Studies conducted in the United Kingdom, Finland, Italy, Spain and Canada have shown that, while rare, mutations in
PALB2 are far more common in breast cancer patients with a strong family history than in unaffected population-based controls. In the UK study, 10 (1.1%) of 923 strongly familial cases, compared with 0 of 1,084 unaffected controls, were mutation carriers (
P = 0.004) [
4]. The Finnish recurrent mutation
PALB2 (c.1592delT) was carried by 3 (2.7%) of 113 familial breast cancer cases compared with 6 (0.2%) of 2,501 controls, an 11-fold difference (95% CI, 3-44) [
35]. A French-Canadian founder mutation, c.2323C > T, resulting in Q775X, was found in 2 (0.6%) of 356 unselected early-onset cases compared with 1 (2%) of 50 familial cases and none (0%) of 6442 newborns [
36]. Papi
et al. [
37] screened 132 Italian families with breast cancer without
BRCA1 or
BRCA2 mutations and identified one protein-truncating mutation (c.2257C > T, R753X) that was not observed in 300 control DNA. Garcia
et al. [
38] reported one protein-truncating mutation (c.1056-1057delGA, K3531X) in a screen of 95 families with multiple cases of breast cancer without
BRCA1 or
BRCA2 mutations. These observations, while showing that
PALB2 mutations are associated with an increased risk of breast cancer, cannot be used to obtain direct or precise estimates of the magnitude of increased risk [
4,
5].
Estimation of the average increased risk associated with
PALB2 mutations has been performed previously using an indirect method by presuming a polygenic modifier model. This method estimated that, on average,
PALB2 protein-truncating mutations conferred a 2.3-fold increased risk of breast cancer (95% CI, 1.4-3.9;
P = 0.0025) [
4]. For one specific Finnish founder mutation, a direct estimate was made from a sample of population-based cases unselected for family history and screened for the
PALB2 1592delT mutation [
8]. Eighteen (0.9%) of the 1,918 cases carried the mutation. It was estimated from their family histories that carriers in this setting are at about six times the general population risk (95% CI, 2-17;
P = 0.01), equivalent to a breast cancer risk of 40% by age 70 years (95% CI, 17-77), which is comparable to the 45% estimate found for
BRCA2 mutation carriers in a large study of unselected carrier families [
34].
In Australia, a
PALB2 mutation has been found, c.3113G > A, carried by 5 (0.4%) of 1,403 unselected population-based patients diagnosed before age 60 years, 8 (1%) of 779 cases from families with multiple cases of breast cancer, and none of 764 unaffected population-based controls. This mutation was found twice in a UK study [
4] that screened 923 cases from families with multiple cases of breast cancer. The Australian carrier families reported here are predominantly of Australian, English and Scottish heritage. These are the only reports of this mutation we know of, so it is possible that this mutation originated in the United Kingdom.
We estimated from analyses of case carrier families that carriers of the
PALB2 c.3113G > A mutation who are relatives of unselected case carriers have a high risk of developing breast cancer: about 50% to age 50 years and 90% to age 70 years. The lower bound of the 95% CI of the latter estimate is about the same as the average risk for
BRCA2 mutation carriers estimated using the same design and statistical methodology [
39]. Therefore, this mutation is associated with as high a risk as other mutations being tested for by cancer family genetics services across the world.
For families with multiple cases of breast cancer currently attending cancer genetics services in Australia, at most 20% of those screened for
BRCA1 and
BRCA2 are found to carry mutations [
21], which is similar to the rates in the United Kingdom [
40] and the United States [
41]. Although
PALB2 c.3113G > A is rare, testing for it is inexpensive and has clinical utility. By virtue of being based on case families, our risk estimate applies to women with at least some family history, so it is appropriate for counseling carriers identified in families with multiple cases of breast cancer who use cancer family genetics services.