 26 643 participants, 1940 died and 177 developed end-stage renal disease. Among participants without CKD defined by creatinine, 24% did not have CKD by either ACR or cystatin C. Compared with those with CKD defined by creatinine alone, the hazard ratio for death in multivariable-adjusted models was 3.3 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0–5.6) for participants with CKD defined by creatinine and ACR; 3.2 (95% CI, 2.2–4.7) for those with CKD defined by creatinine and cystatin C, and 5.6 (95% CI, 3.9–8.2) for those with CKD defined by all biomarkers. Among participants without CKD defined by creatinine, 3863 (16%) had CKD detected by ACR or cystatin C. Compared with participants who did not have CKD by any measure, the HRs for mortality were 1.7 (95% CI, 1.4–1.9) for participants with CKD defined by ACR alone, 2.2 (95% CI, 1.9–2.7) for participants with CKD defined by cystatin C alone, and 3.0 (95% CI, 2.4–3.7) for participants with CKD defined by both measures. Risk of incident end-stage renal disease was higher among those with CKD defined by all markers (34.1 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 28.7–40.5 vs 0.33 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, 0.05–2.3) for those with CKD defined by creatinine alone. The second highest end-stage renal disease rate was among persons missed by the creatinine measure but detected by both ACR and cystatin C (rate per 1000 person-years, 6.4; 95% CI, 3.6–11.3). Net reclassification improvement for death was 13.3% (P<.001) and for end-stage renal disease was 6.4% (P<.001) after adding estimated GFR cystatin C in fully adjusted models with estimated GFR creatinine and ACR.
Adding cystatin C to the combination of creatinine and ACR measures improved the predictive accuracy for all-cause mortality and end-stage renal disease.
Waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) is strongly associated with prevalent atherosclerosis. We analyzed the associations of baseline serum levels of testosterone (T), estradiol (E2), sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG), and dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) with WHR in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort.
Baseline data was available for 3144 men and 2038 postmenopausal women, who were non-users of hormone therapy, who were 45–84 years of age, and of White, Chinese, Black or Hispanic racial/ethnic groups. Of these, 2708 men and 1678 women also had longitudinal measurements of WHR measured at the second and/or the third study visits (median follow-up 578 days, and 1135 days, respectively).
In cross-sectional analyses adjusted for age, race, and cardiovascular disease risk factors, T was negatively associated with baseline WHR in men, while in both sexes, E2 was positively associated and SHBG was negatively associated with WHR (all p<0.001). In longitudinal analyses, further adjusted for follow-up time and baseline WHR, baseline T was negatively associated with WHR at follow-up (p=0.001) in men, while in both sexes, E2 was positively associated (p=0.004), and SHBG was negatively associated with WHR (p<0.001). The longitudinal association of E2, but not T, was independent of SHBG. In both cross-sectional or longitudinal analyses, there were no associations between DHEA and WHR in either men or women.
Sex hormones are associated with WHR at baseline and also during follow-up above and beyond their baseline association. Future research is needed to determine if manipulation of hormones is associated with changes in central obesity.
Sex Hormones; epidemiology; waist to hip ratio
Background and Purpose
Periodontal disease results in tooth loss, may contribute to systemic inflammation, and is associated with stroke. We examined cross-sectional associations between tooth loss, inflammation markers, stroke, race, and geographic region among participants in the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) Study of whites and blacks ≥45 years.
We studied 24393 participants. Associations of tooth loss and inflammation markers (C-reactive protein (CRP), white blood cell count (WBC) and albumin) were examined by linear regression, and associations of tooth loss with geographic region, race, and prevalent stroke by logistic regression.
Compared to whites, blacks had an odds ratio of 1.48 (95% confidence interval 1.37–1.60) of having more teeth lost. There were no geographic differences in tooth loss. Compared to no tooth loss, those with 17–32 teeth lost had 1.17 mg/L higher CRP (p < 0.0001) and 0.18 ×109/L higher WBC (p = 0.008), did not differ in albumin, and had an odds ratio of prevalent stroke of 1.28 (1.09–1.49). Those with 1–16 teeth lost did not differ in CRP and WBC, had 0.03 g/dL higher albumin (p = 0.004), and had no increased stroke prevalence. CRP or WBC did not attenuate associations between tooth loss and stroke.
Tooth loss, which varied with race, but not region of residence, was associated with inflammation markers and stroke. The latter association was not confounded by inflammation markers.
