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Objective To provide a comprehensive survey of the content and quality of intervention studies relevant to the treatment of schizophrenia.
Design Data were extracted from 2000 trials on the Cochrane Schizophrenia Group’s register.
Main outcome measures Type and date of publication, country of origin, language, size of study, treatment setting, participant group, interventions, outcomes, and quality of study.
Results Hospital based drug trials undertaken in the United States were dominant in the sample (54%). Generally, studies were short (54%<6 weeks), small (mean number of patients 65), and poorly reported (64% had a quality score of 2 (maximum score 5)). Over 600 different interventions were studied in these trials, and 640 different rating scales were used to measure outcome.
Conclusions Half a century of studies of limited quality, duration, and clinical utility leave much scope for well planned, conducted, and reported trials. The drug regulatory authorities should stipulate that the results of both explanatory and pragmatic trials are necessary before a compound is given a licence for everyday use.
The advent of randomised controlled trials coincided with a revolution in the care of people with schizophrenia. Drug treatments were developed that dramatically improved the mental state of those for whom little hope had previously existed.1 Psychiatrists welcomed the randomised trial, and a tradition of evaluative research was strengthened.
The creation of registers of randomised controlled trials, such as that developed by the Cochrane Schizophrenia Group,2 affords an opportunity to assess the quality and content of evaluative research in well defined sampling frames. There are now many examples of such surveys in specific journals,3–5 including the pilot study for this work,6 but research into the quality and content of trials in specific healthcare specialties is less common. We focused on the care of patients with schizophrenia or other non-affective psychoses to replicate and expand work in other specialties.7–11
Every report of the first 2000 trials on the Cochrane Schizophrenia Group’s register was eligible. The register contains reports of published and unpublished randomised controlled trials and controlled clinical trials (parallel group comparative studies in which allocation of treatment is not explicitly stated to be random). These studies relate to the care of those with schizophrenia and other non-affective psychoses.
Key journals were identified and hand searched from 1948 to December 1997. Conference proceedings were also hand searched. We comprehensively searched Biological Abstracts (1982-96), CINAHL (1980-96), the Cochrane Library (issue 3, 1997), Embase (1980-96), LILACS (1980-96), Psyc/Lit (1974-96), PSYNDEX (1980-95), Medline (1966-96), and Sociofile (1985-96).12 The resulting 30000 electronic records were checked for duplicates before we highlighted studies that were possibly relevant. We obtained 6000 full copies, which were added to the register if they met the inclusion criteria as outlined above. The final sample was 3181 publications (around 2500 trials). Time constraints forced us to survey so the first 2000 trials (reported in 2275 publications).
We recorded the type and date of publication, country of origin, and language of each study. We used a measure of methodological quality based on each trial’s description of randomisation, blinding, and withdrawal from treatment.13 The maximum score was 5, for which the report had to have given appropriate methods of generating random assignment, appropriate blinding of participants and raters, and details on those who withdrew from the trial before its conclusion. This measure was chosen for its validity13 and ease of use and because low scores, indicating poor quality of reporting, are associated with an increased estimate of benefit.14 It does not specifically rate concealment of allocation, which is also related to trial outcome.15 We also recorded the size of the study, treatment setting, participants, interventions, and outcomes, and all data were stored in spreadsheets. BT coded most of the reports. CA recoded a 10% sample to test and ensure reliability. Data were analysed with Microsoft Excel.
Coding of variables was reliable. There was over 90% agreement in all but the numbers completing the study (70%) and listing of outcome instruments; in about 10% of reports the principal rater (BT) failed to identify one of the scales, often among several used.
Over 95% (1954) of the 2000 trials were in people with schizophrenia, serious or chronic mental illness, psychosis, or movement disorders. Most of the 2275 reports were fully published in journals (1940, 85%), while the remainder were presented at conferences (253, 11%) or published as letters, in books, as chapters in books, or as product monographs (82, 4%). The BMJ and Lancet publish a few more schizophrenia trials than JAMA and the New England Journal of Medicine (21, 33, 6, 2 respectively), but all these widely read journals were limited sources of trials on this most serious, costly illness. Most trials were published in general psychiatric journals.
