Using the proposed T1–T4 translational research framework (; ), we examine the role of epidemiology in providing data to help translate initial basic discoveries into clinical and public health applications. We use the term “translational epidemiology” (TE) to describe the application of epidemiologic methods in all phases of TR (i.e., the study of disease distribution and determinants in populations). TE overlaps with and encompasses such terms as “applied epidemiology” (
20), “clinical epidemiology” (
21), and “field epidemiology” (
22)—all referring to post-discovery research but used in various ways, depending on the context of applications of epidemiologic research, according to the purpose of the research, the phase of its application, and the determinants and outcomes of interest. TE is at the intersection of clinical and population-based research, including observational studies and randomized controlled trials (sometimes called experimental epidemiology) (
23), assessing how basic discoveries can be used to improve health.
T1 epidemiologic research assesses the potential of a discovery for developing a “candidate application” for use in clinical or public health practice. Candidate applications are not limited to diagnostics or therapeutics; they can be considered more broadly to include behavioral, social, and policy interventions (e.g., tobacco regulations to help control smoking-related morbidity and mortality; physical activity to prevent type 2 diabetes).
In human genomics research, T1 epidemiologic research is needed to replicate and characterize genetic associations discovered by candidate gene studies and genome-wide association studies (
24). For example, characterizing the prevalence of genetic risk factors in different populations and ethnic groups, assessing their contributions to disease burden, and evaluating gene-gene and gene-environment interactions are all questions requiring additional epidemiologic research (
25). The importance of T1 epidemiologic research in human genomics cannot be underestimated. Recently, several companies have begun marketing so-called personal genomic tests directly to consumers; these tests are derived from discovery research and are offered with the implicit purpose of guiding health risk assessment and disease prevention (
26). However, many associations included in personal genomic tests have not been replicated (
27), and the risks calculated by different companies are often inconsistent (
28). Yang et al. (
29) recently showed that, in general, the estimated lifetime risks of disease include a large amount of uncertainty depending on variation in disease incidence rates, temporal trends, risk ratios, prevalence of genetic risk factors, and interactions with other risk factors. T1 epidemiologic research can begin to look beyond odds ratios (
30) to applied measures, such as the sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value of genetic variants, singly or in combination, in the context of other disease risk factors (such as environmental exposures). For example, T1 epidemiologic research in human genomics includes the analysis of cohort studies to assess the value of adding genetic variants to conventional risk prediction models for coronary heart disease, some cancers, and type 2 diabetes (
31). So far, these studies have shown that genetic risk factors add very little to the area under a receiver operating characteristic curve generated by well-established disease prediction algorithms (e.g., the Framingham score) (
32).
T2 epidemiologic research is required to establish the clinical utility of a candidate application, concluding with a comprehensive assessment of the balance of benefits and harms of its use. Results of such research are the basis for evidence-based recommendations by professional groups or independent panels, such as the US Preventive Services Task Force (
33). T2 epidemiologic research includes both observational studies and randomized controlled trials. Although phase III randomized controlled trials are routinely conducted to evaluate new drugs, behavioral interventions are also amenable to these trials. For example, the highly successful Diabetes Prevention Program recruited individuals at high risk for type 2 diabetes and randomized them prospectively to receive pharmacologic and behavioral interventions, including diet and physical activity (
34).
In human genomics, T2 epidemiologic research assesses the value of genomic information in directing primary prevention, early detection, and treatment of disease (e.g., pharmacogenomics) (
35). Principles of comparative effectiveness research are the basis for comparing the results of gene-directed interventions with those of standard interventions (
36). So far, very few genomic applications have been evaluated for clinical utility (
18,
37). In general, most discovered common genetic variants have low clinical validity and, furthermore, information from single or small sets of genetic markers discovered in genome-wide association studies is unlikely to have clinical utility (
38). Even when a strong genetic association exists (e.g., factor V Leiden with recurrent venous thromboembolism), genetic testing may not improve clinical outcomes (
39). In general, few randomized controlled trials have been conducted to evaluate the clinical utility of genomic applications in practice. One of the few examples of a genomic application evaluated by an ongoing randomized controlled trial is the use of breast cancer gene expression profiles to direct chemotherapy to women at high risk of recurrence (
40).
T3 epidemiologic research addresses the major challenge of translating candidate applications into health-care practice and disease prevention programs. The Institute of Medicine's report,
Crossing the Quality Chasm: A New Health System for the 21st Century, summarized the difficulty of effective implementation and diffusion of proven health-care interventions (
41). According to McGlynn et al. (
42), patients in the United States receive only half of the preventive services for which evidence-based recommendations exist. The overuse of inefficient or potentially harmful interventions is also an important concern (
43). Discussing global health issues, Madon et al. recently remarked that “many evidence-based innovations fail to produce results when transferred to communities, largely because their implementation is untested, unsuitable, or incomplete” (44, p. 1728). Because health delivery schemes are difficult to study with randomized controlled trials, other epidemiologic approaches contribute to the “implementation sciences” for assessing facilitators and barriers to uptake and implementation of evidence-based recommendations. “Why do established programs lose effectiveness over days, weeks, or months? Why do tested programs sometimes exhibit unintended effects when transferred to a new setting? How can multiple interventions be effectively packaged to capture cost efficiencies and to reduce the splintering of health systems into disease specific programs? Answering questions like these will require analysis of biological, social, and environmental factors that impact implementation” (44, p. 1728).
In human genomics, few applications are currently ready for implementation in clinical practice. A notable exception is the breast cancer susceptibility gene (
BRCA) mutation testing for assessing risk of breast and ovarian cancer. In 2005, the US Preventive Services Task Force issued an evidence-based recommendation that “women whose family history is associated with an increased risk for deleterious mutations in
BRCA1 or
BRCA2 genes should be referred for genetic counseling and evaluation for
BRCA testing” (
45). Very few studies to date have evaluated the extent and determinants of uptake of such recommendations in various clinical and population settings. For the personal genomic tests available (with no evidence-based recommendations), Kolor et al. (
46) recently reported on 2 epidemiologic surveys of the population and primary care providers in the United States, and they have documented that a substantial fraction of the population and providers are aware of these tests. Determinants of awareness include gender (female), age (older groups), education (higher education), and race (whites). Although only a small proportion (0.3%) of respondents have used these tests, providers are getting questions about such tests from their patients and are likely to change some aspect of their practice as a result of these tests, even without the requisite evidence base around their use in practice. Simple T3 epidemiologic data such as these help to document the mismatch between scientific evidence and everyday practice, and they highlight the need for more education and oversight of such products (
46).
T4 epidemiologic research evaluates the real world effectiveness of a candidate application in terms of population-level outcomes, such as morbidity, mortality, and disability, at the population or health-care-system level. As Ogilvie et al. (
19) point out, the true end point of TR is not simply institutionalizing effective interventions but improving population health. Established epidemiologic methods for surveillance can be applied to risk factors (e.g., monitoring the prevalence of obesity and cigarette smoking by using the state-based Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System) (
47) or disease occurrence: For example, cancer surveillance data have been used to model the impact of mammography screening on breast cancer mortality (
48). This view of T4 research encompasses the whole spectrum of determinants of health, from the individual to the collective level, along with a corresponding spectrum of interventions.
In human genomics, very few applications have been evaluated by T4 research. Perhaps the most notable example is newborn screening for inherited metabolic disorders. Although mandated public health newborn screening programs have been in place for decades, they have only recently integrated new technologies (particularly tandem mass spectrometry) for identifying an expanded number of disorders (
49). Surveillance and outcomes research are being used to document the real world effectiveness and potential harms of these new tests (
50).