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CD8+ T-cell deficiency is a feature of many chronic autoimmune diseases, including multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, systemic lupus erythematosus, Sjögren's syndrome, systemic sclerosis, dermatomyositis, primary biliary cirrhosis, primary sclerosing cholangitis, ulcerative colitis, Crohn's disease, psoriasis, vitiligo, bullous pemphigoid, alopecia areata, idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy, type 1 diabetes mellitus, Graves' disease, Hashimoto's thyroiditis, myasthenia gravis, IgA nephropathy, membranous nephropathy, and pernicious anaemia. It also occurs in healthy blood relatives of patients with autoimmune diseases, suggesting it is genetically determined. Here it is proposed that this CD8+ T-cell deficiency underlies the development of chronic autoimmune diseases by impairing CD8+ T-cell control of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection, with the result that EBV-infected autoreactive B cells accumulate in the target organ where they produce pathogenic autoantibodies and provide costimulatory survival signals to autoreactive T cells which would otherwise die in the target organ by activation-induced apoptosis. Autoimmunity is postulated to evolve in the following steps: (1) CD8+ T-cell deficiency, (2) primary EBV infection, (3) decreased CD8+ T-cell control of EBV, (4) increased EBV load and increased anti-EBV antibodies, (5) EBV infection in the target organ, (6) clonal expansion of EBV-infected autoreactive B cells in the target organ, (7) infiltration of autoreactive T cells into the target organ, and (8) development of ectopic lymphoid follicles in the target organ. It is also proposed that deprivation of sunlight and vitamin D at higher latitudes facilitates the development of autoimmune diseases by aggravating the CD8+ T-cell deficiency and thereby further impairing control of EBV. The hypothesis makes predictions which can be tested, including the prevention and successful treatment of chronic autoimmune diseases by controlling EBV infection.
Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) has been suspected of involvement in the pathogenesis of various chronic autoimmune diseases since the finding of elevated levels of antibody to the virus in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in 1971 . Generally the effect of EBV infection has been attributed to immunological cross-reactivity between EBV and self-antigens [2–4]; however, in 2003 the EBV-infected autoreactive B-cell hypothesis of autoimmunity was proposed as the basis for human chronic autoimmune diseases . This hypothesis proposes that, in genetically susceptible individuals, EBV-infected autoreactive B cells seed the target organ where they produce pathogenic autoantibodies and provide costimulatory survival signals to autoreactive T cells which would otherwise die in the target organ by activation-induced apoptosis  (Figure 1). The present article presents a further development of this hypothesis, proposing that susceptibility to develop chronic autoimmune diseases after EBV infection is dependent on a genetically determined quantitative deficiency of the cytotoxic CD8+ T cells that normally keep EBV infection under tight control. It is postulated that autoimmunity evolves in the following steps: (1) CD8+ T-cell deficiency; (2) primary EBV infection; (3) decreased CD8+ T-cell control of EBV; (4) increased EBV load and increased anti-EBV antibodies; (5) EBV infection in the target organ; (6) clonal expansion of EBV-infected autoreactive B cells in the target organ; (7) infiltration of autoreactive T cells into the target organ; and (8) development of ectopic lymphoid follicles in the target organ (Figure 2).
The evidence for each of these steps is considered in turn after a general introduction to EBV. There follows a summary of the proposed scenario for the development of autoimmune diseases and suggested strategies for testing the hypothesis.
EBV is a ubiquitous human herpesvirus that has the unique ability to infect, activate, and latently persist in B lymphocytes for the lifetime of the infected individual. During primary infection, EBV transmitted via saliva infects naïve B cells in the tonsil through the binding of the viral surface glycoprotein gp350 to complement receptor 2 (also known as CD21), which is expressed by mature B-cells and follicular dendritic cells . EBV drives the infected B cell out of the resting state to become an activated B blast and then exploits the normal pathways of B cell differentiation so that the B blast differentiates in a germinal centre to become a latently infected resting memory B cell which exits from the germinal centre and circulates in the blood . Latently infected memory B cells returning to the tonsil can terminally differentiate into plasma cells, which initiates the lytic (replicative) cycle with the production of infectious virus . The resulting free virions infect tonsil epithelial cells where the virus replicates at a high rate and is continuously shed into saliva for transmission to new hosts . Newly formed virus can also infect additional naïve B cells in the same host.
