We have identified age as the strongest determinant of arterial stiffness in this cohort of predominantly elderly patients with CKD stage 3. Other significant independent determinants of aPWV included traditional cardiovascular risk factors such as blood pressure, diabetes, obesity and a marker of dyslipidaemia. Markers of CKD were associated with aPWV only in univariate analysis (eGFR) or were weak determinants of aPWV (albuminuria). Our data therefore suggest that markers of kidney disease are not strong determinants of AS in early CKD and that traditional risk factors for CVD may be more important, or that mechanisms unrelated to AS mediate the association between early CKD and increased cardiovascular risk in this population.
Published data regarding the relationship between AS and CKD appear contradictory. Studies of patients receiving dialysis or with advanced CKD reported significantly increased AS compared with the general population
[32],
[33] but results from studies that included those with earlier stages of CKD are variable. A number of studies have reported associations with reduced GFR and increased AS
[15],
[17],
[34]. In a relatively small study of 102 people with a wide spectrum of CKD (stages 1–5) a clear stepwise increase corresponding to stage of CKD was reported
[15]. Multivariable analysis confirmed an independent association between GFR and aPWV; however only a small number of participants (n

=

45) had CKD stage 3–4 and GFR was substantially lower than in our cohort (mean eGFR of 38 mL/min/1.73 m
2). In a larger study of 2564 patients with CKD who were not receiving dialysis (almost half with diabetes, mean age 60.7 years, mean eGFR 40.7 mL/min/1.73 m
2), Townsend et al. also found an increase in aPWV with declining GFR
[17]. Similarly, a population-based study of 767 people (mean age 68 years, eGFR 60.6 mL/min/1.73 m
2 and ACR 0.57 mg/mmol) targeting screening for type 2 diabetes, found that AS increased as GFR decreased in those with mild CKD (stage 2–3)
[34]. In addition urinary ACR was positively associated with increased AS. On the other hand Briet et al
[18] reported that AS was higher in patients with CKD than in hypertensive patients without CKD, but in the analysis of patients with CKD stage 3–5 they did not find a significant relationship between measured GFR and aPWV. Similarly, in a study of 150 patients with CKD stages 2–5D, aPWV was significantly higher in patients with CKD versus controls without CKD, but aPWV was not higher in those with more advanced CKD
[20]. In another study of patients with CKD, blood pressure was the major determinant of PWV and although PWV correlated with GFR in a univariate analysis, GFR was not an independent determinant of PWV in a multivariable analysis
[35]. Similarly, in 113 patients with CKD, PWV increased with increasing number of components of the metabolic syndrome irrespective of GFR
[36]. In one analysis of data from the Framingham Heart Study that included 181 patients with early CKD and characteristics very similar to ours (mean age 70 years, mean eGFR 51 mL/min/1.73 m
2, median urinary ACR 10 mg/g), AS was not different between those with or without CKD (defined by reduced GFR) after multivariable adjustment at baseline. In a longitudinal analysis, increased AS was not associated with increased risk of developing CKD
[6]. On the other hand, higher aPWV was associated with elevated urinary albumin excretion at baseline and increased risk of developing microalbuminuria. Finally, in the Nephro Test cohort of 180 patients with CKD (mean age 59.6years, eGFR 32 mL/min/1.73 m
2) aortic PWV remained stable during 3.5 years of follow up despite a significant decline in GFR and an increase in albuminuria. Interestingly, increased carotid circumferential wall stress and pulse pressure were associated with a greater risk of progression to ESKD
[19]. Taken together, published data show that arterial stiffness increases in advanced stages of CKD but that changes are more variable in early stages, probably reflecting differences in the populations studied, particularly with respect to age. Thus the lack of an independent negative association between eGFR and increased aPWV in our study as well as the weak association between urinary ACR and increased aPWV are probably attributable to the fact that our study population was predominantly elderly, the range of eGFR values was relatively small and albuminuria was present only in a small minority. These observations are nevertheless important because our study cohort is representative of the majority of people affected by early stage CKD, at least in the UK.
Previous studies have also identified age, blood pressure and the presence of diabetes as determinants of higher aPWV
[6],
[17],
[20]. Our observation that aPWV increased to a greater extent with age in males versus females is consistent with data from another study that identified male gender as an independent determinant of increased aPWV in a large cohort of people with CKD
[17].The increase in AS with age is proposed to be due to overproduction of abnormal collagen fibres and a loss of elastin from the extracellular matrix
[9],
[37]. It is not clear, however, whether this is a time dependant phenomenon directly related to chronological age or if it reflects exposure to other risk factors. Hypertension has long been recognised as a major determinant of arterial stiffness due to the associated medial hypertrophy
[38]. The association between diabetes and arterial stiffness may be due to accumulation of advanced glycation endproducts (AGE) that provoke structural changes in the arterial wall
[22] and the generation of reactive oxygen species that deactivate nitric oxide resulting in endothelial dysfunction
[39].
BMI had an inverse relationship with aPWV. This is surprising because AS has previously been associated with obesity, particularly abdominal obesity
[40], and increased waist to hip ratio was associated with higher aPWV in our univariate analysis. We have previously described that BMI decreased with age in our cohort, likely reflecting a loss of muscle mass
[21]. Our observation may therefore be explained by lower BMI acting as marker of increased age (the dominant determinant of aPWV) that could not be completely corrected for in the multi-variable analysis. Furthermore, we have previously shown that measures of obesity that include central fat distribution are more closely related to important risk factors in those with CKD than BMI
[41].
There are a several limitations to this study. First, this analysis includes only cross-sectional data and we are therefore unable to draw any firm conclusions regarding possible causal relationships between AS and the determinants identified. However, the planned 10-year follow up of the cohort will allow us to investigate the factors that contribute to AS prospectively. Many studies have used aplanation tonometry devices (SphygmoCor™ or Complior™) to measure PWV
[17],
[19],
[20], but these are operator dependant, time consuming to use and not easy to transport. We therefore used the more portable Vicorder™ device which is also operator independent and requires only minutes to obtain a reading. Vicorder™ measurements of aPWV have been shown to be reproducible and correlate well with SphygmoCor™ measurements
[42] but as yet there is no agreed method for making direct comparisons between results obtained by different methods
[43]. A third limitation of our study is the absence of normal controls. Finally, participants comprised only 22% of people invited to participate and may therefore not be representative of all people with CKD stage 3. We were unable for ethical reasons to obtain data on non-participants but our study population was similar to a large population of people with CKD stage 3 derived by pooling data on all patients from several GP databases, suggesting that our participants were broadly representative of patients with CKD stage 3 in primary care in the UK, though with a low proportion of people from ethnic minorities
[44]. Strengths of the study include the large cohort size, robust measures of eGFR and UACR, and detailed clinical assessment of each participant. A single operator performed all assessments, eliminating inter-observer variability.
Conclusion
Age was the strongest determinant of arterial stiffness in this cohort of predominantly elderly patients with CKD stage 3. Other significant independent determinants of aPWV included traditional cardiovascular risk factors such as blood pressure, diabetes, obesity and a marker of dyslipidaemia. Markers of CKD were associated with aPWV only in univariate analysis (eGFR) or were weak determinants of aPWV (albuminuria). Long term follow-up will investigate the importance of arterial stiffness as an independent risk factor for cardiovascular events in this cohort.