The results of this study suggest that more time spent in MVPA was associated with
lower adiposity one year later, independent of total physical activity or sedentary
time. This finding gives an impetus to developing effective strategies for
specifically promoting MVPA, as well as an overall active lifestyle, in
children.
The finding that MVPA was more predictive of weight gain than total activity or
sedentary time concurs with results from a well designed study involving
adolescents, where stronger associations with follow-up fat mass were observed for
activities with >3600 accelerometer counts per minute
[12]. Recently, data from 405
children in the Gateshead Millenium project demonstrated that physical activity
showed the steepest decline over time in children with higher BMI
[30]. Both
these UK-based studies involved predominantly white children. A strength of the
PEACHES study is that our central London location allowed us to recruit an
ethnically diverse sample. Significant cross-sectional associations between MVPA and
body fat that were independent of total PA and sedentary behaviour have also been
reported in 9–10 year olds
[11],
[31]. Demonstrating that these results hold longitudinally
strengthens the case for a causal association.
It is not entirely clear why MVPA, but not total PA, was associated with lower gains
in adiposity in our study. Levels of MVPA may be, to some extent, reflective of
generally healthier lifestyle. However, there are biologically plausible mechanisms
through which higher levels of physical activity could positively impact on body
composition. Bouts of MVPA can elevate post-exercise resting energy expenditure for
sustained periods
[32]. Physical activity can also result in enhanced fat
oxidation
[32],
[33] and
improves fat distribution in children by reducing abdominal adiposity
[34]. It is
likely that vigorous physical activities would have a stronger effect; for example,
one study involving 421 US adolescents demonstrated that activities >6 METS were
more strongly negatively associated with fatness than moderate (4–6 METS)
[9]. This
concurs with another study using physical activity recall in which VPA was
negatively associated with percentage body fat
[35]. VPA levels in youth
are also more predictive than total activity of adult physical activity levels
[36]. It should be
noted that, had it been possible, we would have examined MPA and VPA separately.
However, in our sample of inner-city children the time spent in VPA was negligible.
As in our study, the majority of other paediatric studies using objective measures
also combine MPA and VPA, since habitual VPA in childhood is generally very low.
Therefore, a focus on promoting activities that are at least moderate in intensity
is an important target in children.
The association between MVPA and WC gain in our study was of borderline statistical
significance (p

=

0.06), but the effect size was similar to
those for BMI and FMI. Furthermore, there was a significant WC trend across tertiles
of MVPA, with children in the lower MVPA tertile demonstrating a greater increase in
WC than those in the highest. One other longitudinal study in children failed to
find an association between PA and WC in longitudinal analyses,
[13] but the
cut-point used to define MVPA (<2000 counts per minute) was lower than most
studies that found significant associations, which may explain the discrepancy. It
has also been suggested that the association between PA and central adiposity is
moderated by fitness level
[37]; a variable that was not measured in our study but could
help explain variability in results across studies. Future research should assess
fitness level as well as activity where possible.
The amount of the variance in BMI and FMI gain explained by MVPA was small in this
study (in the region of 1%), but the time spent in MVPA was also extremely
low (a mean of 12 minutes a day) and follow-up period relatively short. With a
larger sample and a higher proportion of active children, the observed effect may be
larger. It is also possible that associations between PA and weight status differ by
age
[38], and
future research should follow children over longer periods and include important
transitions such as from childhood to adolescence.
As in all longitudinal studies of adiposity
[39],
[40], weight status at baseline was
the strongest predictor of weight status at follow-up; explaining more than
75% of the variance in this study. The strong tracking of adiposity over
childhood is well-documented, but it may vary developmentally. In a study that
followed children from 3 to 6 years, a model including baseline BMI and PA predicted
only 65% of the variance in follow-up BMI
[41], compared with 93% in our
study. If the dominance of baseline weight is an indicator of the strength of
tracking, it is possible that early interventions have a better chance of
success.
Only 1% of the children in our sample met even the minimum guidelines of at
least 60 minutes per day of MVPA
[29]. While this seems extremely low, recent evidence using
accelerometers in UK and US adults suggest that 95% of the population are not
meeting the minimum adult activity guidelines of at least 30 minutes of MVPA per day
[42],
[43]. Objective
evidence using accelerometers and doubly-labelled water in a large sample of UK
preschool children suggests that even 3–5 year old children are sedentary for
more than 80% of their waking hours
[44]. Our results are even more
concerning than another recent UK study of 9–10 year olds that found (albeit
using a lower cut point (>2000 counts per minute) to define MVPA) that 30%
of children not meeting the guidelines
[45]. The urban context and
ethnic diversity of our sample may contribute to these disturbing findings, but if
the already low levels of activity decline further in adolescence, there are serious
concerns for the health of the next generation of young adults.
The strengths of our study included an objective measure of PA, an understudied
group, the use of three weight status indicators as opposed to BMI alone, and a
longitudinal design. There were also a number of limitations. Fat mass index was
measured with bioelectrical impedance which has relatively poor accuracy but the
‘gold standard’ four compartment model
[46] is not feasible outside the
clinical research context. The sample size was modest and levels of activity were
very low. In a larger sample, a stronger relationship between total activity and
weight status may have been observed
[12],
[31]. Finally, physical activity was
also only measured at baseline, although it tends to be fairly stable from age 6 to
10 years
[47].
Conclusions
The results of this study make a case for promoting moderate and vigorous
physical activity in childhood to protect against weight gain. They also argue
for a better understanding of the relationship between activity levels and
adiposity.