Latently infected memory B cells display the molecular hallmarks of classical antigen-selected memory B cells, namely, somatic hypermutation and class-switch recombination of their immunoglobulin (Ig) genes . In normal B-cell differentiation, naïve B cells are activated by antigen through the B-cell receptor (BCR) and by T-cell help through the CD40 receptor so that they proliferate and progress through a germinal centre reaction. Remarkably, EBV expresses two proteins, latent membrane protein 2A (LMP2A) and LMP1, which mimic the antigen-activated BCR and the activated CD40 receptor, respectively [11, 12]. In the tonsil LMP2A and LMP1 appear to work synergistically with BCR signalling and CD40 signalling, respectively .
EBV infection is normally kept under tight control by EBV-specific immune responses, especially by cytotoxic CD8+ T cells which eliminate proliferating and lytically infected B cells . In the developing world most children become infected within the first three years of life, and EBV seropositivity reaches 100% within the first decade . These early primary infections are almost always asymptomatic. In contrast, in the developed world, up to half the children are still EBV seronegative at the end of their first decade and subsequently become infected through intimate oral contact in adolescence or young adulthood . As many as 50% of these delayed primary infections are symptomatic and manifest as acute infectious mononucleosis.
Since 1980 it has been recognized that the proportion and number of CD8+ T cells in the peripheral blood are decreased and that the CD4/CD8 ratio is increased in patients with autoimmune diseases, including multiple sclerosis (MS) [16–21], rheumatoid arthritis (RA) [22, 23], SLE [24, 25], Sjögren's syndrome [25, 26], systemic sclerosis [27, 28], dermatomyositis [29, 30], primary biliary cirrhosis , primary sclerosing cholangitis , ulcerative colitis [33, 34], Crohn's disease , psoriasis , vitiligo [36, 37], bullous pemphigoid [38, 39], alopecia areata , idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy [41, 42], type 1 diabetes mellitus [43–46], Graves' disease [47, 48], Hashimoto's thyroiditis [47, 49], myasthenia gravis [50, 51], IgA nephropathy [52, 53], membranous nephropathy (or membranous glomerulonephritis) [52, 53], and pernicious anaemia [54, 55]. Although some studies have not found CD8+ T-cell deficiency in patients with autoimmune diseases  or have attributed the deficiency to hormonal factors , CD8+ T-cell deficiency would appear to be a general feature of human chronic autoimmune diseases. This was initially interpreted as a decrease in suppressor CD8+ T cells leading to disinhibition of autoimmune responses [16, 22, 24, 47, 50] but later attributed to sequestration of CD8+ T cells in the target organ [19, 23, 31] because CD8+ T cells are selectively enriched compared to CD4+ T cells in the target organ in some autoimmune diseases [23, 58]. However, if CD8+ T cells are accumulating in the target organ because of the presence of EBV, the number of CD8+ T cells in the blood should increase, not decrease, because normally the CD8+ T-cell response increases with EBV load [59–61]. An alternative explanation, and the one proposed here, is that a genetic deficiency of CD8+ T cells results in a decreased CD8+ T-cell response to EBV, which allows EBV-infected B cells to accumulate in the target organ.
