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Logo of nihpaAbout Author manuscriptsSubmit a manuscriptHHS Public Access; Author Manuscript; Accepted for publication in peer reviewed journal;
Arch Intern Med. Author manuscript; available in PMC 2010 June 30.
Published in final edited form as:
PMCID: PMC2894539

Menopause and the Metabolic Syndrome

The Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation



Cross-sectional studies suggest that prevalence of the metabolic syndrome (MetS) increases from premenopause to postmenopause in women, independent of age. Little is known about why. We hypothesized that the incidence of the MetS increases with progression through menopause and that this increase is explained by the progressive androgenicity of the hormonal milieu.


This longitudinal, 9-year study of 949 participants in the Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation investigates the natural history of the menopausal transition. Participants of 5 ethnicities at 7 geographic sites were recruited when they were premenopausal or early perimenopausal and were eligible for this study if they (1) reached menopause during the study; (2) had never taken hormone therapy, and (3) did not have diabetes mellitus or the MetS at baseline. The primary outcome was the presence of MetS using National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria. Secondary outcomes were the components of the MetS.


By the final menstrual period, 13.7% of the women had new-onset MetS. Longitudinal analyses, centered at the final menstrual period, were adjusted for age at menopause, ethnicity, study site, marital status, education, body mass index, smoking, and aging. Odds of developing the MetS per year in perimenopause were 1.45 (95% confidence interval, 1.35-1.56); after menopause, 1.24 (95% confidence interval, 1.18-1.30). These odds were significantly different (P<.001). An increase in bioavailable testosterone or a decrease in sex hormone–binding globulin levels increased the odds.


As testosterone progressively dominates the hormonal milieu during the menopausal transition, the prevalence of MetS increases, independent of aging and other important covariates. This may be a pathway by which cardiovascular disease increases during menopause.

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the primary cause of death in women in Western countries. Women tend to develop the disease about 10 years later than men, with a marked increase through the menopausal years.1 Cardiovascular disease is rare among women younger than 45 years, but women older than 55 years are more likely than men to have CVD.2,3 This has led to the hypothesis that changes during the menopausal transition increase the risk of CVD, independent of normal aging.4,5 This hypothesis is supported by studies that show that surgically induced menopause increases the risk of CVD6 and by autopsy studies that show minimal vascular disease before but not after menopause.7

Menopausal status, most commonly defined by changes in menstrual bleeding, is a proxy for changes in sex hormone levels, the most important of which are estradiol and testosterone.8 Sex hormone–binding globulin (SHBG) is a protein that binds testosterone and estradiol and transports them to target organs. Because this binding occurs preferentially to testosterone, SHBG is viewed as an indirect marker of bioavailable androgen.9

A hallmark of the menopausal transition is the dramatic reduction in estradiol levels.8 With this reduction, there is a progressive shift toward androgen dominance in the hormonal milieu.10,11 Although little is known about how this hormonal shift influences CVD risk, available studies suggest a link between androgenicity and CVD risk factors.12-14 These studies are limited, however, because they are small, cross-sectional, and/or primarily conducted in Caucasian samples.

The metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a summary measure of important CVD risk factors that frequently coexist. The syndrome is evident in 20% to 30% of middle-aged women and has been linked to the development of CVD and diabetes.15-17 To our knowledge, there have been no longitudinal studies of the impact of the menopausal transition on the development of the MetS. Menopausal status has been linked to some components of the MetS, but results are inconsistent.18 Most cross-sectional studies show that postmenopausal women are more likely then premenopausal women to have higher triglyceride and lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels independent of age,18 but some large European studies19,20 show no significant differences in triglyceride or HDL-C levels after adjustment for age. Longitudinal results are also mixed. In 2 small studies in Asia, premenopausal to postmenopausal changes in HDL-C and triglyceride levels were not significant.21,22 In a large longitudinal study of female Japanese survivors of the atomic bomb, menopausal status was associated with an increase in total cholesterol levels, but not in body mass index (BMI) (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared) or in blood pressure.23

There is evidence that specific reproductive hormones are associated with CVD risk factors in premenopausal and postmenopausal Caucasian women.24,25 Increased testosterone and decreased SHBG levels are strongly associated with central adiposity, increased triglycerides, and decreased HDL-C levels in Caucasian women24,25 as well as in an ethnically diverse population.26 Even after age and BMI were adjusted for, low SHBG and high testosterone levels were significantly correlated with the presence of the MetS.27 To our knowledge, there have been no studies of the association between menopause-related changes in sex hormone levels and the MetS.

