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BMC Cancer. 2012; 12: 25.
Published online 2012 January 19. doi:  10.1186/1471-2407-12-25
PMCID: PMC3271031
Cholesterol and the risk of grade-specific prostate cancer incidence: evidence from two large prospective cohort studies with up to 37 years' follow up
Kashif Shafique,corresponding author1 Philip McLoone,2 Khaver Qureshi,3 Hing Leung,3,4 Carole Hart,1 and David S Morrison2
1Institute of Health & Wellbeing, Public Health, University of Glasgow, 1 Lilybank Gardens, Glasgow G12 8RZ, UK
2West of Scotland Cancer Surveillance Unit, University of Glasgow, 1 Lilybank Gardens, Glasgow G12 8RZ, UK
3Urology Department, Gartnavel General Hospital, 1053 Great Western Road, Glasgow G12 0YN, UK
4Beatson Institute for Cancer Research, Garscube Estate, Switchback Road, Bearsden, Glasgow G61 1BD, UK
corresponding authorCorresponding author.
Kashif Shafique: k.shafique.1/at/research.gla.ac.uk; Philip McLoone: philip.mcloone/at/glasgow.ac.uk; Khaver Qureshi: Khaver.qureshi/at/ggc.scot.nhs.uk; Hing Leung: h.leung/at/beatson.gla.ac.uk; Carole Hart: carole.hart/at/glasgow.ac.uk; David S Morrison: david.morrison/at/glasgow.ac.uk
Received September 1, 2011; Accepted January 19, 2012.
Abstract
Background
High cholesterol may be a modifiable risk factor for prostate cancer but results have been inconsistent and subject to potential "reverse causality" where undetected disease modifies cholesterol prior to diagnosis.
Methods
We conducted a prospective cohort study of 12,926 men who were enrolled in the Midspan studies between 1970 and 1976 and followed up to 31st December 2007. We used Cox-Proportional Hazards Models to evaluate the association between baseline plasma cholesterol and Gleason grade-specific prostate cancer incidence. We excluded cancers detected within at least 5 years of cholesterol assay.
Results
650 men developed prostate cancer in up to 37 years' follow-up. Baseline plasma cholesterol was positively associated with hazard of high grade (Gleason score≥8) prostate cancer incidence (n = 119). The association was greatest among men in the 2nd highest quintile for cholesterol, 6.1 to < 6.69 mmol/l, Hazard Ratio 2.28, 95% CI 1.27 to 4.10, compared with the baseline of < 5.05 mmol/l. This association remained significant after adjustment for body mass index, smoking and socioeconomic status.
Conclusions
Men with higher cholesterol are at greater risk of developing high-grade prostate cancer but not overall risk of prostate cancer. Interventions to minimise metabolic risk factors may have a role in reducing incidence of aggressive prostate cancer.
Keywords: Cholesterol, Prostate cancer, Incidence, Gleason grade
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