The CD4/CD8 T-cell ratio in humans is genetically controlled , with at least some of the responsible genes being located in the HLA complex . The CD8+ T cell deficiency and increased CD4/CD8 ratio in autoimmune diseases are also present in the healthy blood relatives of patients with these diseases [36, 45, 46, 64, 65], indicating that the abnormalities are genetically determined and not secondary to the disease process. Interestingly, females generally have lower proportions and numbers of CD8+ T cells, higher proportions and numbers of CD4+ T cells, and higher CD4/CD8 ratios than males [62, 66–70]. These gender differences appear to be hormonally mediated because oestrogen deficiency substantially increases the proportion and number of CD8+ T cells and decreases the CD4/CD8 ratio, with the ratio directly correlating with the serum oestradiol level . Lower numbers of CD8+ T cells in females might contribute to the higher frequency of autoimmune diseases in females than males. Because the number of CD8+ T cells normally declines with increasing age, particularly through childhood , but also through adulthood [62, 70, 73], the primary CD8+ T cell deficiency will be aggravated as each person ages, as occurs in patients with MS  (Figure 3).
Exposure to natural sunlight or treatment in a solarium increases the proportion of CD8+ T cells and decreases the CD4/CD8 T cell ratio in peripheral blood [75–77]. Exactly how sunlight increases the number of CD8+ T cells is unclear, but the effect is probably mediated at least in part by vitamin D because (1) among cells of the immune system, activated CD8+ T cells express the highest concentrations of the vitamin D receptor ; (2) vitamin D increases the mitogen-induced proliferation of CD8+ T cells and decreases the CD4/CD8 ratio in bovine peripheral blood mononuclear cells in vitro ; (3) vitamin D administration increases the CD8+ T cell count ; (4) vitamin D deficiency is associated with a decreased proportion of CD8+ T cells and increased CD4/CD8 ratio . Here it is proposed that deprivation of sunlight and vitamin D aggravates the genetically determined CD8+ T cell deficiency and impaired control of EBV infection and thereby contributes to the high prevalence of autoimmune diseases such as MS, type 1 diabetes, and RA at high latitudes [82–84] (Figure 3) and that the protective effect of vitamin D against autoimmune diseases [85–87] is mediated at least in part by an increase in the number of CD8+ T cells available to control EBV. A higher frequency of late primary EBV infection at higher latitude might also contribute to the latitudinal gradient .
Patients with MS are almost universally (>99%) seropositive for EBV, but not for other viruses [89, 90]. In a meta-analysis of 13 case-control studies comparing EBV serology in MS patients and controls, 99.5% of MS patients were EBV seropositive compared to 94.0% of controls, with EBV seronegativity having an ORMH odds ratio of MS of 0.06 (exact 95% CI: 0.03, 0.13; P < 0.000000001) . Serial studies have shown that the risk of developing MS is extremely low among individuals not infected with EBV but increases sharply in the same individuals following EBV infection, with an estimated mean interval of 5.6 years between primary EBV infection and onset of MS . These studies suggest that EBV infection is essential for the development of MS but, by itself, is not sufficient to cause MS because the vast majority of people infected with EBV do not develop the disease . The dramatic increase in MS risk following primary EBV infection  is obscured by the fact that EBV infects such a large proportion (~95%) of the general adult population. If EBV does have an essential role in the development of MS, studies in children should show a larger numerical difference in the frequency of EBV seropositivity between MS patients and controls because the prevalence of EBV infection in the general population is considerably lower in children than in adults. Indeed, children with MS have an EBV-seropositivity rate of 86–99% compared to 64–72% in age-matched controls [94–96].
As with MS, virtually all patients with SLE are seropositive for EBV [97, 98]. This is particularly striking in children and young adults where 99% of patients with SLE are EBV seropositive compared to 70% of age-matched controls (P < 0.00000000001) . The above findings strongly suggest that EBV infection is a prerequisite for the development of MS and SLE, raising the possibility that the same might apply to other chronic autoimmune diseases . Recent studies have found all children with autoimmune hypothyroidism to be EBV seropositive compared to 51.6% of age-matched controls  and 98.5% of adults with Graves' disease to have antibodies to EBV nuclear antigens compared to 78.1% of controls . All patients with coeliac disease were also found to be EBV seropositive in one study although the seropositivity rate in controls was not documented . Studies of EBV seroprevalence are lacking in other autoimmune diseases.
