Incidence of lethal prostate cancer
We observed 199 events of lethal prostate cancer among 27,607 men during 306,715 person-years. Men who consumed more red meat and eggs had a higher average BMI; engaged in less vigorous activity; were more likely to be current smokers, have a history of type II diabetes, and have a family history of prostate cancer; and tended to eat less poultry and fish and more dairy compared to men who consumed the least red meat or eggs (). In contrast, men who consumed more poultry engaged in more vigorous activity, were less likely to be current smokers, and tended to eat less red meat, dairy, and coffee, and more fish compared to men who consumed the least poultry.
| Table 1Baseline age-standardized characteristics of 27,607 healthy male health professionals according to their red meat, poultry, and egg intake. |
We observed a statistically significant positive association between intake of eggs and risk of lethal prostate cancer (). Men who consumed 2.5 or more eggs per week had a 81% increased risk of lethal prostate cancer compared to men who consumed less than half an egg per week (HR: 1.81; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.13, 2.89; p-trend: 0.01). In addition, contrary to our hypothesis and the previous report from this cohort, we observed a suggestion of an inverse association between total unprocessed red meat and risk of lethal prostate cancer, but none of the point estimates were statistically significant (HR ≥5 vs. <2 servings/wk: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.38, 1.06; p-trend: 0.03). No other meat group () or individual meat or poultry item (data not shown in tables) was statistically significantly associated with risk of lethal prostate cancer after multivariate adjustment.
| Table 2Relative hazard of lethal prostate cancer among 27,607 male health professionals by red meat, poultry, and egg intake (1994–2008). |
We observed no evidence of effect modification by smoking, BMI, or age (data not shown). In addition, the results were similar when we followed men to date of lethal event, death from another cause, or January 31, 2008 (updating diet until the end of the new follow-up period with a 2–6 y lag). However, the association for eggs was slightly attenuated and not statistically significant (HR ≥2.5 vs. <0.5 eggs/wk: 1.50; 95% CI: 0.90, 2.48; p-trend: 0.14). Lastly, our results were unchanged when excluding men with missing data on any of the food items of interest (HR comparing ≥2.5 vs. <0.5 eggs/wk: 1.81; 95% CI: 1.13, 2.91; p-trend: 0.009).
Case-only survival analyses
We observed 123 events of lethal prostate cancer during 19,354 person-years among 3,127 men initially diagnosed with clinically localized or regional prostate cancer after 1994. Lifestyle and dietary factors varied in a similar pattern in men with prostate cancer as compared to the entire cohort, and clinical factors varied only modestly across categories of red meat, poultry, and egg intake ().
| Table 3Baseline age-standardized characteristics of 3,127 male health professionals diagnosed with clinically localized or regional prostate cancer according to their red meat, egg, and poultry intake after diagnosis. |
Intake of total red meat (unprocessed or processed), total poultry, and eggs after diagnosis were not statistically significantly associated with risk of progression to lethal prostate cancer (). There was a positive linear association between total processed red meat intake after diagnosis and risk of lethal prostate cancer in the age- and calorie-adjusted model (HR ≥3 vs. <0.5 servings/wk: 1.40; 95% CI: 0.81, 2.44; p-trend: 0.04), which was somewhat attenuated after multivariate adjustment. Additionally, men who consumed 3.5 or more servings per week of poultry after diagnosis had a 69% increased risk of lethal prostate cancer compared to men who consumed less than 1.5 servings/wk (HR: 1.69; 95% CI: 0.96, 2.99; p-trend: 0.07). This suggestive association appeared to be driven by sources of poultry other than skinless poultry (e.g. chicken or turkey with skin, chicken or turkey hot dogs, chicken or turkey sandwiches), but we had limited power to examine individual poultry items due to low consumption of these foods in our study population ().
| Table 4Post-diagnostic consumption of red meat, poultry, and eggs and relative hazard of lethal prostate cancer among 3,127 men diagnosed with clinically localized or regional prostate cancer (1994–2008). |
| Table 5Post-diagnostic consumption of individual red meat and poultry items and relative hazard of lethal prostate cancer among 3,127 men diagnosed with clinically localized or regional prostate cancer (1994–2008). |
In addition, although total, total unprocessed, and total processed red meat intakes after diagnosis were not statistically significantly associated with risk of progression to lethal prostate cancer (), intake of 1.5 or more servings/wk of beef, lamb, or pork in a sandwich or mixed dish after diagnosis was associated with a greater than two-fold increased risk of lethal prostate cancer compared to less than 0.5 serving/wk (HR: 2.21; 95% CI: 1.12, 4.36; p-trend: 0.14) (). Intake of 1.5 or more servings/wk of sausage/salami/bologna after diagnosis was also associated with an increased risk of lethal prostate cancer compared to no intake in the age- and calorie-adjusted model (HR: 1.76; 95% CI: 1.02, 3.05; p-trend: 0.06) (), but this association was not statistically significant after multivariate adjustment (HR: 1.60; 95% CI: 0.83, 3.06; p-trend: 0.23). No other individual red meat item after diagnosis was associated with risk of progression to lethal prostate cancer.
We did not observe any statistically significant interactions between post-diagnostic consumption of red meat, poultry, or eggs with age at diagnosis, Gleason sum, BMI, smoking, or time since diagnosis (data not shown). Additionally, when we excluded men with missing data on any of the food items of interest, the observed associations were unchanged or strengthened. For example, consuming 3.5 or more servings/wk of poultry was associated with an 82% increased risk of lethal prostate cancer compared to consuming less than 1.5 servings/wk (HR: 1.82; 95% CI: 0.93, 3.57; p-trend: 0.03), and consuming three or more servings/wk of total processed red meat was suggestively associated with a 60% increased risk of lethal prostate cancer compared to consuming less than 0.5 servings/wk (HR: 1.60; 95% CI: 0.71, 3.59; p-trend: 0.08).