Establishing the NCSP
We did not identify a consistent theoretical basis for the NCSP. However, two underlying themes emerged that underpinned the establishment and implementation of the NCSP. We refer to the first theme as ‘explicit’ because it is central to the stated aims of the Programme and the second theme as ‘implicit’ because it was not stated in policy documents but emerged from interviews.
Theme 1: The first theme corresponds to the explicitly stated aims of the NCSP, which are to reduce chlamydia prevalence and sequelae, in response to concerns about rising diagnoses (Figure , dark blue boxes). Diagnosis was made possible by the advent of new technology, which was highly sensitive to detecting chlamydia and in contrast to older tests, was much less invasive, often requiring a urine test only. As the illustrative quotes below indicate, he importance of advances in diagnostic technology for the introduction of screening was corroborated by evidence from interviews, and other contemporary documents.
The CMO’s report identified chlamydia as a public health problem and screening as the policy response. This position was widely supported by the scientific and clinical community in England:
"The personal and economic costs of untreated genital chlamydial infection are considerable."
"The role of chlamydia in infertility is well documented: the disease may be implicated in as much as 50

% of cases."
Boag and Kelly, BMJ, 1999 [
32]
"We’d been seeing chlamydia figures going up and up and there was a growing awareness that it was a major cause of pelvic inflammatory disease…. ectopic pregnancy and I suppose to my mind the trigger for all of this probably was the advent of molecular diagnostics, the idea that actually you could undertake testing using so-called non-invasive specimens."
Interview, CMO Expert Advisory Group member (1996–2001)
While the CMO’s report acknowledged that data on prevalence of chlamydia sequelae were “incomplete” and “uncertain”, its bold statements that sequelae were “severe” and that management would result in “considerable health benefit” [
2] went largely unchallenged in subsequent commentaries and letters, despite the lack of trial evidence from England at that time and the incomplete knowledge concerning the prevalence and natural history of chlamydia. Instead, discussions focused on the extent to which screening would be acceptable to young people and how it should be delivered. This is illustrated in the quotes below:
Theme 2: A second theme also emerged from the interviews (Figure , light blue boxes). It was not referenced in policy documents, and we therefore refer to it as an implicit theme. This was concerned with the contribution of chlamydia screening to advancing wider sexual health service delivery. As described in the timeline and in interviews, sexual health services in the late 1990s/early 2000s were in urgent need of serious investment:
"The case for screening is made."
Boag and Kelly, BMJ, 1999 [
32]
"The Chief Medical Officer's plan for immediate action on Chlamydia trachomatis…is a step in the right direction, but it does not go far enough."
Letter from Opaneye, BMJ, 1999 (in response to Boag & Kelly editorial) [
32]
"I was shocked when I looked back at it [the CMO’s report]. And actually it doesn’t question whether there should be a screening programme, the decision has obviously been made and it’s just which target groups, which tests."
Interview, Independent academic expert (1996–2011)
"[A pilot of] opportunistic testing … achieved coverage of under 30

% among its target population…If the low response … is repeated in national pilot studies using similar methodology then few individuals are likely to achieve long term health benefits and community transmission is unlikely to be greatly reduced."
Letter from Macleod et al, BMJ, 1999 (in response to Boag and Kelly editorial) [
32]
"[The NHS pilots aimed to find out] how feasible was it to ask people to pee in a pot [i.e. do a urine test]… for an STI they hadn’t actually gone along to ask about in the first place."
Interview, NCSP Steering Group member (1999–2008)
"It was all part of a growing dissatisfaction with a resurgence in STDs. There were real concerns about access to clinical services, under capacity in GUM clinics waiting times, you know that was part of the narrative that had its origins in the late 1990s."
Interview, NCSP Steering Group member (2000–2004)
Rising chlamydia diagnoses were quoted by interviewees and widely in policy documents to support claims of increasing burden of sexual ill-health:
"England is currently witnessing a rapid decline in its sexual health. Around one in ten sexually active young women (and many men) are infected with chlamydia. Syphilis rates have increased by 500

