With a lifetime prevalence of 17%, depression is a major health problem with serious clinical and social consequences. It is expected that depression will be the leading global cause of years of health lost due to disease in 2030 [
1]. With initial response rates up to 60%, and the majority of patients regaining their normal level of functioning within three years, certain psychotherapies and antidepressant medication have proven efficacy in treating acute Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) [
2,
3]. This might sound promising, but at least 40% of depressed patients do not respond to initial treatment at all. Furthermore, depression has an unfavourable prognosis; even when treated effectively in the acute phase, recovery is often incomplete, which increases the chance of relapse and recurrence up to 87% over 15 years [
4-
7].
With this in mind, the challenge in contemporary depression research is to improve treatments to increase acute response rates and prevent relapse and recurrence in the long term. Many researchers agree that knowledge of underlying mechanisms that can explain therapeutic change is a key to improving treatment [
8,
9]. Knowing how a therapy works would allow honing its components to make it more efficient and (cost-)effective [
10]. The current study will focus on the effectiveness, prevention of relapse and recurrence and mechanisms of change of two commonly used types of psychotherapy for depression: Cognitive Therapy (CT) [
11] and Interpersonal Therapy (IPT) [
12]. A rudimentary analysis of the cost-effectiveness from a societal perspective will be embedded.
Effectiveness
Of the psychotherapeutic interventions for depression, CT and IPT might be the two best studied and empirically validated [
13-
15]. They come from different theoretical backgrounds: CT derives from Beck's cognitive theory and explains depression as a result of maladaptive information-processing, whereas IPT links depressive episodes to distressing life events and insufficient social support [
12,
16]. Nonetheless, both therapies have proven to be well-standardized, efficacious treatments for acute treatment of MDD [
3,
12,
17-
23]. There is no consensus yet about whether the effect of one therapy outperforms the other. Many studies have investigated the effects of CT and IPT separately, but only 2 large studies have compared them head-to-head [
24-
26]. However, doubts have arisen about the validity of one of these studies because analysis of treatment adherence showed no contrast between the two intervention groups [
24,
27]. Thus, the current view is based on only one methodologically well-designed study. Therefore, there is a need for renewed head-to-head comparisons of both therapies.
Relapse Prevention
In addition to the fact that CT and IPT have shown to be efficacious acute treatments of MDD, they may also reduce the risk of relapse (episode of MDD after remission) and recurrence (episode of MDD after recovery) in the long term. The effects and evidence differ for the two therapies. Research has shown that CT has an enduring effect that extends beyond the end of therapy [
12,
28-
33], thereby reducing the chances of relapse and recurrence. The evidence for this is strong and consistent [
31,
34,
35]. However, the long term effect of IPT has not been tested extensively yet. Up until now it has only been tested as a maintenance treatment [
36,
37], and the question remains whether IPT also has an enduring effect that remains after therapy is finished. This question should be further explored. Insight in the long term effects of IPT furthermore creates the opportunity to compare CT and IPT to assess whether one therapy is superior to the other in preventing relapse and recurrence in the long term [
15].
Mechanisms of Change
As noted above, insight into mechanisms of change might contribute to the process of therapy improvement. However, the mechanisms that cause therapeutic change are still largely unknown. Despite several research attempts to identify the mechanisms of change in psychotherapy, no study has identified a model that explains change in CT or IPT completely [
38,
39]. Mechanism research has to cope with several methodological and theoretical difficulties [
40,
41]. Theoretical difficulties arise because there are conflicting hypotheses on the mechanisms and there is no consensus about the most important causes of change [
38,
42]. For example, it is unclear whether therapeutic change can be better explained by change in treatment specific factors [
42-
45] or non-specific (common) factors [
46-
48]. Specific factors are elements marked as the active causes of change in the theory of the therapy, such as change in cognitions in CT and optimization of interpersonal functioning in IPT. Non-specific factors refer to elements in a therapy that contribute to improvement, but that are common to all psychotherapies, such as expectancy and therapeutic alliance [
49]. Furthermore, it is not exactly known whether changes achieved in therapy are best reflected by explicit or by implicit measures of psychopathology. Explicit measures depend on introspection, and a disadvantage is that it is known that people do not have access to all of the mechanisms that underlie their behaviour [
50]. An implicit measure is defined by De Houwer, Teige-Mocigemba, Spruyt, and Moors (2009) as "a measurement outcome that is causally produced by the to-be-measured attribute in the absence of certain goals, awareness, substantial cognitive resources, or substantial time" (p. 350) [
51]. To the extent that implicit measures reflect uncontrollable, unaware, fast mechanisms, they could provide information that augments that from explicit measures [
52].
