Two hundred and ninety patients met both DIB-R and DSM-III-R criteria for BPD and 72 met DSM-III-R criteria for at least one non-borderline axis II disorder (and neither criteria set for BPD). Of these 72 comparison subjects, 4% met DSM-III-R criteria for an odd cluster personality disorder, 33% met DSM-III-R criteria for an anxious cluster personality disorder, 18% met DSM-III-R criteria for a non-borderline dramatic cluster personality disorder, and 53% met DSM-III-R criteria for personality disorder not otherwise specified (which was operationally defined in the DIPD-R as meeting all but one of the required number of criteria for at least two of the 13 axis II disorders described in DSM-III-R).
Baseline demographic data have been reported before [
18]. Briefly, 77.1% (N=279) of the subjects were female and 87% (N=315) were white. The average age of the subjects was 27 years (SD=6.3), the mean socioeconomic status was 3.3 (SD=1.5) (where 1=highest and 5=lowest) [
24], and their mean GAF score was 39.8 (SD=7.8) (indicating major impairment in several areas, such as work or school, family relations, judgment, thinking, or mood).
In terms of continuing participation, 90.4% (N=309) of surviving patients were re-interviewed at all five follow-up assessment points. More specifically, 91.9% of surviving borderline patients (249/271) and 84.5% of surviving axis II comparison subjects (60/71) were evaluated six times (baseline and five follow-up periods).
details the prevalence of substance use disorders reported by borderline patients and axis II comparison subjects over 10 years of prospective follow-up. As can be seen, a significantly higher percentage of borderline patients than axis II comparison subjects reported experiencing any substance use disorder, alcohol abuse/dependence, drug abuse/dependence, and both alcohol and drug abuse/dependence. For both borderline patients and axis II comparison subjects, the rates of these disorders declined significantly over time. No interaction between diagnosis and time was found to be significant, indicating that the rates of decline were similar for both groups of patients.
| Table 1Prevalence of Substance Use Disorders among Borderline Patients and Axis II Comparison Subjects Over 10 Years of Prospective Follow-up |
However as the risk ratios (RRs) for diagnosis and time in the table contain more fine grained information, we believe that an example would be useful. As can be seen, about 62% of borderline patients (and about 46% of axis II comparison subjects) had a history of any substance use disorder at the time of their index admission. By the time of their 10-year follow-up, these prevalence rates had declined to about 14% and 8% respectively. The RR of 1.65 indicates that borderline patients were about 1½ times more likely, at any follow-up time, to report experiencing any substance use disorder as axis II comparison subjects. The RR of 0.16 indicates that the chance of experiencing substance abuse or dependence over the course of the study for all subjects considered together decreased by 84% ([1-0.16]×100%).
details the estimated rates of remission, recurrence, and new onsets of alcohol abuse or dependence for borderline patients. As can be seen, about 92% of borderline patients reporting this disorder at baseline (N=48) experienced a remission (N=37) by the time of the 10-year follow-up. In terms of the stability of these remissions, 40% of borderline patients reporting a remission of alcohol abuse or dependence reported a recurrence (N=13) of this disorder. As can also be seen, about 23% of borderline patients who did not report having alcohol abuse/dependence at baseline (N=242) reported a new onset (N=48) of this disorder. (Note that the estimated rates of remission, recurrence, and new onsets cannot be directly determined using the numbers presented above because of censoring [i.e., subjects lost to follow-up].)
details the rates of remission, recurrence, and new onsets of drug abuse or dependence among borderline patients. As can be seen, about 95% of borderline patients reporting this disorder at baseline (N=51) experienced a remission (N=41) by the time of the 10-year follow-up. In terms of the stability of these remissions, 35% of borderline patients reporting a remission of drug abuse or dependence reported a recurrence (N=10) of this disorder. As can also be seen, about 21% of borderline patients who did not report having drug abuse/dependence at baseline (N=239) reported a new onset (N=44) of this disorder. (As noted above, estimated rates of remission, recurrence, and new onsets cannot be determined using the numbers presented above because of censoring [i.e., subjects lost to follow-up].)
However, it should be noted that 60.4% (29/48) of borderline patients reporting a new onset of alcohol abuse or dependence during one of the study’s five follow-up periods actually had met lifetime (but not current) criteria for alcohol abuse or dependence at baseline. In a like manner, 56.8% (25/44) of borderline patients reporting a new onset of drug abuse/dependence actually had met lifetime (but not current) criteria for drug abuse or dependence at baseline. Looked at another way, only 19 borderline patients (6.6%) developed a totally new problem with alcohol over the 10 years of follow-up and the exact same number and percent developed a totally new problem with drugs over the decade they were followed. It should also be noted that only three of these 38 subjects (7.9%) met criteria for both alcohol and drug abuse/dependence over the years of follow-up