The number of trials relevant to schizophrenia rose steadily with time, from about 20 per year in the 1950s and 1960s to an average of nearly 75 per year in the past decade (β=1.9, r2=0.59, P<0.001, where β is the estimated yearly change and r2 the yearly data explained by a linear trend).
Most (2214, 97%) of the reports were published in English. Most (1238, 54%) were from North America, with 37% (849) from Europe and 8% (188) from the rest of the world. Trial output from North America increased at a faster rate than that from Europe and the rest of the world (0.9, 0.7, and 0.3 extra trials per year respectively).
The quality of reporting was poor. Only 4% (80) of the trials clearly described the methods of allocation. Explicit descriptions of blinding were adequate in only 22% (440) of trials, while some description of treatment withdrawals was given in 42% (840). One per cent (20) of the 2000 trials achieved a maximum quality score of 5. Just under two thirds (1280) scored 2 or less, which means that they barely, if at all, described any attempt to reduce the potential for introduction of bias at allocation or rating of outcome, placebo effects, or the fate of all participants. A score of 3 or more was predefined as better quality. Just 33% (354/1062) of North American trials achieved this, compared with 36% (262/724) of European trials and 43% (77/180) of those from the rest of the world (χ2=9.23, P<0.01). Studies from Canada (n=103) and a combined group of the Middle East and Asia (n=109) were particularly well reported (98, 46% scoring 3 or higher). We found little evidence that the quality of trial reporting improved with time. From 1950 to 1997 the mean quality score was consistently under 2.5.
The average number of trial participants was 65, with no discernible change over time (β=0.2, r2=0.7, P=0.4). Only 20 trials (1%) raised the issue of the statistical power of the study. The average size of schizophrenia trials was small. For an outcome such as clinically important improvement in mental state to show a 20% difference between groups a study would have to have 150 participants in each arm (α=0.05, power 85%). Only 3% (60) of studies were of this size or greater. More than 50% of trials had 50 or fewer participants (figure).
On average, just under 12% of participants left the studies early, although the trend was towards increasing loss to follow up (β=0.01, r2=0.6, P<0.001). Over half of the trials lasted six weeks or less (1082, 54%), and less than one fifth allowed more than six months to evaluate the treatments (382, 19%).
Only 272 (14%) of the total sample of trials were clearly community based, but the proportion increased (β=0.1, r2=0.92, P<0.01). Even in the 1990s, however, the proportion was still small (23%, 135/587).
Interventions were classed as drug treatment, psychotherapy (any treatment based on talking), physical treatment (electroconvulsive therapy, psychosurgery), policy or care packages (case management, team treatment), and other (table (table1).1). Overall, 1725 (86%) of the 2000 trials evaluated the effects of 437 different drugs. Haloperidol was an increasingly frequent comparator (β=0.5, r2=0.6, P<0.001). Overall, the proportion of drug trials declined somewhat over time (β=−0.002, r2=0.5, P=0.03), with studies of psychotherapy and policy or care packages increasing.
In all, 510 (25%) studies did not use rating scales to measure outcomes. The remaining 1490 trials used 640 different instruments. These were broadly classified; table table22 lists the most popular. Overall, 369 scales were used only once. Most trials used between one and five instruments, but greater numbers were not uncommon, with one trial using 17 different outcome scales.
