In this article, we report findings from a consortium of large prospective studies of possible interactions between 17 polymorphisms that have been associated with breast cancer and established risk factors for the disease. Data were examined using a nested case–control design within the National Cancer Institute’s BPC3 and included 8576 case subjects with breast cancer and 11

892 control subjects without breast cancer.
We replicated all of the previously reported associations between SNPs and breast cancer risk, except for
LSP1-rs3817198,
COL1A1-rs2075555, and
RNF146-rs2180341, which did not show association with breast cancer risk. It is worth noting that the association with
RNF146-rs2180341 was reported only in a small study focusing on Ashkenazi Jews (
7), which did not include replication in samples of other populations. Likewise, the association with
COL1A1-rs2075555 was reported by a single study with only 58 cases of breast cancer, nested in the Framingham Heart Study (
4). In light of the lack of association between these two SNPs and breast cancer risk in our study, we think that they most likely represent false positives or are relevant only to specific populations, such as women of Ashkenazi Jewish ancestry. The association between
LSP1-rs3817198 and breast cancer risk was investigated in several studies: A statistically significant association at genome-wide level (albeit with a rather low OR
allele = 1.07) was reported by Easton et al. (
1) but not confirmed in subsequent GWAS (
8,
9). Our results suggest that the association between this polymorphism and breast cancer risk is at best weak (OR
allele = 1.00; 95% CI = 0.95 to 1.04;
Ptrend = .89). For some of the other SNPs, whose associations with breast cancer risk are clearly replicated in our study, we found slightly lower odds ratios than reported in previous publications (
1–
10). However, the direction of associations was consistently the same, and our confidence intervals largely overlapped with those of the previous reports.
Previous studies have reported possible interactions between breast cancer susceptibility loci and established risk factors (
13–
17). These studies focused mainly on
FGFR2 and
MAP3K1 and hormonal and reproductive factors, particularly the use of HRT. A recent study within the Women’s Health Initiative (
13) showed a possible interaction between SNPs in
FGFR2 and HRT use. Another recent study (
14) showed an interaction between SNP
FGFR2-rs1219648 and use of combined HRT in women of European ancestry. These studies had smaller sample sizes than ours.
FGFR2-rs1219648 is in strong linkage disequilibrium with
FGFR2-rs2981582 (Pearson correlation coefficient
r2 = 1) (
28,
29), which did not show any evidence of interaction with HRT overall or with subtypes of HRT in this study ( and
Supplementary Table 5, available online). As shown in the article by Prentice et al. (
13), the
FGFR2 SNP showing the strongest interaction with HRT was rs3750817 (
Pinteraction = .046 for use of estrogen-only HRT, and
Pinteraction = .033 for use of estrogen–progestin HRT), which is only in modest linkage disequilibrium with rs2981582 (Pearson correlation coefficient
r2 = 0.47). We genotyped rs3750817 in all the case subjects and control subjects in our analyses but did not observe any clear evidence of interaction with use of HRT. There was no evidence for interaction when we analyzed separately the use of estrogen-only HRT or combined estrogen plus progestin HRT.
A recent case–control study performed in a Japanese population (
15) showed interactions between SNPs in
FGFR2 and family history of breast cancer, age at menarche, and parity. We did not observe any statistically significant interactions between SNPs
FGFR2-rs2981582 or
FGFR2-rs3750817 and any of these risk factors. The study by Kawase et al. (
15) had a much smaller sample than ours (456 case subjects and 912 control subjects), and statistical significance of the interactions reported was modest (the strongest result was observed for interaction with family history of breast cancer
Pinteraction= .003); therefore, these could be chance findings.
Our results on interactions between SNPs and established risk factors are similar to those obtained in studies of comparable sample size, performed in the Million Women Study (
18) and the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (
19). Namely, no statistically significant interactions between SNPs and established breast cancer risk factors were detected in those studies, when multiple testing was taken into account (
18,
19).
