Our findings raise concerns about the potential development of
de novo MQ resistance in South America. Twelve percent of the samples carried multiple copies of
pfmdr1. This had previously been reported only in Southeast Asia, where it was linked to MQ failure and decreased ACT efficacy (
1,
17,
27,
28,
34,
41). The retrospective nature of our study prevented testing whether
pfmdr1 duplication was induced by MQ monotherapy or its implications for MQ treatment. However, a few studies have shown reduced MQ sensitivity
in vitro or prophylaxis failure in South America (
22). Our data highlight the importance of testing more recently collected samples for shifts in
pfmdr1 copy number prevalence and potential MQ resistance. In contrast to Venezuela, there is no evidence of multicopy
pfmdr1 in isolates from the Peruvian Amazon, where AS-MQ therapy has been the first-line treatment since 2001 (
4).
We found only two alleles for
pfmdr1, Y184
F/N1042
D/D1246
Y and Y184
F/S1034
C/N1042
D/D1246
Y, and
pfmdr1 duplication occurred with both alleles. Parasites with the Y184F mutation and higher copy number are reported to have higher 50% inhibition concentrations (IC
50)
in vitro to MQ and other drugs (
31). Previously reported multicopy
pfmdr1 occasionally carried a mutation at codon 86, but not mutations at codon 1034, 1042, or 1246 (
31,
33,
34). At least two explanations have been hypothesized: (i) the mutation at codon 1042 imposes a severe fitness cost on parasites with multiple copies of
pfmdr1 (
31) or (ii) there is underreporting of mutations due to the limited number of studies (
3). Our results support the latter hypothesis because all parasites carrying multicopy
pfmdr1 had the mutation at codon 1042 and two or three other mutations. However, if a fitness cost is associated with the mutation at codon 1042, then the additional
pfmdr1 mutations seen in this population may be compensatory.
In contrast to the multiple origins of
pfmdr1 amplification, point mutations associated with
pfmdr1 resistance have a common founder lineage in our study. There is a shared haplotype for both the triple mutant and quadruple mutants between −4.2 and 3.7 kb and an additional quadruple mutant haplotype. The latter, while differing at both −3.4 and 0.45 kb, appears to be due to slippage (see Table S2 in the supplemental material). These data suggest that the triple mutant is ancestral to the quadruple mutant or vice versa. While the overall
He around
pfmdr1 is lower than in Southeast Asia, we see a similar relative reduction in variation close to
pfmdr1 (
24). There is a smaller region of reduced
He around
pfmdr1 than
pfcrt (Fig. ). This suggests that
pfmdr1 may have (i) experienced little to no selection or (ii) the selective event(s) for
pfmdr1 occurred earlier than for
pfcrt, allowing recombination to break down any linkage. The latter possibility appears less likely, given the recent history of antimalarial policy. Additionally, point mutations in
pfmdr1 may be under selection by multiple drugs, which could complicate the signal of selection (
40). The two most recent influences on
pfmdr1 in Sifontes, Venezuela, are MQ and CQ, which may have differing directions of selection for mutations at codons 1042, 1034, and 1246. Our data could be interpreted as evidence of selection for multiple alleles or soft selective sweeps, as shown at the Thailand-Myanmar border (
24).
Recent drug policy in Sifontes, Venezuela, may have influenced preexisting
pfmdr1 alleles, since nothing in our data indicates that mutations occurred locally. For example, South American isolates collected in 1984 carried the same quadruple mutant
pfmdr1 genotype found in our samples, though we could not compare microsatellite haplotypes (
11). The quadruple mutant
pfmdr1 allele has been seen in Peru, Guyana, and Brazil (
21,
51), and the triple mutant allele has been seen in Peru (
4) and Colombia (
21). Whether all of these alleles share microsatellite haplotypes is unknown. However,
pfmdr1 haplotypes in Guyana and Brazil are more closely related to each other than those found in Colombia (
21). Our data indicate that Venezuelan
pfmdr1 haplotypes are closely related to one of the two major haplotypes (MDR-A1 and MDR-A8) found in the Peruvian Amazon (
4). If we assume that these
pfmdr1 alleles existed prior to the gene duplication event(s), then
pfmdr1 duplication evolved multiple times in South America, as seen in Southeast Asia (
24).
To clarify whether reduced He around pfcrt is due to a sweep or bottleneck, we looked for a U-shaped depression in He surrounding the gene. For StctVMNT, a selective sweep is suggested by the reduced He in a long surrounding region and the observation that distant markers are approaching the mean heterozygosity of neutral markers (Fig. ). The lack of variation surrounding SagtVMNT may be due to a smaller sample size or a bottleneck followed by clonal expansion. The second possibility appears more likely given the lack of variation associated with dhfr, dhps, and pfmdr1 genotypes/haplotypes. Additional data are required to test whether a selective sweep influenced He around SagtVMNT. Nonetheless, the depressed He around the SagtVMNT allele, compared to that around StctVMNT, suggests that it is a recent introduction with a smaller number of founders.
The evolutionary relationship between
SagtVMN
T and
StctVMN
T in South America is unclear in the literature. Proximal microsatellite alleles are shared between the two genotypes, suggesting that the two alleles are closely related. Some of the remaining variation in
StctVMN
T haplotypes could be explained by recombination with the
SagtVMN
T haplotype. While the limited variation around
pfcrt does not define which allele arose first, our results suggest they originated from the same lineage (
21,
45). Our haplotype data also suggest that
SagtVMN
T was introduced to Sifontes, Venezuela, along with a related
StctVMN
T haplotype (see Table in the supplemental material). It had been hypothesized that
SagtVMN
T originated in Mato Grosso, Brazil (
45), but
SagtVMN
T is also found in our study and in Guyana, Peru, Suriname, and Venezuela (
6,
7,
21,
30), which makes its point of origin obscure.