% in the last six years and those for gonorrhoea have doubled. Rates of teenage pregnancy are the highest in Europe. Sexual dysfunction is a largely silent problem within society. Sexual health services appear ill-equipped to deal with the crisis that confronts them."
Third report of session 2002–03 on sexual health, House of Commons Health Committee, 2003 [
33]
As shown in the timeline and corroborated in the interview data, in contrast to the previous decade, significant efforts were now successful in gaining political recognition of this problem:
"At that point to put sexual health into a historical context, it was very much seen as the Cinderella service of all services right across the board…. We had the first ever national strategy on sexual health and that had taken 18

months or so to do."
Interview, Independent Sexual Health Advisory Group member (2002–2011)
Chlamydia screening was recognised as a vehicle to engage young people in discussions about their sexual health and an opportunity to drive increased access to services for management of STIs (white dotted-line box, Figure ). This was evident from interviews and from an article by those leading the first English screening pilots:
"The proposed screening programme would demand changes in clinical practice and closer alliances between health services. This provides an opportunity for new partnerships to be formed and facilitates a more integrated approach to health care. In many ways, it heralds the approach that is required to manage the wide variety of sexual health issues that confront us today."
Pimenta et al, BMJ, 2000 [
34]
"[Chlamydia screening was] an opportunity for driving up sexual health care, sexual health consultations."
Interview, CMO Advisory Expert Advisory Group member (1996–1998)
Specifically, implementing a programme of chlamydia screening was expected to expand sexual healthcare in primary care and contraceptive services:
"It was clear that what we were setting up was not just any proof of concept but a true opportunity to get STDs out of the GUM sector and into the mainstream of health protection in England."
Interview, NCSP Steering Group member (2000–2004)
"From a service delivery point of view we did also see this not only as increasing chlamydia testing and the effects on chlamydia, but also to improve access to sexual reproductive health services. If we could get more of the right people through the Screening Programme, it could have a positive effect on sexual reproductive health services."
Interview, National policy maker (2000–2005)
Although the Government frequently refers to chlamydia screening as part of its service reforms, neither expanding access to sexual health care nor engaging young people in sexual health were stated aims of the NCSP. Similarly, this theme does not feature in the CMO’s report [
2], despite interview evidence that it was discussed within the Expert Advisory Group:
"[Chlamydia] was a credible relevant topic to talk about and to open up that dialogue in sexual health matters in a broader sense so there was definitely discussion about that in the CMO group."
Interview, CMO Advisory Expert Advisory Group member (1996–1998)
"What one person [in the CMO’s group] said to me was, ‘we see this Programme as being about the de-stigmatisation of sexual health services’."
Interview, National Screening Committee member (1996–2007)
The aspiration to use screening in order to expand community sexual health services and to promote discussion of sexual health with young people therefore appears as an important, but largely implicit, influencing factor in establishing the NCSP.
Our analysis also suggests however, that this implicit theme influenced key implementation decisions. These decisions included men’s eligibility for screening, where there is little empirical evidence to guide decisions; most published randomised controlled trials (RCTs) have been conducted on women [
18,
30]. The CMO’s Expert Advisory Group report (1998) initially recommended that screening should focus on women only. This proposal was adopted in the first phases of implementation. The CMO’s recommendation was based partly on considerations of feasibility, recognising that women are “are more likely to attend health care settings” [
35]. However, the NCSP policy changed since the initial phases to recommend that programmes should screen men and women equally [
36]. This was partly because studies conducted since the CMO’s report found chlamydia prevalence was similar in men and women [
37,
38]. However, there was still no evidence that including men in the target population for the NCSP would be cost effective in preventing chlamydia-related harms. Our interviews and documentary evidence suggest that the policy change was based less on the potential to control chlamydia, and more to promote equitable engagement of men in sexual health:
"[Screening men would] …give health professionals and researchers the opportunity systematically to investigate and address men's understanding of their sexuality and sexual behaviour."
Duncan and Hart, BMJ, 1999 [
39]
"There was not robust evidence to say – when the decision was made –that screening men would be cost-effective."
Interview, NCSP Steering Group member (2000–2004)
"There was concern we were focusing chlamydia screening efforts only on women and really missing an opportunity in engaging men in sexual health."
Interview, NCSP Steering Group member (2002–2005)
"[A focus on women only] ignored the (albeit small) long-term health risks to men and, by placing the focus on women, seemed unfairly to place the entire responsibility on women too."
Men’s Health Forum, 2005 [
40]
Roll out of the Programme
The two themes evolved during implementation of the NCSP.
Theme 1: Following rollout across the country, the gaps in the evidence base to justify screening were now more widely recognised. Flaws in early RCTs and questions about the effectiveness of screening to control chlamydia and prevent reproductive ill-health led to questions about the “alacrity” with which “influential groups have adopted chlamydia screening” [
41]. As the quote below shows, he gaps in the evidence surrounding the natural history of chlamydia became a central question for researchers.
"What I think we really need to know is what the natural history of chlamydia is. We just simply don’t know what we’re dealing with and on what scale and if you don’t know that you can’t know whether your benefits are going to outweigh your harms. It’s not enough to say you have some case control studies to say that pelvic inflammatory disease is associated with chlamydia or ectopic pregnancy is associated with chlamydia."
Interview, Independent academic expert (1999–2011)
These questions also led to questions about the policy of funding chlamydia screening in England:
Theme 2: The focus of the NCSP’s monitoring was entirely on delivery of testing and managing infections so any wider effects were not formally captured. Evidence from interviews suggests that early in implementation, the NCSP drove integration of services to some extent and did contribute to expanding sexual healthcare delivery beyond specialist services:
"….the Department does not know how often infection leads to serious health problems and hence whether it is cost-effective to invest so much public money in tackling this problem."
National Audit Office, 2009 [
3]
"Even people who are critics of it [the NCSP] would say it’s done more to bring together, force people to talk to each other, to work together… I think without the driver of the Programme, we wouldn’t have seen it to the extent it has happened."
Interview, National policy maker (2001–2010)
There was some evidence that providers in new services used chlamydia screening as an opportunity to discuss sexual health with young people outside services.
"I do think above everything else it[offering chlamydia screening] gives the opportunity to engage in a conversation about sexual health which we’ve not been able to do before."
Interview, Local implementer (2008–2011)
As the Programme expanded, pressure to achieve high coverage led to new services focusing solely on chlamydia testing. These services became divorced from mainstream care and offered little opportunity for sexual health promotion [
3]. The National Audit Office reported in 2009 that 40