The purposes of this study were (1) to determine whether the incidence of the MetS increases with progression through menopause, independent of age and other standard CVD risk factors, using a longitudinal design; and (2) to test the hypothesis that testosterone is associated with the development of the MetS and its components.



The Study of Women’s Health Across the Nation (SWAN) is a multiethnic, community-based, longitudinal cohort study of the natural history of the menopausal transition in 3302 women enrolled at 7 sites throughout the United States (Boston, Massachusetts; Chicago; Detroit, Michigan; Los Angeles, California; Oakland, California; Newark, New Jersey; and Pittsburgh). The design of the main study has been described elsewhere.28 The cohort at baseline included women of Caucasian, African American, Chinese, Japanese, and Hispanic origins, aged 42 to 52 years, who (1) had an intact uterus and at least 1 ovary, (2) had had at least 1 menstrual period in the preceding 3 months, (3) had used no sex steroid hormone therapy in the preceding 3 months, and (4) were not pregnant.

To date, a total of 1644 women in the SWAN cohort have reached natural menopause and were thus eligible for this study. Of these, we excluded 309 (18.8%) because they used hormone therapy before reaching menopause; 312 (19.0%) because they had the MetS at baseline; 29 (1.8%) because they had diabetes mellitus at baseline; 10 (0.6%) because they had missing data on weight at baseline; and 35 (2.1%) because of missing assessments for key variables after the initial examination. Thus, the analytic sample for this report was 949. The only difference between the samples before and after these exclusions was in ethnicity because fewer Japanese and Chinese women were excluded owing to their less frequent use of hormone therapy.


All participants underwent annual examinations that included interviews, anthropometry, questionnaires, and a blood draw for the assessment of sociodemographic factors, CVD risk factors, and reproductive hormone levels. Owing to budgetary constraints, the blood assays, including those for glucose, HDL-C, and triglyceride levels, were performed every other year only.

Phlebotomy was performed in the morning after an overnight fast. Subjects were scheduled for venipuncture on days 2 to 5 of a spontaneous menstrual cycle within 60 days of the anniversary of the baseline examination date. All assays were performed on an automated analyzer (ACS-180; Bayer Diagnostics Corporation, Tarrytown, New York) using a double-antibody chemiluminescent immunoassay with a solid-phase anti-IgG immunoglobulin conjugated to paramagnetic particles, antiligand antibody, and competitive ligand labeled with dimethylacridinium ester. The estradiol assay modifies the rabbit anti–estradiol-6 ACS-180 immunoassay to increase sensitivity, with a lower limit of detection (LLD) of 1.0 pg/mL (to convert to picomoles per liter, multiply by 3.671). The testosterone assay modifies the rabbit polyclonal antitestosterone ACS-180 immunoassay, with an LLD of 2.19 ng/dL (to convert to nanomoles per liter, multiply by 0.0347). The SHBG assay was developed at the central laboratory at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, using rabbit anti-SHBG antibodies, with an LLD of 0.22 μg/mL (to convert to nanomoles per liter, multiply by 8.896). Duplicate estradiol assays were conducted with results reported as the arithmetic mean for each subject, with a coefficient of variation of 3% to 12%. All other assays were single determinations. Bioavailable testosterone level was calculated as T×100/(3.24×SHBG), where T indicates testosterone levels in nanograms per deciliter and SHBG levels are given in micrograms per milliliter.

