Baseline characteristics for men with and without NSMC were similar in mean age (73.4 ± 5.5 years), BMI, smoking, education, calcium intake, and in their general health (Table ). The mean value of 25(OH)D for the entire cohort was 23 ng/mL and consistent with reported values in the persons >70 years of age in the US population[
16,
19]. Subjects with NMSC diagnosis had slightly lower levels of outdoor walking activity (
p = 0.02) and minimally higher (22 IU) daily vitamin D intake (
p = 0.05). The average age of skin cancer development was 61 ± 12 years, approximately 10 years prior to the median age at which blood for assessing vitamin D status was collected.
| Table 1Baseline characteristics of men with and without non-melanoma skin cancer (NMSC) |
As a measure of consistency, we investigated the association of known predictors to serum 25(OH)D levels in univariate analyses. As expected, increasing age was significantly associated with decreasing 25(OH)D levels (
p < 0.0001) [
16] likely due to the age-related decline in vitamin D status due to decreasing amounts of the vitamin D precursor, 7-dehydrocholesterol in the skin [
4]. Participants who resided near a clinic with higher UV exposure (San Diego) had higher levels of 25(OH)D compared to participants residing in clinics in Minnesota and Portland (
p < 0.0001) as previously reported [
16].
As a measure of internal validity, we examined the effect of a number of known risk factors for NMSC (Table ). Subjects residing in Minneapolis or Portland versus San Diego had a reduced odds of NMSC (
p < 0.004), consistent with other reports showing a lower incidence of NMSC in areas of low UV exposure [
20]. Subject age was not associated with prevalent history of NMSC, perhaps because our subjects were of an older age range (65–78 years). BMI, cigarette smoking, and outdoor walking activity were not significantly associated with history of NSMC [
2].
| Table 2Selected factors and the risk of non-melanoma skin cancer (multivariable model) |
We found that higher quintiles of serum 25(OH)D levels are associated with
decreased odds of NMSC when adjusting for age, BMI, season of blood draw, and clinic site (
Ptrend = 0.032) (Table ). This inverse association persisted in the multivariable model when cigarette smoking and outdoor walking activity were adjusted (
Ptrend = 0.044). The majority of the effect was observed among men in the highest quintile of 25(OH)D who had a 47% lower odds of NMSC (OR: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.30–0.93,
p = 0.026) compared to those in the lowest quintile in both multivariable models. A 40% reduction in the odds of NMSC was also detected when comparing Q5 versus Q1-4 (≥29.9 ng/mL) in both models. Findings were similar in analysis expressing 25(OH)D levels using standard clinical definitions [
21,
22,
23]. Subjects who had sufficient levels of 25(OH)D (>32 ng/mL) had a 43% lower odds compared to subjects with insufficient levels (OR: 0.57, 95% CI: 0.33–0.98,
p = 0.045) in the base model, and the association approached but did not reach statistical significance after further adjustment for walking and cigarette use. The association between 25(OH)D and NMSC risk was not significantly modified by age, clinic site, or walking activity (
Pinteraction > 0.05).
| Table 3Association of increasing serum 25(OH)D levels with non- melanoma skin cancer |
There were relatively few incident NMSC cases (n = 100) during the 5 year follow-up period. When we compared subjects with 25(OH)D levels ≥32 ng/mL versus those with levels <32 ng/mL, we found trends suggesting a reduction of NMSC risk (OR: 0.72; 95% CI: 0.38–1.38, p = 0.33) in both base and multivariable models although this did not reach statistical significance.