Tooth Loss; Inflammation factors; Stroke; region of residence; race
To examine the association between prolongation of heart rate–corrected QT interval (QTc) with incident stroke.
Unlike cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, little is known about the relationship between QTc and risk of stroke.
A total of 27,411 participants aged ≥ 45 years without prior stroke from the REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study were included in this analysis. QTc was calculated using Framingham formula (QTcFram). Stroke cases were identified and adjudicated during up to 8.2 years of follow-up (median 5.1 years).
The risk of incident stroke in study participants with prolonged QTcFram was almost three times the risk in those with normal QTcFram [HR (95% CI): 2.88 (2.12, 3.92), p<0.0001]. After adjustment for demographics (age, race, sex), traditional stroke risk factors (antihypertensive medication use, systolic blood pressure, current smoking, diabetes, left ventricular hypertrophy, atrial fibrillation, prior cardiovascular disease), warfarin use, aspirin use, QRS duration and use of QT-prolonging drugs, the risk of stroke remained significantly high [HR (95% CI): 1.67 (1.16, 2.41), p=0.0061)], and was consistent across several subgroups of REGARDS participants. Similar results were obtained when the risk of stroke was estimated per 1-standard deviation increase in QTcFram, [HR (95% CI): 1.12 (1.03, 1.21), p=0.0053 in multivariable-adjusted model], and when other QTc correction formulas including Hodge’s, Bazett’s and Fridericia’s were used.
QTc prolongation is associated with a significantly increased risk of incident stroke independent of traditional stroke risk factors. Examining the risk of stroke associated with QT-prolonging drugs may be warranted.
QTc; stroke; electrocardiogram; QT-prolonging drugs; REGARDS
Background and Purpose
To test whether changes in plasma tissue factor pathway inhibitor (TFPI) levels or activated protein C resistance (normalized APC resistance ratio, nAPCsr) modify the increased risk of ischemic stroke due to postmenopausal hormone therapy (PHT).
Nested case-control study of 455 cases of ischemic stroke and 565 matched controls in the Women’s Health Initiative trials of PHT.
Baseline free TFPI was associated with ischemic stroke risk, OR (95% CI) per SD increase = 1.17 (1.01, 1.37, p=0.039, but baseline nAPCsr was not, OR per SD increase = 0.89 (0.75, 1.05), p=0.15. Baseline TFPI levels and nAPCsr did not modify the effect of PHT on ischemic stroke. Treatment-induced mean changes of -28% in free TFPI and +65% in nAPCsr did not change the risk of ischemic stroke (interaction p = 0.452 and 0.971 respectively). In subgroup analyses baseline nAPCsr was inversely associated with lacunar strokes, OR per SD increase = 0.74 (0.57, 0.96), p=0.025, and baseline free TFPI interacted with treatment to increase large vessel atherosclerotic strokes, p=0.008.
Pro-coagulant changes in TFPI or nAPCsr do not modify the increased ischemic stroke risk due to PHT.
Cerebrovascular Accident; Estrogen; Hemostasis; Menopause; Randomized Controlled Trials
While black-white and regional disparities in U.S. stroke mortality rates are well documented, the contribution of disparities in stroke incidence is unknown. We provide national estimates of stroke incidence by race and region, contrasting these to publicly available stroke mortality data.
This analysis included 27,744 men and women without prevalent stroke (40.4% black), aged ≥45 years from the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) national cohort study, enrolled 2003–2007. Incident stroke was defined as first occurrence of stroke over 4.4 years of follow-up. Age-sex–adjusted stroke mortality rates were calculated using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiological Research (WONDER) System.
There were 460 incident strokes over 113,469 person-years of follow-up. Relative to the rest of the United States, incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of stroke in the southeastern stroke belt and stroke buckle were 1.06 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.87–1.29) and 1.19 (95% CI, 0.96–1.47), respectively. The age-sex–adjusted black/white IRRblack was 1.51 (95% CI, 1.26–1.81), but for ages 45–54 years the IRRblack was 4.02 (95% CI, 1.23–13.11) while for ages 85+ it was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.33–2.20). Generally, the IRRsblack were less than the mortality rate ratios (MRRs) across age groups; however, only in ages 55–64 years and 65–74 years did the 95% CIs of IRRsblack not include the MRRblack. The MRRs for regions were within 95% CIs for IRRs.