Standardized protocols were used to measure weight, height, and waist circumference. Height was measured without shoes using a stadiometer. Weight was measured without shoes and with light indoor clothing using scales that were calibrated on a monthly basis to a standard. Waist circumference was measured with the respondent in nonrestrictive undergarments. Blood pressure was measured according to a standardized protocol, with readings taken on the right arm and with the respondent seated with feet flat on the floor for at least 5 minutes before measurement. Respondents had not smoked or consumed any caffeinated beverage within 30 minutes of blood pressure measurement. A standard mercury sphygmomanometer was used to record systolic and diastolic pressures at the first and fifth Korotkoff sounds. Two sequential blood pressure values, with a minimum 2-minute rest between measures, were obtained and averaged.

Total cholesterol and triglyceride levels were analyzed using enzymatic methods (Hitachi 747 analyzer; Boehringer Mannheim Diagnostics, Indianapolis, Indiana) as previously described.29 We isolated HDL-C using heparin–manganese chloride.30

We defined the MetS using the modified National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III definition with 100 mg/dL as the cut point for glucose level (to convert to millimoles per liter, multiply by 0.0555).1 However, because lower overall adiposity has been associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and dyslipidemia in Asians,31,32 the waist circumference cut point proposed by the World Health Organization (≥80 cm)33 was used for the Japanese and Chinese participants instead of the cut point used in the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III definition (≥88 cm).34


Data were summarized as mean (SD) or number (percentage), as indicated. The women experienced menopause at varying times in the 8 years of follow-up. By aligning each measurement from each woman according to the date of her final menstrual period (FMP), we were able to summarize the accumulated data for a 13-year time scale (from 6 years before to 6 years after the FMP).

The longitudinal data were analyzed as repeated measures, ordered by time relative to the FMP, taking into account the correlation between successive observations within individuals. The BMI values were transformed by natural logarithm before analysis to ensure that the distributions of the residuals (observed values–fitted values) were close to normal. All models were adjusted for aging, age at the FMP, ethnicity, study site, marital status, education, smoking, BMI at baseline, and change in BMI from baseline. To assess the effect of menopause, the first model included 2 terms for aging, one for perimenopause (<1 year after the FMP) and the other for postmenopause (starting 1 year after the FMP). To assess the difference in the β estimates for the 2 aging terms, the adjusted model was rerun with aging and an interaction of menopausal status and aging. In subsequent models, we examined the change in a specific hormone level adjusted for that hormone level at baseline with aging not separated by menopausal status. Baseline hormone measures as well as their changes were standardized by dividing each value by the overall standard deviation to make their influence on the outcomes comparable. We analyzed the MetS using generalized estimating equations. Goodness of fit was assessed by log-likelihood. Changes in components of the MetS, adjusting for baseline values, were analyzed as repeated-measures mixed models with fixed effects only. Allowance for a random intercept did not change results. Goodness of fit was assessed with the Bayes information criterion.35 An autoregressive covariance structure was used in all models to account for the dependence of measures over time.


After exclusions, women in the analytic sample who, by definition, had had an FMP were older than the remainder of the SWAN cohort who were awaiting their FMP. Given their older age, they had a higher Framingham Risk Score, lower HDL-C level, higher glucose level, and higher blood pressure. Comparisons of the 2 samples at baseline revealed that women in the analytic sample had less education and lower testosterone levels, but higher estradiol and SHBG levels.

Table 1 presents the characteristics of the analytic sample at the time of the FMP, separated by a new occurrence of the MetS. In the total sample, the mean age at the FMP was 50.9 years and ranged from 42 to 58 years. The mean BMI was 26.9, indicating that, on average, the women were overweight. At the time of the FMP, 13.7% of the cohort had a new onset of the MetS. Women with the MetS differed from women without the MetS on all variables except ethnicity, study site, smoking, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level. Combining baseline prevalent cases with new-onset cases, 32.7% of the women had the MetS by the time of the FMP.

Table 1
Characteristics of Cohort at FMP, Overall and by MetS at FMP

Figure 1 shows the odds of developing the MetS during the course of the menopausal transition, after adjustment for ethnicity, site, baseline BMI, change in BMI, education, marital status, smoking, age at FMP, and aging.