There are at least three possible explanations for the fixation of CQ resistance
pfcrt SVMNT alleles in Sifontes, Venezuela. First, the at-risk population may continue to expose
P. falciparum indirectly due to CQ-based
Plasmodium vivax treatment. Second,
SVMN
T may have little or no fitness disadvantage in the absence of drug pressure. In Africa, CQ-resistant parasites with CV
IET declined after CQ was withdrawn, but CV
IET is more likely to revert to CQ sensitivity in the presence of verapamil than
SVMN
T is, suggesting that the alleles differ in biological fitness (
20). Third, there are no wild-type parasites present to replace the less-fit CQ resistance genotype. This is supported by our results and earlier work, which found only
SagtVMN
T and
StctVMN
T in Sifontes and Gran Sabana in Venezuela in 1998 to 2000 (
6).
Fixation of CQ resistance in Sifontes, Venezuela, is likely to continue because of its isolation and the fixation of CQ resistance in neighboring populations. According to one study, fixation of the K76T mutation has occurred across Bolivar (
6). Sifontes, Venezuela, is isolated from the Orinoco river basin flow, which influences travel through the state of Bolivar (
5,
44), and to the west, it is separated from Bolivar by a region of higher elevation and a large reservoir. To the south, Sifontes is separated from most of Gran Sabana and Brazil by a mountain range, though a road does connect them. Even if migration occurs from Brazil, the K76
T mutation was fixed in Manaus in 2000 to 2002 (
n = 38) (
45). To the east, there are few geographic barriers with Guyana, where
SagtVMN
T occurs at high frequency and two studies indicate that the K76
T mutation is fixed or nearly fixed (
21,
32).
The association between alleles of
pfcrt,
pfmdr1,
dhfr, and
dhps among our samples indicates inbreeding, a bottleneck, and/or that each subsequent resistant gene was established from a population already fixed for other resistant genes. Our results for the
SagtVMN
T pfcrt lineage support clonal propagation. These eight samples carried a single quadruple mutant
pfmdr1 haplotype and always exhibited the double
dhfr mutation (N51
I/S108
N) and double
dhps mutation (A437
G/A581
G), as well as an exclusive neutral marker haplotype. Our results for
StctVMN
T also support this hypothesis, albeit with a larger starting population. Only a small portion of the
pfcrt alleles found in another study of Bolivar (CV
IET, CVM
ET, CVMN
T, and CVMNK) (
6) were seen in Sifontes, Venezuela. This lack of allelic diversity, in comparison to the rest of the state, extends to
dhfr and
dhps genotypes (
6,
19).
Clonal propagation is argued to play a significant role in the population structure of
P. falciparum in Venezuela (
42). Low transmission leads to high rates of self fertilization, and thus de facto clonal propagation. For example, with 1% recombination, markers 5 cM apart could maintain linkage disequilibrium for longer than 400 years (
2). Our results suggest that the level of transmission, genetic diversity, and migration should be considered when predicting whether drug resistance alleles will decline after new drugs are introduced.
Demographic history may also explain the strong linkage disequilibrium across multiple chromosomes.
P. falciparum populations in Sifontes, Venezuela, likely originated from a recent population expansion after a bottleneck. In 1970, the state of Bolivar had a malarious zone to the west and another in the middle of the state, yet in Sifontes, Venezuela, malaria had been eradicated (
12). By 1983,
P. falciparum reemerged in El Dorado, the capital of Sifontes, Venezuela, and presumptively acted as a founding population (
44). Since CQ and SP resistance were already present in the 1970s in Venezuela (
13,
14), it is unlikely that the drug resistance alleles originated in Sifontes, Venezuela; resistance was noted elsewhere before and during the time Sifontes was malaria free. It has been postulated that the SP resistance alleles in Bolivar came from Brazil (
6). Therefore, the limited diversity and linkage we see across all markers and genes in this population may be due to rapid expansion from a small parasite population over 20 years, resulting in a semiclonal population of multidrug-resistant parasites.
Our results suggest how multidrug-resistant
P. falciparum can develop in isolated populations with low genetic diversity. If resistance to an antimalarial (CQ) reaches fixation, then a mutant allele is at no fitness disadvantage until a fitter allele with fewer mutations appears through back mutation or migration. Successful back mutation is unlikely due to the low probability of facilitatory mutations and genetic drift. Successful migration is unlikely given this region's isolation and the lack of nearby wild-type source populations in South America. Given these restrictions, if resistance is fixed for a drug (CQ) and a second drug (SP) is introduced, then resistance to the second will occur on a background of prior resistance. Such multidrug-resistant strains will remain stable and increase in the population as inbreeding renders chromosomal reassortment ineffective. The generation of MQ resistance multicopy
pfmdr1 in CQ- and SP-resistant parasites may give resistance to additional drugs, like halofantrin, quinine, and AS (
31,
33,
34,
40), and challenge the effectiveness of ACT.
Whatever the mechanism, potentially MQ-resistant P. falciparum are evolving on a background of CQ and SP resistance in Sifontes, Venezuela. Therefore, this is a region of special concern for malaria treatment and elimination, because migrants could spread multidrug resistance to other countries. It remains to be seen whether pfmdr1 duplication in Sifontes, Venezuela, has resulted in increased levels of MQ resistance and less AS-MQ sensitivity. Future molecular surveillance will be critical for determining whether the prevalence of pfmdr1 duplication has increased since the time of our study and whether it is associated with ACT resistance.