Furthermore, methodological difficulties arise because many study designs do not meet the criteria for reputable mechanisms research [
40,
41]. Theories often explain change in terms of causal processes. However, in many studies it is difficult to identify temporal relationships in order to investigate these causal pathways because of the absence of an appropriate time line and assessment on multiple time points [
40,
41]. It is clear that there is a need for renewed, methodologically well-considered mechanism research.
The question remains what is necessary for proper mechanism research. According to Kazdin (2007), a first step into investigating mechanisms of change is studying mediating variables [
40]. A mediator explains why and in what way a treatment has an effect on the outcome, and plays a crucial role in the development of causal pathways. In identifying mediators, Kazdin has built upon the MacArthur guidelines of Kraemer et al. (2001) [
53] which are based on the more traditional guidelines for statistical mediation formulated by Baron and Kenny (1986) [
54]. In addition to statistical mediation and association, Kazdin emphasizes the importance of the temporal relationship, and consistency and specificity of the mediator. The importance of the aspect of temporality is also emphasized by Murphy et al (2009) [
55]. Taking this into account, the current study will investigate potential mediators of CT for depression and test their specificity in comparison to IPT, and vice versa, by measuring multiple potential mediators and outcomes at multiple time points during and after therapy. This method enables us to investigate temporal relationships between changes in potential mediators and symptom reduction and to assess whether change in a mediator precedes, follows from, or goes together with changes in depression. In addition, this method can show us whether change in one mediator precedes change in another mediator.
Main research questions and Hypotheses
The following main research questions were formulated:
• Are CT and IPT effective interventions in treating the acute phase of MDD and is one therapy superior to the other?
• What are the underlying psychological mechanisms of change in CT and IPT and are these mechanisms therapy-specific?
• Are CT and IPT effective in preventing relapse or recurrence of MDD in the long-term? Is one therapy superior to the other, and if so, how can these preventive effects be explained?
In line with previous research, it is hypothesized that the amount of change in depressive symptoms after therapy will be similar in both the CT and the IPT group, indicating that both treatments are just as effective in treating depression in the acute phase [
14,
24,
56,
57]. Because both therapies originally stem from different theoretical backgrounds, we expect that both treatments target depression through different key processes. It is expected that changes in cognitive schemas, attitudes, and cognitions are the most significant contributors to symptom change in CT, whereas in IPT it is assumed that improvement of interpersonal functioning will lead to a reduction of symptoms [
12,
16]. With regard to the mechanisms of change, many hypotheses are possible, especially when it comes to the order of change and causal pathways that lead to recovery. Following the theories one would expect that change in cognitions (CT) and interpersonal functioning (IPT) precede symptom change. Furthermore, we expect that it is the direct comparison of explicit versus implicit measures that will elicit new insights into the underlying mechanisms of change. To the extent that implicit measures reflect uncontrollable, unaware and fast mechanisms, they can provide useful additional information as compared to explicit measures. As to the prevention of relapse, we hypothesize that both CT and IPT may reduce the risk of relapse and recurrence in the long term. However, we expect CT to prevent relapse to a greater extent, because it has shown to have an enduring effect that extends beyond the end of therapy, while IPT so far only seems to be effective in treating depression as long as the treatment is continued [
58].