Measurements and changes in BMD are among the most predictive factors in determining fracture risk [
81]. Nineteen trials examined the effect of calcitriol on changes in BMD across a variety of populations [
65, 67, 70–72, 74–76, 78, 82–91]. BMD was assessed at various anatomical sites, including the hip, spine, femur, radius, and total body. Among these trials, the daily dose of calcitriol ranged from 0.25 to 1.0 μg, with 0.5 μg/day being the most common dose. The trial durations ranged from 6 months to 8 years; the majority of trials lasted between 1 and 3 years. Of the 19 trials, 11 reported statistically significant increases in BMD at one or more sites for the calcitriol group when compared to the placebo group [
65, 67, 70, 71, 74, 75, 84, 87–90]. Five trials reported no difference in BMD changes between those receiving calcitriol therapy and those in the placebo group [
72, 78, 82, 85, 91]. The final three trials found that calcitriol therapy was equivalent to proven bone therapies, such as bisphosphonates [
76], high-dose vitamin D [
83], and alfacalcidol (a calcitriol prodrug) [
86].
The majority of the 19 studies examining monotherapy calcitriol in regard to BMD changes were conducted among postmenopausal women, many of whom had measurable bone loss [
65, 67, 70, 72, 74, 83–87, 89, 90]. Of the 12 studies investigating calcitriol therapy in relation to BMD changes among postmenopausal women, eight reported that calcitriol had significant favorable effects when compared to placebo treatment [
65, 67, 70, 74, 84, 87, 89, 90]. All studies compared the effects of calcitriol against a placebo arm, except one study that used historical controls [
67] and another study that used a one-arm trial design [
84]. Changes in BMD were commonly observed in the lumbar region, the most common site of osteoporotic fractures, and four studies reported significant differences at this site [
65, 70, 87, 90]. Three studies detected significant changes in the distal radius [
65, 84, 89], two studies in the hip region [
70, 74], and two studies found a difference for total BMD [
67, 87]. Changes in bone density were modest; many studies reported 1–3% annual increases in BMD, while participants in the control arms continued to lose BMD over the course of the study. Two trials reported no difference between calcitriol therapy and placebo. Falch et al. found no difference in bone mineral content between daily calcitriol (0.25 μg b.i.d.) and 400 IU of vitamin D [
85], and Ott et al. reported no difference in lumbar BMD between calcitriol and placebo treatments over 2 years [
72]. One study found that the increase in lumbar BMD for calcitriol therapy was equivalent to that produced by 100,000 IU of vitamin D per week [
83], and another study concluded that the changes in lumbar BMD were equal for calcitriol therapy and alfacidiol (another vitamin D analog) therapy [
86]. Overall, the majority of trials demonstrated that calcitriol can slow or even reverse bone loss among postmenopausal women, many of whom already have measurable bone loss.
Three of the 20 studies examining monotherapy calci-triol in relation to bone health did so among patients who underwent organ transplants [
75, 76, 78]. Sambrook et al. found that transplant patients administered calcitriol (0.5–0.75 μg daily), and calcium had significantly greater increases in BMD than patients who received calcium alone [
75]. Another study found no difference in BMD change between a group of transplant patients receiving calcitriol, calcium supplementation, and hormonal therapy compared to a group receiving only calcium and hormonal therapy [
78]. The final study involving transplant patients found one group of patients receiving the bisphosphonate, alendronate, and another group receiving calcitriol lost significantly less BMD compared to patients in the control arm [
76]. This study also found no difference in BMD change at the femur and hip between those receiving alendronate and calcitriol. Three studies administered calcitriol to patients who had experienced bone loss as a result of corticosteroid therapy [
71, 88, 91]. Lambrinoudaki et al. [
71] found significantly increased lumbar BMD, and Mirzaei et al. [
88] found significantly increased femoral BMD for those in the calcitriol arm when compared to those in the control arm. Diaz et al. [
91] administered calcitriol to 24 children aged two to 11 with acute lymphoblastic leukemia. Overall, no significant change in lumbar BMD was found, but a significant increase in lumbar BMD was reported in the calcitriol arm for those with a low baseline BMD. The final study involving calcitriol monotherapy was conducted was among males with primary osteoporosis. This study reported a 2% increase in femoral BMD for the calcitriol group and no change for the placebo group, although the difference was not significant [
82].
Ten studies reported the effect of calcitriol monotherapy on fracture incidence, although, the majority were post-hoc analyses and lacked statistical power [
65, 67, 72, 75, 76, 82, 85, 92–94]. Two separate one-arm trials reported significantly lower fracture rates after calcitriol therapy compared to baseline fracture rates [
67, 92]. One large trial reported a fracture rate of 12 per 100 patient-years (PY) for the calcitriol arm and a fracture rate of 44 per 100 PY for the control group (
P<0.05) at 3 years of follow-up [
94]. Another trial reported a fracture rate of 297 per 1,000 PY for those who were administered calcitriol compared to 823 per 1,000 PY given a placebo [
93]. Among transplant patients, Sambrook et al. [
75] reported 22 fractures in the control group versus one fracture in the calcitriol group (
P< 0.05), and Shane et al. [
76] found only 3.4% of those given calcitriol sustained a new fracture compared to 13.6% in the control group, although the difference was not statistically significant. The remaining four trials found no significant difference in fracture rates between the calcitriol and control groups [
65, 72, 82, 85].
Although the results of these studies are mixed, the majority concluded monotherapy calcitriol is effective in preventing bone loss. Eleven [
65, 67, 70, 71, 74, 75, 84, 87–90] of 19 studies found statistically significant increases in BMD for calcitriol when compared to control conditions and three [
76, 83, 86] trials reported calcitriol was equivalent to other treatments that have been shown to prevent bone loss. Of the five studies [
72, 78, 82, 85, 91] that reported null results, four [
72, 82, 85, 91] had relatively small samples (
n<90), and one trial administered vitamin D to the control group [
85]. Five [
67, 75, 92–94] of ten [
65, 67, 72, 75, 76, 82, 85, 92–94] studies that reported fracture rates found calcitriol significantly reduced fractures. Three [
65, 76, 82] other studies reported findings suggestive of a protective effect from calcitriol but lacked statistical significance, while the final two [
72, 85] trials reported no difference in fracture rates. Seven trials reported increased hypercalcemia as a result of calcitriol therapy [
65, 67, 72, 75, 76, 85, 89]. Calcitriol monotherapy may protect against bone loss, but the evidence is less convincing for fractures, which were studied as primary end-points in a minority of studies.