We prospectively measured serum NGAL concentrations during the first 24 hours of admission to the PICU in 143 critically ill children and 25 healthy children. Children in the healthy control group were younger than the children with either SIRS or septic shock, though the groups were otherwise similar, with the exception of a higher PRISM-III score, longer PICU LOS, increased number of organ failures, and higher mortality in the children with septic shock (). There was a significant difference in serum NGAL between healthy children (median 80 ng/mL, IQR 55.5-85.5 ng/mL), critically ill children with SIRS (median 107.5 ng/mL, IQR 89-178.5 ng/mL), and critically ill children with septic shock (median 302 ng/mL, IQR 151-570 ng/mL; p<0.001). In addition, serum NGAL was significantly increased in critically ill children with septic shock compared to critically ill children with SIRS, reflecting the greater severity of illness in these children ().
| Table 1Clinical characteristics of the study cohort. |
AKI developed in 22 out of 143 (15.4%) critically ill children - all but 4 of these critically ill children had septic shock. In general, critically ill children who developed AKI had a greater severity of illness as determined by PRISM score, median number of organ failures during the first week of hospitalization, and length of PICU stay compared to those critically ill children who did not develop AKI (). There was a non-signficant trend (p=0.08) for critically ill children with septic shock to develop AKI compared to critically ill children with SIRS. Consistent with the definition of AKI used in this cohort, serum creatinine was significantly increased in critically ill children with AKI ().
| Table 2Clinical characteristics of critically ill children who developed AKI versus those who did not develop AKI |
Serum NGAL did not correlate significantly with serum creatinine concentration on day 1 following PICU admission. AKI developed within the first 7 days of admission to the PICU (median 1 day following admission, range 1-6 days). Serum NGAL concentrations within 24 hours of PICU admission were significantly increased in these children (median, 355 ng/mL; interquartile range, 166-1322 ng/mL) compared to children who did not develop AKI (median, 186 ng/mL; interquartile range, 98-365 ng/mL; p=0.009) (). A second sample was obtained on the third day of admission to the PICU in 113 critically ill children, representing 79.0% of the total cohort. Serum NGAL measured on day 1 did not correlate with the measurement performed on day 3 of admission to the PICU. However, the difference between critically ill children with AKI (median 450 ng/mL, IQR 185-980 ng/mL) and critically ill children without AKI (median 122 ng/mL, IQR 96-345 ng/mL; p<0.001) remained significant (). shows the ROC curve of serum NGAL on admission to the PICU for the prediction of AKI. The AUC was 0.677 (95% C.I. 0.557, 0.786; p=0.008) with an optimal cutoff value of 139 ng/mL (sensitivity=86%, specificity=39%, PPV=39%, NPV=94%).
Twelve children did not survive (28-day mortality, 8.4%). Four of the twenty-two critically ill children with AKI did not survive (mortality, 18.2%) versus 8 of 121 critically ill children without AKI (mortality 6.6%), though the difference was not significant (p=0.2). There were no significant differences in serum NGAL concentrations between survivors (median, 188 ng/mL, IQR 107-395 ng/mL) and non-survivors (median, 295 ng/mL, IQR 131-933 ng/mL; p=0.2).
Using univariate regression analysis, serum NGAL (p=0.007), the diagnosis of septic shock (p=0.048), serum creatinine (p<0.001), total number of organ failures (p<0.001), and PRISM score (p=0.04) were associated with an increased risk of AKI. However, upon subsequent multivariate analysis, only serum creatinine, Odds ratio 66.8, 95% C.I. 6.9 - 640.4 (p<0.001) and total number of organ failures, Odds ratio 14.3, 95% C.I. 2.7 – 74.3 (p=0.002) remained significant predictors of AKI.