This pilot study showed that the construct validity of both the interview TTO and computer TTO was poor in patients with RA when using measures of HRQol, general health, pain and functional status as reference measures. After exclusion of zero-traders from analysis, the results improved. This finding was expected, because zero-traders did not have a significantly different health status compared with traders. Indications of the poor convergent validity of the TTO were also found in other studies in RA and studies in other diseases [
4-
6,
9,
15-
17]. In most of these studies it was unclear how many participants were zero-traders and whether they were in- or excluded. One study reported similar results when in- or excluding zero-traders from analysis [
15]. In our study, we did not find the TTO to be discriminative for any of the health outcome measures used. Other studies found evidence for and against its discriminative ability [
4,
5,
9,
16]. Contradicting findings were found for pain and disease activity scores in patients with RA [
4,
5] and for functional status scores in patients with cardiovascular disease [
9,
16].
All these studies were found to have differences in the TTO procedure applied. This might explain the contradicting results regarding the discriminative ability of the TTO. Beside the mode of administration, studies differed in the time frame used (remaining life expectancy [
4,
5,
16-
18], time frame dependent on age group [
6] or not mentioned [
15]). Furthermore, some studies described the way in which people had to think about current health [
16,
17] and/or about the anchors perfect health [
4,
5,
16] and death [
16], whereas other studies did not [
6,
9,
18]. One study used a symptom-free anchor (‘no angina’) instead of ‘perfect health’ [
9]. In many studies it was stated that a visual aid was used, although no further information was given about its representation [
4-
6]. Besides, many studies did not report the precise method of elicitation (e.g. ping-pong) [
4-
6,
9,
18].
In our study, the TTO procedure applied was precisely described, facilitating the comparison with other studies. Strengths of this study were the fact that we used two different TTO assessments and that we used a broad set of PROs in a homogeneous population consisting of RA patients. A limitation of this study was the use of a small convenience sample.
There are several explanations possible for the results of our study, irrespective of the TTO procedure used. First, the low correlation with the SF-6D, another preference-based instrument, can be partly explained by the difference in perspective used to obtain utilities. SF-6D utilities are derived from the general public, so these scores represent a societal perspective. TTO scores were directly calculated from the patients’ preferences, representing a patient perspective. Secondly, except for the SF-36 and SF-6D, the comparators used in this study only measure one aspect (e.g. functional status) of the construct quality of life. Furthermore, except for the SF-6D, the comparators are descriptive which implies that valuations of health states are not assessed. With these measures patients are asked about their levels of impaired health or pain, whereas personal preferences toward their health state remain unrevealed. It is possible that people with the same health state report different utilities if they have different ‘aspirations’ [
18]. Nease et al. illustrate this by the example that inability to walk ‘more than a city block’ does not have to be a limitation if someone does not desire to be active [
18]. Therefore, it would be worthwhile to examine in future studies whether it is better to validate the TTO against individualized measures of personal preferences, such as the SEIQOL [
19,
20] or MACTAR [
21]. Thirdly, it has been found that preferences are prone to biases inherently to the nature of the TTO, such as loss aversion. Loss aversion can be observed when a choice has to be made between ‘remaining the status quo’ (remaining in the current health state) and ‘accepting an alternative to it’ (trading off life years for perfect health). In that case people will evaluate the advantages and disadvantages of the alternative in terms of losses and gains [
22]. The TTO asks people about their willingness to trade off life years (a loss) for optimal health (a gain) [
23]. Because ‘losses loom larger than gains’ [
22], people become reluctant to give up life years. This will result in higher utilities, as supported by findings of Van Osch et al. [
24]. Furthermore, TTO utilities might be influenced by other factors that are unrelated to current health [
15], such as family-related aspects, for example having children [
2] or seeing grandchildren grow up [
17]. Finally, the nature of the disease can influence utilities. Asking patients to trade off life years may feel unrealistic, because patients with RA do not perceive their disease as life-threatening [
6]. Therefore, people may be less willing or not willing at all to trade off life years. Our results are indicative of this: irrespective of health, a relatively large number of participants were not willing to trade any life year for perfect health. For chronic illnesses such as RA there may be more realistic health-related anchors, for example ‘becoming dependent on others’ and ‘having increased physical limitations’, which were reported by RA patients to worry them [
25,
26]. It could be examined whether the validity of the TTO improves when changing the trade-off about dying earlier in other more realistic (health-related) trade-offs. The use of a ‘chained’ TTO procedure could also improve the validity of the TTO. In a chained procedure, the health state of interest is not directly compared with death but indirectly with the aid of an intermediate anchor health state [
27-
29]. A limitation is that a chained procedure is more complex, because it adds an additional step to the valuation process, possibly leading to extra noise [
28]. Limited research has been performed on the chained TTO and has been mainly applied in temporary health states [
28-
30]. For chronic health states it has been shown that chained TTOs are systematically biased upwards (when the worst endpoint was varied) or downwards (when the best endpoint was varied), but that it is possible to correct for these biases [
31]. However, the respondents were not patients, but healthy people and women at high risk for breast cancer. Research in chronically ill patients examining the validity of the chained TTO for chronic states is lacking.