Figure 1
Odds of developing the metabolic syndrome (MetS) by aging after adjustment for standard risk factors, including age at final menstrual period (FMP), ethnicity, study site, education, marital status, smoking, baseline body mass index (BMI), and change ...

Table 2 presents multivariate predictors of the development of the MetS. Odds of developing the MetS were 1.45 (95% confidence interval, 1.35-1.56) per year during the perimenopausal period and 1.24 (95% confidence interval, 1.18-1.30) per year in the postmenopausal years. The difference between these odds ratios was highly significant (P<.001).

Table 2
Multivariate Predictors of the Development of the MetSa

Table 3 compares the results of 3 multivariate models, each focusing on a different hormone. Changes in total estradiol and total testosterone levels were unrelated to the development of the MetS. The change in bioavailable testosterone level was significantly related to the change in the MetS and was essentially interchangeable with the results for change in SHBG levels. For every 1-SD increase in bioavailable testosterone levels, the odds of developing the MetS increased by 10%. For every 1-SD decrease in SHBG level, the odds of developing the MetS increased by 13%.

Table 3
Comparison of 4 Hormone Measures as Predictors of the Development of the MetSa After Adjustment for Standard Risk Factors

Figure 2 shows the change in the MetS components with the transition from perimenopause to postmenopause, after adjusting for covariates. Waist circumference increased with aging even after controlling for BMI (P<.001) and accelerated after menopause (P=.04). Levels of HDL-C and triglycerides show a similar pattern over time; both increased significantly during the perimenopausal period but stabilized afterward. Glucose level decreased slightly but significantly with aging during the entire study period (P<.001); systolic blood pressure increased but not significantly (P=.07) with aging; and there was no effect of menopause on glucose level or blood pressure.

Figure 2
Changes in components of the metabolic syndrome by aging after adjustment for standard risk factors, including baseline outcome, age at final menstrual period (FMP), ethnicity, study site, education, marital status, smoking, baseline body mass index (BMI), ...

Table 4 presents a comparison of 4 hormone measures as predictors of change in components of the MetS. Changes in bioavailable testosterone and SHBG levels were associated with changes in waist circumference and in HDL-C and glucose levels.

Table 4
Comparison of 4 Hormone Measures as Predictors of Change in Components of the MetS, After Adjustment for Standard Risk Factorsa


To our knowledge, this is the first study to show that the incidence of the MetS increased progressively from 6 years before to 6 years after the FMP, independent of aging and known CVD risk factors. Previous epidemiologic studies have suggested that an association exists between menopause and the MetS, but they were limited by their small size, their cross-sectional design,27 and/or their ethnically homogeneous samples.15,36 The use of the SWAN cohort to examine this link provided the opportunity to examine this question using a rigorous, longitudinal design and a large, multiethnic cohort.

Menopause-related testosterone predominance appears to be implicated as a key hormonal change that is associated with the incidence of the MetS, independent of aging and other standard CVD risk factors. Moreover, testosterone predominance appears to be associated with change in 3 of the 5 components of the MetS. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first longitudinal study to identify hormonal changes associated with the development of the MetS in women.

It was previously thought that estrogen exerted a direct positive effect on CVD risk in women, a benefit that was lost as women transitioned from a premenopausal to a postmenopausal state and experienced a loss of estrogen.8,37 However, these data show that the change in estrogen level is, at best, a weak and nonsignificant predictor of MetS risk. A more likely story is that the progressive androgenicity of the hormonal milieu exerts a direct negative effect on CVD risk. This story is consistent with data from clinical trials showing that the replacement of estrogen does not protect against CVD.38 It is also biologically plausible, based on mounting evidence from cross-sectional clinical studies showing that testosterone is associated with insulin resistance, hyperinsulinemia, low HDL-C levels, high blood levels of glucose and triglycerides, and diabetes mellitus24,25,39 and from epidemiologic data showing that androgens are associated with hemostatic and inflammatory markers.14