Our sample of 2000 trials is likely to be biased in some respects. The searching was largely, but not exclusively, in English, and our ability to code articles in languages other than English was limited. An undiscovered body of large, high quality trials published in languages other than English is unlikely as researchers everywhere are conscious that the common language of the scientific community is English. The first 2000 trials on the Cochrane Schizophrenia Group’s register were a subsample of around 2500 eventually identified by the search. High availability of a report would probably have increased the chance of early entry on to the register and so of being within the survey sample. However, this potential selection bias would have been offset by our limited efficiency. The register was compiled over two years, so we had a mixture of easily acquired reports and those that had been difficult to find. The study sample, however, may well incorporate less selection biases than the trials readily available through Medline and is representative of those on the Cochrane controlled trials register, the most comprehensive source of randomised controlled trials and controlled clinical trials.16
Most schizophrenia trials are undertaken in North America. The United States, in particular, has a strong tradition of evaluative research in randomised controlled trials, but only 2% of the world’s population of people with schizophrenia live in North America. How applicable the findings of these trials are to the 43 million other patients in Africa, Australasia, and Europe is difficult to assess. Further problems with generalisability arise from the fact that most participants in trials were people in hospital, even in the 1990s.
The quality of reporting in this large sample of trials was poor and showed no sign of improvement over time. As low quality scores are associated with an increased estimate of benefit,14 schizophrenia trials may well have consistently overestimated the effects of experimental interventions. We hope that this will change with wider adoption of the CONSORT recommendations.17 However, although quality of reporting has been a proxy measure of methodological quality of a trial,14,15,18 cosmetic adherence to CONSORT requirements might mask low grade studies.
Drug treatments are the bulwark of treatment of schizophrenia, so it is not surprising that drug trials dominate the sample. Most important drug trials in recent years (mostly of the new atypical generation of antipsychotic drugs, such as risperidone and olanzapine) use haloperidol as the control. This drug is likely to give obvious side effects that render successful blinding difficult, if not impossible, probably making the outcomes used more vulnerable to bias. In addition, because haloperidol is also a potent cause of adverse effects, most drugs to which it is compared will have favourable side effect profiles. Therefore, so long as the new experimental drug has moderate antipsychotic properties, favourable outcomes can be expected. Comparisons with other old, but less toxic, antipsychotic drugs, such as medium doses of thioridazine or sulpiride, are rare.
The lack of statistical power was reflected in the use of an extraordinary number of rating scales. It is often possible to achieve significance on these fine measures with small numbers. These devices by researchers leave unaddressed the clinical interpretation of these measures and the fact that scales are rarely used in clinical practice. To complicate matters further scales, and subscales, were often used at frequent intervals within the trial. The sheer quantity of data testing will then result in misleading, significant findings appearing by chance. The use of scales in schizophrenia trials is the focus of ongoing work. Further difficulties with using the evidence generated by this mass of research are that the studies are of limited duration for an illness that often lasts decades.
The findings of this survey are as bad, if not worse, as those for other disciplines of health care.8–11,14,15 Certainly, there is a long way to go before all interventions for patients with schizophrenia have been adequately evaluated and systematically reviewed and some of the enduring questions about the efficacy of treatment are answered. There is great scope for well conceived, conducted, and reported trials. The use of haloperidol as a control and rating scales of little clinical utility may well be fostered by the stipulations of various drug regulatory bodies. It should not be beyond the ability of a well motivated pharmaceutical industry to negotiate with these bodies to ensure that both explanatory and pragmatic studies19 are required for licensing.
We thank Iain Chalmers, Helen Philpott, and Leanne Roberts for help with the manuscript; Jon Deeks for statistical advice; the ever-patient librarians of the Warneford Hospital, Doreen Ledgard, Marie Montague, Sarah Old, and Libby Taylor; Pam Bachelor, Mark Fenton, Claire Joy, Rachel Lee, and Rochelle Seifas for their work on the register; and the medical students of the Warneford search parties. Contributors: BT discussed core ideas, helped formulate electronic searches, managed the register of trials, undertook the bulk of the data collection and analysis, and helped interpret the data and write the paper. CA initiated the project, discussed core ideas, designed the protocol, formulated and coordinated electronic and hand searches, participated in and supervised data collection and analysis, and took the lead in interpreting and writing the paper. CA is guarantor for this work.
Funding: This work was made possible by a Medical Research Council grant (G9503134) and a small donation from Janssen-Cilag UK.
Competing interests: None declared.