% of young people tested within the NCSP by did not receive sexual health advice.
"I don’t think the intention was ever that we would set up a programme separate and different from other aspects of sexual health locally, but unfortunately that’s what seems to have evolved."
Interview, National policy maker (2001–2010)
"I’m still going to areas where they are missing a trick, that the chlamydia programme and the chlamydia staff, they’ve got a huge role to play in the teenage pregnancy agenda. It’s part of sexual health. You know, it was very much put in its own little silo and even though we wanted it to be a sustainable programme."
Interview, National policy maker (2002–2005)
"The targets take away from what we’re doing sometimes; it’s very hard for people offering screening not to feel targets are all we care about."
Interview, Local implementer (2008–2011)
In addition, our interviews reflect the conflict between achieving testing volumes and providing integrated sexual health care through chlamydia screening. The following two quotes come from two people involved during a similar period of the NCSP’s development, both working to implement the NCSP at a national level. These show that some of those involved in implementing the NCSP at a national level stated it was unacceptable for health professionals to avoid discussing sexual health with young people. However, others minimised the input required from health professionals:
"It still amazes me, last week, I was … hearing from the contraception service that … our ladies don’t come here to talk about sex and sexually transmitted infections. As far as I’m concerned that’s medically negligent."
Interview, National policy maker (2002–2005)
"The amount of time that GPs need to spend directly talking about sex with their clients is zero frankly, they may have to say have you been screened for chlamydia this year …… and if the patient said no, give them a leaflet."
Interview, National implementer Implementer (2001–2004)