As people get older, they are more likely to experience a chronic disease, such as cardiovascular disease (CVD) or osteoarthritis (OA), and many will experience two or more chronic diseases at the same time [
1]. With increasing life spans, each individual is more likely to experience multiple chronic diseases. Yet, in the day-to-day management of patients, the focus has often been on single chronic disease [
2]. Such approaches do not acknowledge or address the common experience of older populations with multiple chronic diseases such as CVD and OA. Implications for the impact on health care and health care systems lie, for example, in the variations in the clinical decision-making process as exemplified by referrals [
3] and in mortality outcomes [
4], which could be explained by the presence of multiple chronic diseases in the same individual. It has been argued that the management of single diseases may distort the provision of good health care by not addressing the potential interactions of different conditions and therefore not appropriately assessing the management of each chronic illness in the real clinical situation [
5]. Consideration of potential patterns of care in patients with comorbidity requires a broader perspective on management and the clinical pathways, and alternative approaches are required to address this problem [
6]. From an international perspective, in an ageing European population, this issue is set to become an increasing public health priority. Current estimates range up to 30 million European sufferers with two or more chronic diseases, with further increases likely as the number of older Europeans expands by an estimated 30% in the next 25

years [
7].
Two of the commonest chronic diseases experienced by older people in the general population are CVD and OA [
8]. Cardiovascular disease, shares many of the chronic disease characteristics shown by OA, and is an important cause of disability as well as mortality. A range of studies have shown that CVD is associated with poor physical health, and this relationship influences management progression and health care outcomes. For example, people with poor physical health are likely to report greater CVD health needs [
9], the progression of CVD symptoms is likely to be associated with poor physical health [
10] and this in consequence is likely to lead to higher hospital admissions and mortality [
11]. In a similar pattern to OA, co-existing depression adversely influences symptoms of CVD and is more likely to be associated with poor physical health [
12]. Specific studies have also shown that poor physical health is associated with CVD that range from hypertension, atrial fibrillation, angina, myocardial infarction to heart failure. Some studies indicate that poor health in hypertension is unexplained by socio-demographic factors or comorbidity [
13], in atrial fibrillation is dependent on the severity of symptoms [
14], in angina patients is associated with depression and anxiety [
15], and in myocardial infarction or heart failure is associated with poor health care outcomes [
16,
17].
Osteoarthritis is the most frequent reason for restricted activity in daily life [
18] and has a high impact on health care use and costs [
19], both in hospital (for example, joint replacements [
20]) and in primary care in relation to consultations and drug use [
21]. The prevalence of many other disabling conditions also rises with age, and some common chronic conditions can be found alongside OA, including CVD [
22]. We have previously shown that there are specific associations in OA sufferers in general practice [
23] and that the combination of OA and comorbidity is associated with much poorer physical health [
24]. Several studies have shown that OA and specific CVD are associated together and this co-occurrence is independent of age [
25,
26]. Explanations for this finding include pathologic links, similar and shared risk factors or intermediary links, such as drugs (anti-inflammatories). In addition to adverse mortality outcomes, previous OA studies have also shown that people with CVD comorbidity have poor quality of life, and that co-existing conditions such as depression can influence similar outcomes [
27,
28].
In primary care, where multiple morbidity is the rule rather than the exception [
29,
30], general practitioners and primary care by definition deal with many different morbidities presented by the same individual. As each encounter contributing to multiple morbidity is routinely recorded during consultations and subsequently in historical records, so a catalogue of health states emerges through which an individual passes over time. Such health events might be linked to each other [
31], because they represent overlapping syndromes [
32] or are a result of shared causes or mechanisms, and their interactions might help to explain different patterns in health course or progression. Studies of multiple morbidity in primary care, based on a limited number of empirically selected chronic conditions, have shown that it is negatively associated with overall health [
33] and that it is associated with increased referral to secondary care and increased health care costs [
1,
34]. Whilst, studies of the association between specific chronic diseases and overall health have been completed, especially in relation to changes within intervention studies, very few studies have examined the patterns of change in health that leads to consultation [
35] and in those with specific dual chronic diseases at the same time. How comorbidity influences short and longer-term health status in CVD or OA, how it causes changes in health status, and how it influences health care management decisions is unknown.
Within the broad terms of CVD or OA, there will be spectrum of different disease categories for each individual chronic disease. So for example, the term ‘CVD’ encapsulates a spectrum ranging from hypertension to chronic congestive heart failure as outlined, and ‘OA’ encapsulates a spectrum of joint-specific problems. In each spectrum, each stage implicitly carries the notion of the process of disease severity related to a specific outcome. For example, in people with OA, impact on mobility will be dependent on the joint site and whether there is pain with or without radiographic change, whereas, the stage of CVD will determine outcomes, such as health status and mortality. In the course of chronic disease development in populations, it is the stages within each disease process that offers one definition of ‘severity’. Studies, for example, in the CVD field, suggest that the lifetime risk of different CVD varies with age and the related risk factors [
36-
38]. So instead of simply using broad disease categories, the spectrum of CVD ‘severity’ potentially offers an empirical way of exploring the disease gradient to investigate whether the interaction between two individual chronic diseases and its impact on health is over and above that which we might expect from simply combining the individual effects.
Using an empirically defined order of disease severity we intend to use hypertension, ischaemic heart disease (angina or myocardial infarction) and heart failure as indicators of CVD severity with comorbid OA defined as a single broad category. In this study we propose to investigate the specific interaction of CVD severity and OA comorbidity on:
(i) the progression of physical health (with the null hypothesis: that the adverse influence on physical health is the same for CVD and comorbid OA compared to those with either index condition alone), and
(ii) the associated clinical decisions in consulting adult general practice populations aged 40

years and over compared to consulters with either condition alone or without either condition (with the null hypothesis: that clinical decisions are the same for CVD and comorbid OA compared to those with either index chronic disease).