The age at which primary infection with EBV occurs is also important. As discussed above in Section 2, when primary EBV infection occurs in early childhood, as it generally does in the developing world, it is asymptomatic but when it is delayed to the time of adolescence or later, as in the developed world, it commonly manifests as infectious mononucleosis where the number of latently infected memory B cells can rise to half, and perhaps even higher, of the peripheral memory B cell compartment . Why a higher proportion of B cells should be infected when primary infection is delayed beyond childhood to adolescence or later is unclear. Possible explanations include a higher dose of viral inoculum acquired by intimate oral contact and a reduced capacity to mount a rapid effective CD8+ T-cell response in adolescents/adults compared to young children. The absolute size of the CD8+ T-cell population in healthy individuals decreases threefold between the ages of 2 and 16 years . Here it is proposed that a genetically determined CD8+ T-cell deficiency does not lead to impaired control of EBV when primary infection occurs in early childhood, unless the deficiency is severe, but that when primary infection occurs in adolescence or adulthood after the normal age-related precipitous decline in CD8+ T cells the same genetic CD8+ T-cell deficiency is more likely to impair control of EBV infection. This might explain why infectious mononucleosis increases the risk of MS  and why the prevalence of MS is high when primary infection with EBV is delayed beyond puberty . The occurrence of EBV infection at a younger age in children from less prosperous socioeconomic groups  is likely to be an important contributor to the protection that substandard hygiene confers against autoimmunity .
EBV infection is normally kept under tight control by EBV-specific immune responses, especially by cytotoxic CD8+ T cells, which eliminate proliferating and lytically infected B cells . CD8+ T cell control of EBV-infected B cells is impaired in patients with autoimmune diseases, including RA [107–109], SLE , Sjögren's syndrome [111, 112], MS [113, 114], primary biliary cirrhosis , and systemic sclerosis . In MS this defective control of EBV is not due to increased B cell resistance to killing by cytotoxic CD8+ T cells or to a functional impairment in the cytotoxic ability of CD8+ T cells but results from a decrease in the number of EBV-specific CD8+ T cells . This in turn stems from the general deficiency of CD8+ T cells and from a decreased proportion of EBV-specific T cells within the total CD8+ T-cell population . The low proportion of EBV-specific T cells within the CD8+ T-cell population in MS has been proposed to be due to T-cell exhaustion , which occurs in virus-specific CD8+ T cells during high-grade chronic viral infections . Deprivation of sunlight and vitamin D will also aggravate the CD8+ T-cell deficiency and impaired control of EBV, as discussed above in Section 3.1.
The EBV DNA load, as measured by the total number of viral genomes, is increased in the blood of patients with autoimmune diseases, including Sjögren's syndrome [118, 119], RA , SLE , primary biliary cirrhosis , and inflammatory bowel disease . Patients with RA  and SLE  also have been shown to have an increased frequency of EBV-infected B cells in their blood, but whether this is the case in other autoimmune diseases has not been determined.
The level of anti-EBV antibodies in the blood is also increased in autoimmune diseases, including SLE , RA , MS , idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (or cryptogenic fibrosing alveolitis) , Sjögren's syndrome , IgA nephropathy  and autoimmune thyroid disease . Elevation of anti-EBV antibodies precedes the onset and increases the risk of MS [131–133]. Here it is proposed that the increase in anti-EBV antibodies reflects an increased EBV load consequent to the decreased CD8+ T-cell response to EBV. The production of anti-EBV antibodies may also be enhanced by increased help from CD4+ T cells, which show increased reactivity to EBV in SLE  and MS .