The finding reported herein that SHBG is interchangeable with bioavailable testosterone as a predictor of the MetS is consistent with the view that SHBG is a marker of the balance of testosterone relative to estrogen levels. Indeed, in our data, we found a strong negative correlation between SHBG and bioavailable testosterone levels and a strong positive correlation between SHBG and estradiol levels. It is possible, however, that SHBG also has independent functions in the cell that go beyond its role as a marker of bioavailable testosterone. This is an important area of study that is currently under way.11

Strengths of this study are the longitudinal design, the large multiethnic cohort, and the long follow-up through menopause. By anchoring the data at the FMP, we were able to use a more precise definition of time in the menopausal transition. A limitation of the study may be its rep-resentativeness because all of the women lived in major metropolitan areas. Another limitation is that the frequency of glucose, HDL-C, and triglyceride level measurements was every other year, rather than the annual assessments available for all of the other factors. However, our method of analysis is robust in handling this problem. Most of our women were overweight, raising the question of whether results would be different in women of normal weight. Our findings did not change when only women with a BMI of less than 25 at baseline underwent analysis.

This longitudinal study of the largest cohort of middle-aged women undergoing the menopausal transition to date shows that the prevalence of the MetS increases significantly during the perimenopausal and early postmenopausal years, independent of aging and other known CVD risk factors such as weight gain and smoking. Levels of bioavailable testosterone and, alternatively, SHBG, emerged as independent predictors, after controlling for aging and CVD risk factors. The temporality of the association between menopause and CVD risk has been questioned.40 However, these data suggest the hypothesis that progression through menopause, with the associated decrease in estrogen level, results in a progressively androgen-dominated hormonal milieu, which then increases the MetS risk. Further investigation of the role of androgens as CVD risk factors or a CVD consequence is needed.


Funding/Support: This study was supported by grants NR004061, AG012505, AG012535, AG012531, AG012539, AG012546, AG012553, AG012554, and AG012495 to SWAN from the NIH, Department of Health and Human Services, through the National Institute on Aging, the National Institute of Nursing Research, and the NIH Office of Research on Women’s Health.


Author Contributions: Dr Janssen had full access to all of the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Study concept and design: Janssen, Powell, Lasley, and Sutton-Tyrrell. Acquisition of data: Powell. Analysis and interpretation of data: Janssen, Powell, Crawford, and Lasley. Drafting of the manuscript: Janssen, Powell, and Lasley. Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Powell, Crawford, Lasley, and Sutton-Tyrrell. Statistical analysis: Janssen and Crawford. Obtained funding: Powell and Sutton-Tyrrell. Administrative, technical, and material support: Powell. Study supervision: Powell, Lasley, and Sutton-Tyrrell.

Financial Disclosure: None reported.

Additional Contributions: We thank the study staff at each site and all the women who participated in the SWAN.

Participating Centers: Clinical centers (principal investigators) in the SWAN include the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor (MaryFran Sowers, PhD); Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston (Robert Neer, MD, 1994-1999; Joel Finkelstein, MD, 1999-present); Rush University, Rush University Medical Center, Chicago (Lynda Powell, PhD); University of California, Davis/Kaiser (Ellen Gold, PhD); University of California, Los Angeles (Gail Greendale, MD); University of Medicine and Dentistry, New Jersey Medical School, Newark (Gerson Weiss, MD, 1994-2004; Nanette Santoro, MD, 2004-present); and the University of Pittsburgh (Karen Matthews, PhD). The National Institutes of Health (NIH) program offices included the National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, Maryland (program officers, Marcia Ory, PhD, 1994-2001; Sherry Sherman, PhD, 1994-present), and the National Institute of Nursing Research, Bethesda. The central laboratory was at the University of Michigan (Daniel McConnell, PhD, Central Ligand Assay Satellite Services). The coordinating centers (principal investigators) were the New England Research Institutes, Watertown, Massachusetts (Sonja McKinlay, PhD, 1995-2001), and the University of Pittsburgh (Kim Sutton-Tyrrell, DrPH, 2001-present). Chris Gallagher, PhD, and Susan Johnson, MD, were Steering Committee chairs.


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