National patterns of black-white and regional differences in stroke incidence are similar to those for stroke mortality; however, the magnitude of differences in incidence appear smaller.
We sought to determine whether novel markers not involving ionizing radiation could predict CAC progression in a low-risk population.
Increase in coronary artery calcium (CAC) scores over time (CAC progression) improves prediction of coronary heart disease (CHD) events. Due to radiation exposure, CAC measurement represents an undesirable method for repeated risk assessment, particularly in low predicted risk individuals (Framingham Risk Score [FRS] <10%).
From 6814 MESA participants, 2620 individuals were classified as low risk for CHD events (FRS <10%), and had follow-up CAC measurement. In addition to traditional risk factors [(RFs) - base model], various combinations of novel-marker models were selected based on data-driven, clinical, or backward stepwise selection techniques.
Mean follow-up was 2.5 years. CAC progression occurred in 574 participants (22% overall; 214 of 1830 with baseline CAC =0, and 360 of 790 with baseline CAC >0). Addition of various combinations of novel markers to the base model (c-statistic =0.711), showed improvements in discrimination of approximately only 0.005 each (c-statistics 0.7158, 0.7160 and 0.7164) for the best-fit models. All 3 best-fit novel-marker models calibrated well but were similar to the base model in predicting individual risk probabilities for CAC progression. The highest prevalence of CAC progression occurred in the highest compared to the lowest probability quartile groups (39.2–40.3% versus 6.4–7.1%).
In individuals at low predicted risk by FRS, traditional RFs predicted CAC progression in the short term with good discrimination and calibration. Prediction improved minimally when various novel markers were added to the model.
coronary calcium; Framingham risk score; risk factors; progression
Sedentary behavior is associated with adiposity and cardiometabolic risk.
To determine the associations between sedentary behavior and measures of adiposity-associated inflammation.
Between 2002 and 2005, a total of 1543 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants completed detailed health history questionnaires, underwent physical measurements and had blood assayed for adiponectin, leptin, tumor necrosis factor – alpha (TNF - α) and resistin. Analyses included linear regression completed in 2010. The mean age was 64.3 years and nearly 50% were female. Forty-one percent were non-Hispanic white, 24% Hispanic-American, 20% African-American, and 14% Chinese-American.
In linear regression analyses and with adjustment for age, gender, ethnicity, education, BMI, smoking, alcohol consumption, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, hormone therapy and waist circumference, sedentary behavior was associated with higher natural log (“ln”) of leptin and ln TNF - α but a lower ln adiponectin-to-leptin ratio (β = 0.07, β = 0.03 and –0.07, p < 0.05 for all). Compared to the first tertile, and after the same adjustment, the second and third tertiles of sedentary behavior were associated with higher levels of ln leptin (β = 0.11and β = 0.12, respectively; p < 0.05 for both) but lower levels of the adiponectin-to-leptin ratio (β = –0.09 and –0.11, respectively; p < 0.05 for both).
Sedentary behavior is associated with unfavorable levels of adiposity-associated inflammation.
Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) generates proinflammatory and proatherogenic compounds in the arterial vascular wall and is a potential therapeutic target in coronary heart disease (CHD). We searched for genetic loci related to Lp-PLA2 mass or activity by a genome-wide association study as part of the Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE) Consortium.
Methods and results
In meta-analyses of findings from five population-based studies, comprising 13 664 subjects, variants at two loci (PLA2G7, CETP) were associated with Lp-PLA2 mass. The strongest signal was at rs1805017 in PLA2G7 [P = 2.4 × 10−23, log Lp-PLA2 difference per allele (beta): 0.043]. Variants at six loci were associated with Lp-PLA2 activity (PLA2G7, APOC1, CELSR2, LDL, ZNF259, SCARB1), among which the strongest signals were at rs4420638, near the APOE–APOC1–APOC4–APOC2 cluster [P = 4.9 × 10−30; log Lp-PLA2 difference per allele (beta): −0.054]. There were no significant gene–environment interactions between these eight polymorphisms associated with Lp-PLA2 mass or activity and age, sex, body mass index, or smoking status. Four of the polymorphisms (in APOC1, CELSR2, SCARB1, ZNF259), but not PLA2G7, were significantly associated with CHD in a second study.
Levels of Lp-PLA2 mass and activity were associated with PLA2G7, the gene coding for this protein. Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 activity was also strongly associated with genetic variants related to low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels.
Genome-wide association; Inflammation; Lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2