In healthy EBV-seropositive subjects, the frequency of EBV-infected B cells in the peripheral blood is ~5 per 106 B cells . Thus it may be anticipated that a similar low frequency of EBV-infected B cells will be found at any site of tissue inflammation involving B cells, regardless of cause. For EBV-infected B cells in the target organ to be incriminated in the pathogenesis of autoimmunity, they should be found at a substantially higher frequency than would occur if the proportion of EBV-infected B cells within the B-cell component of the tissue infiltrate simply reflected that in the blood. The gold standard for detection of EBV-infected B cells in histological material is in situ hybridization for EBV-encoded small RNA (EBER-ISH) , which allows determination of the frequency of EBV-infected B cells in B-cell infiltrates. However, if the tissue viral load is defined as the total EBV genome copy number determined by the polymerase chain reaction (PCR), then it is not possible to determine whether a large increase in viral load is due to a large increase in the frequency of latently infected B cells, which express only two to five copies of the viral genome per cell, or a very small increase in the fraction of infected cells replicating the virus, which contain thousands of genomes per cell . The probability of detecting EBV in the target organ is also influenced by the size of the tissue sample, with a lower probability of detection in biopsies than in studies of the whole organ .
Studies using EBER-ISH have found an increased frequency of EBV-infected B cells in the salivary glands in Sjögren's syndrome [138, 139], the colon in ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease [137, 140], the brain in MS , the thymus in myasthenia gravis , and the thyroid gland in Graves' disease . Studies using PCR alone have shown increased levels of EBV DNA in the liver in primary biliary cirrhosis , kidney in IgA nephropathy and membranous nephropathy , and lung in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis .
Whereas the concept of a target organ is clear in organ-specific autoimmunity, it is less so in systemic autoimmunity. In SLE, for example, tissue damage can be mediated either by autoantibodies produced in lymphoid organs remote from the targeted tissue or by direct lymphocytic infiltration of nonlymphoid organs such as the kidney . Thus for Steps 5, 6, and 8 in systemic autoimmunity the term “target organ” is extended to encompass not only targeted nonlymphoid tissues infiltrated with lymphocytes, such as the kidney, but also targeting lymphoid organs such as the bone marrow, lymph nodes, and spleen which may be sites of clonal expansion of EBV-infected autoreactive B cells.
Monoclonal or oligoclonal B-cell expansion occurs in the thyroid gland in Hashimoto's thyroiditis , salivary glands in Sjögren's syndrome [147, 148], synovium in RA [149, 150], cerebrospinal fluid in MS , liver in primary biliary cirrhosis , muscle in dermatomyositis and polymyositis , and blood in SLE . These clonally expanded B cells exhibit the molecular hallmarks of an antigen-driven germinal centre reaction, namely, somatic hypermutation and high replacement-to-silent mutation ratios in the complementarity-determining regions of the Ig variable (V) region genes [148, 150, 151]. Autoreactive B cells have been demonstrated in the thyroid gland in autoimmune thyroid disease [155, 156], salivary glands in Sjögren's syndrome , and liver in primary biliary cirrhosis .
B-cell clonal expansion within the target organ has been proposed to be due to EBV infection of autoreactive B cells . The probability of EBV infecting autoreactive B cells is not low because at least 20% of human naïve B cells are autoreactive . Indeed, EBV infection of naïve B cells of normal individuals in vitro results in the production of monoclonal autoantibodies . In healthy individuals, most of the autoantibodies produced by autoreactive B cells in vivo are of the IgM class and are nonpathogenic or “natural” antibodies . However, in individuals with CD8+ T cell deficiency, uncontrolled infection of naïve autoreactive B cells by EBV in vivo could drive these cells through a germinal centre reaction, with somatic hypermutation and class-switch recombination resulting in the production of pathogenic IgG or IgA autoantibodies. Memory B cells latently infected with EBV display the same molecular hallmarks of an antigen-driven germinal centre reaction  as those exhibited by clonally expanded B cells isolated from target organs. As yet it has not been determined whether clonally expanded and autoreactive B cells in target organs are infected with EBV.
