After applying our exclusion criteria (Figure

), 449,714 infants were included in the study population. Most infants were eliminated because they were born outside the hospital. Of the study population, 310,776 (69%) were referred to a hospital before the onset of labour and 138,938 (31%) were referred during labour.
Table

shows the distribution of births by time of referral and time of birth, and the occurrence of the adverse perinatal outcomes in each subgroup. Among infants born to mothers referred to a hospital before the onset of labour, differences were observed in the prevalence of all three adverse outcomes among all three time categorizations (off-hours vs. office hours; day of the week; time of the day). Among infants born to mothers referred to a hospital during labour, differences were observed in the prevalence of a low Apgar score, and the composite measure within the time categorizations off-hours vs. office hours, and time of the day, but not for day of the week.
| Table 1Distribution of infants by time of referral and time of birth, and the occurrence of the adverse perinatal outcomes |
Tables

and
show the results of the analyses using the multivariate models. Because the differences between the results of the analyses using the baseline models and the analyses using the extended models were small, we will only describe the results of the extended models. An increased risk of an adverse perinatal outcome was observed among infants born during the evening or night irrespective of whether the mother was under the care of a hospital before the onset of labour or referred during labour or delivery.
| Table 2Adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for the effect of time of birth by referral status (intrapartum and antepartum) and outcome |
| Table 3Adjusted odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for the effect of time of birth by referral status (intrapartum and antepartum) and outcome |
The risk of intrapartum or early neonatal death for infants born to mothers who were referred before the onset of labour is increased if labour was induced or augmented, and birth took place in the evening or at night. It was also increased if labour occurred naturally and delivery was performed by emergency caesarean section at night. Infants born in the evening or at night had an increased risk of a low Apgar score if their mothers were referred before the onset of labour, had labour induced or augmented, and achieved spontaneous or instrumental vaginal delivery. Irrespective of the mode of delivery, children of mothers referred during labour and in who labour was augmented were more likely to have a low Apgar score if the delivery occurred during the night. Increased risk of the composite outcome during evening or night birth was observed among subgroups similar to those at risk of a low Apgar score.
Among children born to mothers who were referred before the onset of labour, had no induction or augmentation of labour, and achieved spontaneous or instrumental delivery, we observed no increase in risk associated with birth during the evening, at night orduring the weekend. Weekend birth was not associated with an increased risk in an adverse perinatal outcome for any subgroup when compared to weekday births.
After adjusting for multiple comparisons, using the Holm correction method, half of the findings remained significant at the 0.05 level (see Tables

and
).
Table

shows the number of cases that can be attributed to the off-hours effect in the period 2003 through 2007, assuming that the effect measures as calculated and presented in Tables

and
, are true. The predicted number of cases with an adverse perinatal outcome attributable to the off-hours effect is between 630 and 704, depending on the statistical model used. This represents 4% to 4.5% of all cases with adverse perinatal outcomes. The majority (64-67%) of these infants were born to mothers who were already under the care of the hospital before the onset of labour, whose labour was induced or augmented, and who achieved vaginal (spontaneous or instrumental) delivery. The number of cases of intrapartum and early neonatal death attributable to the off-hours effect is 103, in both models. Of these, 59 to 65% were under hospital care before the onset of labour and labour was induced or augmented. The population attributable risk (PAR) for this subgroup is over 20%. A substantial proportion (18-32%) of perinatal deaths among infants born to mothers who were neither induced nor augmented, and who eventually delivered by an emergency caesarean section is attributable to the off-hours effect, irrespective of referral before or during labour. For a low Apgar score and the composite outcome measure the picture is similar, although the PARs for a low Apgar score are somewhat higher.
| Table 4Calculated number of cases attributable to the off-hours effect per subgroup and in total in the years 2003 through 2007 |