Our study had greater than 80% power to detect interaction odds ratios (ie, ORs of the interaction term between each SNP and each established risk factor) ranging between 1.20 and 1.47 between the SNPs and the risk factors we considered. The power calculation was performed assuming a multiplicative model of interaction and taking into account multiple testing. Thus, we had a reasonably good chance to detect moderately large interactions between SNPs and established risk factors. This is also shown by the fact that 95% confidence intervals around interaction odds ratios were rather narrow for most SNP-established risk factor pairs (
Supplementary Table 7, available online).
We cannot exclude the existence of real interactions of smaller magnitude (including interactions between SNPs and established risk factors that did not show a statistically significant association with breast cancer risk or had a relatively small association with breast cancer risk), which our study was not sufficiently powered to detect. If such interactions exist, they may shed light on poorly understood biological mechanisms, including the hitherto unknown function of most SNPs studied here. However, the relevance of such small interactions in terms of risk assessment and prevention would be limited.
Results from subgroup analyses on clinical characteristics of tumors were generally in agreement with previous reports (
3,
6,
30–
32), including a meta-analysis of all published data (
32). Findings from previous studies suggested that several SNPs are predominantly associated with ER
+ breast cancer:
TNRC9-rs3803662 (
3,
30–
32), 5p12-rs4415084 (
6), 5p12-rs10941679 (
6),
FGFR2-rs2981582 (
6,
30–
32), 8q24-rs13281615 (
30). In addition,
FGFR2-rs2981582 was also reported to be more strongly associated with PR
+ cancers than with PR
− cancers (
30). The SNP 2q35-rs13387042 was reported to be associated exclusively with ER
+ and PR
+ cancers (
3), although later reports have shown that it is associated with both receptor-positive and receptor-negative cancers (
31,
32). In our data, SNPs on chromosome 5p12,
FGFR2 and
TNRC9 were preferentially associated with ER
+ and/or PR
+ breast cancer. In addition, SNP 2q35-rs13387042 showed a strongly statistically significant association with risk in ER
+ and PR
+ cases but not with ER− and PR− cases, although the heterogeneity was not statistically significant in our data, in agreement with previous studies (
31,
32). Because ER and PR status are the major markers of breast cancer subtypes, these observations suggest that inherited risk variants of these subtypes may vary. Contrary to one previous report (
30) but consistent with results from a second study (
32), we did not observe any evidence that SNP 8q24-rs13281615 had a stronger association with breast cancer risk depending on ER or PR status.
Our study has a few limitations. The vast majority of white subjects in the study are of European descent, and statistical power for analyses in other ethnicities is limited. In addition, many statistical tests were performed and, given that there were no a priori hypotheses about the possible interactions of SNPs and established risk factors, our findings should be taken with caution. Nevertheless, this is one of the largest cohort studies to systematically investigate possible interactions between major established risk factors for breast cancer and polymorphisms in the known susceptibility regions. It is very unlikely that we had nondifferential measurement error to the extent that could be a serious flaw in our study. Genotyping quality was monitored by a series of intra- and interlaboratory measures, including blind duplicated samples and measures of deviation from Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium. With respect to the established risk factors we included in our analyses, it is known that they are reliably measured in prospective cohorts, as documented by specific validation studies performed in some of the BPC3 cohorts (
33–
37).
Our study provides evidence against the hypothesis that common polymorphisms associated with breast cancer risk strongly modify the association of established factors with breast cancer risk. Our null findings are important given the size, prospective design, and the comprehensive approach of our study. However, our results do not rule out small departures from a multiplicative odds model for the joint association of pairs of individual SNPs and risk factors, nor does absence of departure from a multiplicative odds model necessarily imply that these genetic loci and risk factors do not interact in some causal mechanism. Moreover, absence of interaction as we have defined it here does not imply absence of a “public health interaction,” where the benefit from reducing a risk factor in terms of absolute risk reduction differs across genotypes (
38).
In conclusion, we studied almost 9000 women with breast cancer and 12

000 control subjects without breast cancer and showed that the 17 low-penetrance breast cancer susceptibility polymorphisms studied here do not strongly interact with established risk factors.