Infiltration of autoreactive T cells into the target organ has been demonstrated by the isolation of thyroid-specific T cells from the thyroid gland in Graves' disease [162, 163], pyruvate dehydrogenase complex-specific T cells from the liver in primary biliary cirrhosis [164, 165], Ro(SSA)-specific T cells from the salivary glands in Sjögren's syndrome , and T cells specific for transglutaminase-modified gliadin from duodenal mucosa in coeliac disease . In the case of primary biliary cirrhosis it has been shown that there is a marked enrichment of autoreactive CD4+ T cells and CD8+ T cells in the liver compared to the peripheral blood [164, 165]. Here it is proposed that, after activation in peripheral lymphoid organs by cross-reacting foreign antigens, autoreactive T cells enter the target organ where they are reactivated by EBV-infected B cells which present self-antigens and provide costimulatory survival signals, thereby inhibiting the activation-induced T-cell apoptosis which normally occurs when autoreactive T cells enter the target organ [168, 169] (Figure 1). It is postulated that the infiltrating autoreactive T cells then orchestrate an immune attack on the target organ through the recruitment of macrophages and additional B cells.
A frequent finding in organs targeted by autoimmunity is the presence of ectopic lymphoid tissue containing B-cell follicles with germinal centres, which may represent sites of clonal expansion of autoreactive B cells specific for antigens present in the target organ. Such ectopic B-cell follicles are found in the gut in Crohn's disease  and ulcerative colitis , the liver in primary biliary cirrhosis , the thyroid gland in Hashimoto's thyroiditis [156, 173] and Graves' disease , the synovium in RA [174, 175] and psoriatic arthritis , the lung in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis [177, 178], the salivary glands in Sjögren's syndrome [157, 179], the brain in MS [180, 181], the kidney in membranous nephropathy  and IgA nephropathy , and muscle in dermatomyositis . Autoreactive B cells have been identified within these ectopic lymphoid follicles by their ability to bind biotinylated self-antigens: thyroid antigens in the thyroid gland in Hashimoto's thyroiditis and Graves' disease  and Ro and La nuclear antigens in the salivary glands in Sjögren's syndrome .
In myasthenia gravis, where weakness is usually mediated by antibodies to the acetylcholine receptor, there is minimal lymphocytic infiltration at the neuromuscular junction, but the thymus resembles an autoimmune target organ because it contains ectopic B-cell follicles with germinal centres [185, 186] lying adjacent to thymic myoid cells expressing the acetylcholine receptor . In SLE, which is characterized by the production of non-organ-specific autoantibodies, follicular hyperplasia occurs in the lymph nodes . These lymph node hyperplastic germinal centres may represent sites of clonal expansion of autoreactive B cells reactive to ubiquitous self-antigens, such as those present in the nuclei of all cells.
Here it is proposed that ectopic lymphoid follicles are major sites of EBV persistence in chronic autoimmune diseases, as has been shown in Sjögren's syndrome , inflammatory bowel disease , MS , and myasthenia gravis .
The genetic background of autoimmunity is clearly complex and involves epistatic interactions between genes  and epigenetic modification of gene expression . Genetic factors contributing to the development of chronic autoimmune diseases can be divided into those that confer a general predisposition to autoimmunity and those that confer susceptibility to specific autoimmune diseases. A general predisposition to autoimmunity is manifested by the increased occurrence of various autoimmune diseases in individuals with a given autoimmune disease and in their blood relatives [191–195]. Indeed there is evidence that this general predisposition to autoimmunity is inherited as a Mendelian dominant trait . Here it is proposed that genetically determined CD8+ T-cell deficiency, with consequent impairment of CD8+ T-cell control of EBV-infected B cells, is the mechanism underlying this general predisposition to autoimmunity (Figures (Figures33 and and4).4). For genes conferring susceptibility to specific autoimmune diseases, the most widely characterized are specific alleles of HLA class II and less frequently HLA class I genes . The mechanism underlying this is unclear but the most likely explanation is that the HLA molecules encoded by the specific alleles determine which self-antigens (and therefore which organs) are recognized by T cells that have been activated by crossreacting foreign antigens or modified self antigens. The following scenario describes how a genetic deficiency of CD8+ T cells might lead to the development of chronic autoimmune diseases after infection with EBV. This is based on the EBV-infected autoreactive B cell hypothesis of autoimmunity, which proposes that, in genetically susceptible individuals, EBV-infected autoreactive B cells seed the target organ where they produce pathogenic autoantibodies and provide costimulatory survival signals to autoreactive T cells . It is important to clarify here that what is proposed is that EBV is essential (through infection of autoreactive B cells), but not necessarily the only environmental agent required for the development of autoimmune diseases. For example, gluten exposure is a prerequisite for coeliac disease. Particular infectious agents other than EBV might also be needed to activate autoreactive T cells through molecular mimicry in particular autoimmune diseases.
A genetic deficiency of CD8+ T cells would exert its effect from the time of primary EBV infection in the tonsil by prolonging the survival and proliferation of infected B lymphoblasts and germinal centre B cells and the survival of plasma cells replicating the virus. This would increase the probability of clonal expansion of EBV-infected autoreactive B cells. It is proposed that EBV-infected autoreactive B cells lodge and persist in the organ containing the self antigen they recognize. Depending on the disease-specific HLA class II or class I alleles carried by a particular person, exposure to foreign agents (including EBV itself) leads to the activation of T cells which cross-react with self antigens and traffic into the organ containing these self antigens where they are reactivated by EBV-infected B cells presenting self antigens (Figures (Figures11 and and4).4). These EBV-infected B cells produce pathogenic autoantibodies and also provide costimulatory survival signals to the autoreactive T cells, thereby inhibiting the activation-induced T-cell apoptosis which normally occurs when autoreactive T cells enter the target organ [168, 169]. The autoreactive T cells orchestrate an immune attack on the target organ through the recruitment of macrophages and additional B cells. Self antigens released by this attack lead to spreading of autoreactivity to other autoantigens in the target organ. Repeated T-cell attacks on the target organ supported by local EBV-infected B cells lead to the development, within the target organ, of ectopic B-cell follicles with germinal centres generating more autoreactive B cells. The autoimmune process itself could foster the survival and proliferation of EBV-infected autoreactive B cells in the target organ by releasing self antigens and giving CD4+ T-cell-help, which would complement the BCR and CD40 receptor signalling already provided by EBV-encoded LMP2A and LMP1, respectively . This could lead to a vicious circle wherein EBV-infected autoreactive B cells promote autoimmunity, which in turn promotes EBV infection in the target organ. With prolonged high EBV load, T-cell exhaustion would supervene, further compromising the CD8+ T-cell control of EBV and further increasing the EBV load. Deprivation of sunlight and vitamin D would also aggravate the CD8+ T-cell deficiency and impaired control of EBV (Figure 3).
If EBV infection is necessary for the development of chronic autoimmune diseases it should be possible to prevent and successfully treat these diseases by controlling EBV infection .
Vaccination of healthy EBV-seronegative young adults with recombinant gp350 is effective in preventing the development of infectious mononucleosis induced by EBV infection, although it does not prevent asymptomatic EBV infection . The vaccinated subjects showed seroconversion to anti-gp350 antibodies which persisted >18 months and were probably responsible for the protective effect because anti-gp350 antibody neutralizes EBV infectivity . Vaccination with gp350 might decrease the incidence of chronic autoimmune diseases by reducing the number of B cells infected by EBV, and thereby decreasing the probability of infected autoreactive B cells, during primary infection.
There are potentially 3 ways to treat chronic autoimmune diseases by controlling EBV infection: (1) B-cell depletion with monoclonal antibodies; (2) boosting immunity to EBV; (3) antiviral drugs. B-cell depletion with rituximab eliminates not only EBV-infected B cells but also uninfected B cells, which normally confer protective immunity against infectious agents. Improvement of an autoimmune disease with rituximab therapy would be consistent with an essential role of EBV in the development of the disease but would not constitute proof because the beneficial effect could be mediated by the elimination of autoreactive B cells not infected with EBV. More convincing evidence for an essential role of EBV would be eradication of autoimmune diseases by boosting immunity to EBV or by treatment with antiviral drugs. Humoral immunity to EBV could be boosted by vaccination with gp350 or administration of humanized or human monoclonal antibody against gp350. CD8+ T-cell immunity could be boosted by the intravenous infusion of autologous EBV-specific cytotoxic CD8+ T cells after expansion in vitro  or by the administration of agents such as interleukin-7, which expands the population of functional virus-specific CD8+ T cells in chronic viral infection . With regard to antiviral drugs, treatment with aciclovir and related drugs, which inhibit herpesvirus DNA polymerase, is likely to have only a limited beneficial effect in chronic autoimmune diseases because these drugs act on EBV only when it is using its own DNA polymerase to replicate its DNA. This will apply only to lytically infected cells but not to latently infected ones, which replicate EBV DNA through the use of EBV nuclear antigen 1 (EBNA1) to engage host cell DNA polymerase. One strategy to overcome this would be first to administer rituximab to eliminate as many EBV-infected B cells as possible and to follow this with long-term antiviral drug therapy. An alternative approach is to target LMP1 , LMP2A, or EBNA1  to inhibit EBV in latently infected cells. It has also been suggested that retroviral integrase inhibitors might be effective against EBV in autoimmune diseases . If EBV infection of B cells in the target organ underpins the development of autoimmune diseases, effective antiviral drugs have the potential to be curative.
Whether EBV-infected B cells in the target organ are autoreactive could be addressed by determining whether they bind biotinylated self antigens in the same way that intrathyroidal germinal centre B cells specifically bind thyroid antigens in autoimmune thyroid disease .
Whether CD8+ T cell deficiency underlies the development of chronic autoimmune diseases following EBV infection could be addressed by the following experiments: (1) prospective studies to determine whether CD8+ T cell deficiency precedes the development of autoimmune diseases; (2) determining whether genetic variants associated with a decreased number of CD8+ T cells, such as the A allele of rs2524054 in HLA-B , predispose to chronic autoimmune diseases; (3) examining whether autoimmune diseases can be successfully treated by the intravenous infusion of autologous EBV-specific cytotoxic CD8+ T cells after expansion in vitro or by the administration of interleukin-7 to boost CD8+ T-cell immunity.
Whether vitamin D deficiency contributes to the development of autoimmune diseases by depleting CD8+ T cells could be tested by determining whether treatment of vitamin D deficiency in patients by dietary supplementation or exposure to sunlight increases the CD8+ T cell response to EBV, decreases the EBV load and produces clinical improvement.
CD8+ T-cell deficiency is a general feature of chronic autoimmune diseases and also occurs in healthy blood relatives of patients with these diseases. It is proposed that this deficiency is genetically determined and underlies the development of chronic autoimmune diseases by impairing CD8+ T-cell control of EBV infection, with the result that EBV-infected autoreactive B cells accumulate in the target organ where they produce pathogenic autoantibodies and provide costimulatory survival signals to autoreactive T cells. Autoimmunity is postulated to evolve in a series of steps culminating in the development of ectopic lymphoid follicles containing EBV-infected autoreactive B cells in the target organ. It is also proposed that deprivation of sunlight and vitamin D facilitates the development of autoimmune diseases by aggravating the CD8+ T cell deficiency and thereby further impairing control of EBV. The hypothesis makes predictions which can be tested, including the prevention and successful treatment of chronic autoimmune diseases by controlling EBV infection.
The author's research in this field has been supported by project grants from Multiple Sclerosis Research Australia. The author thanks Mr. Stuart Reid for assistance in preparing the illustrations.