SUBJECTS
Subjects were enrolled in the Rakai-1 trial from September 2003 through September 2005 and in the Raiki-2 trial from February 2004 through December 2006. Of the 6396 subjects who were initially screened in both the Rakai-1 and Rakai-2 trials, 3003 were excluded from the analyses reported here because of preexisting positive or indeterminate HSV-2 or HIV-1 status (). For the analysis to determine HSV-2 seroconversion, we evaluated 3393 HIV-negative, HSV-2–negative, uncircumcised subjects between the ages of 15 and 49 years; of these subjects, 1684 had been randomly assigned to undergo immediate circumcision (intervention group) and 1709 to undergo circumcision in 24 months (control group). The retention rates at 24 months were 81.9% (1370 of 1673 subjects) in the intervention group and 82.0% (1395 of 1701) subjects in the control group.
For the HSV-2 study population, baseline sociodemographic characteristics and rates of sexual practices and symptoms of sexually transmitted infections were similar in the two study groups (). Subjects who were enrolled in the Rakai-2 trial had higher sexual-risk profiles at enrollment than subjects in the Rakai-1 trial because the Rakai-2 trial permitted enrollment of subjects who declined to learn their HIV status, whereas the Rakai-1 trial required receipt of HIV results. The Rakai-2 subjects were significantly older than those in the Rakai-1 trial, were more likely to be currently or previously married, had had a higher number of sexual partners in the previous year, and had had a higher rate of alcohol use with sex in the previous 6 months.
| Table 1Baseline Characteristics, Sexual Practices, and Symptoms of Sexually Transmitted Infections in the Evaluation of Herpes Simplex Virus Type 2 (HSV-2) Infection.* |
MALE CIRCUMCISION AND HSV-2 ACQUISITION
At 24 months in the intention-to-treat population, HSV-2 infection was detected in 114 subjects in the intervention group and in 153 subjects in the control group (). The cumulative probability of HSV-2 infection during the 24-month period was lower in the intervention group (7.8%) than in the control group (10.3%) with an unadjusted hazard ratio of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.60 to 0.94; P = 0.02). After adjustment for enrollment characteristics and rates of sexual practices and symptoms of sexually transmitted infections, the hazard ratio was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.56 to 0.92; P = 0.008). After adjustment for time-varying covariates during follow-up, the hazard ratio was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.62 to 0.97; P = 0.03). In the as-treated analysis, the unadjusted hazard ratio for detection of infection was 0.73 (95% CI, 0.59 to 0.93; P = 0.01); after adjustment for baseline characteristics, the hazard ratio was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.59 to 0.91; P=0.009).
In separate analyses of data from the Rakai-1 and Rakai-2 trials, male circumcision reduced the incidence of HSV-2 infection in both trials. In the Rakai-1 trial, the cumulative probability of HSV-2 infection at 24 months in the intention-to-treat population was lower in the intervention group (7.7%) than in the control group (9.9%), with an unadjusted hazard ratio of 0.77 (95% CI, 0.59 to 0.99). In the Rakai-2 trial, the cumulative probability of HSV-2 infection was 8.6% in the intervention group and 14.0% in the control group (unadjusted hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.27 to 1.27). There was no significant difference in efficacy between the Rakai-1 trial and the Rakai-2 trial (P = 0.52 for interaction).
The cumulative rates of HSV-2 seroconversion per 100 person-years, sexual practices, and symptoms of sexually transmitted infections are shown in . Overall, the incidence of HSV-2 infection was lower among circumcised subjects, and there were no significant differences in the hazard ratios in subgroup analyses. Subjects who reported symptoms of sexually transmitted infections had a higher incidence of HSV-2 infection than asymptomatic subjects. At 24 months, the cumulative prevalence rates of self-reported symptoms of genital ulcer disease were higher among subjects with HSV-2 seroconversion (10.3%) than among subjects without serocon-version (2.7%) (relative risk, 3.78; 95% CI, 2.87 to 4.98; P<0.001).
For the HSV-2 study population, rates of sexual practices that were stratified according to circumcision status are shown in . At 6 months, reported condom use was higher in the intervention group than in the control group (P<0.001), but no significant differences between the two study groups were observed thereafter. There were no significant between-group differences in the reported number of sexual partners, but nonmarital sexual relationships were more frequently reported by subjects in the intervention group than in the control group, and these differences were significant at 12 and 24 months (P = 0.04 and P = 0.03, respectively). At all follow-up intervals, rates of reported alcohol use with sexual intercourse were higher in the control group than in the intervention group, differences that were significant at 6, 12, and 24 months. Reported transactional sexual intercourse (which was defined as the exchange of sex for money or gifts) was infrequent, and rates did not differ significantly between the two study groups. Genital ulcer disease was more frequent in the control group than in the intervention group at 6 months (P<0.001), 12 months (P<0.001), and 24 months (P = 0.02). However, there were no significant differences between the two groups in reported genital discharge or dysuria.
| Table 2Rates of Sexual Risk Behavior in the Evaluation of Herpes Simplex Virus Type 2 (HSV-2) Infection.* |
MALE CIRCUMCISION AND ACQUISITION OF SYPHILIS
To determine the efficacy of circumcision in preventing syphilis, subjects who tested negative for HIV and T. pallidum infections at baseline were evaluated for active T. pallidum infection during follow-up. Enrollment characteristics were similar in the two study groups. At 24 months, syphilis was detected in 50 of 2083 subjects (2.4%) in the intervention group, as compared with 45 of 2143 subjects (2.1%) in the control group (hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.77 to 1.75; P = 0.50). Adjustment for enrollment characteristics and rates of sexual practices and symptoms of sexually transmitted infections did not significantly affect these estimates of circumcision efficacy (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.75 to 1.65; P = 0.44).
MALE CIRCUMCISION AND PREVALENCE OF HPV
Overall, baseline sociodemographic characteristics and rates of sexual practices and symptoms of sexually transmitted infections were similar in the two study groups for subjects in the HPV sub-study population (see the table in the Supplementary Appendix). At enrollment, the prevalence of high-risk HPV genotypes was 38.1% in the intervention group and 37.1% in the control group (P=0.79).
In the primary intention-to-treat analyses at 24 months, high-risk HPV genotypes were detected in 42 of 233 subjects in the intervention group (18.0%), as compared with 80 of 287 subjects in the control group (27.9%), with an unadjusted risk ratio of 0.65 (95% CI, 0.45 to 0.94; P = 0.01) (). Adjustment for enrollment characteristics and rates of sexual practices and symptoms of sexually transmitted infections did not significantly affect this estimate (adjusted risk ratio, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.90; P = 0.009). When the analysis was confined to subjects who had beta-globin–positive samples at the 24-month visit, high-risk HPV genotypes were detected in 32 of 215 subjects (14.9%) in the intervention group, as compared with 69 of 260 subjects (26.5%) in the control group (risk ratio, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.37 to 0.85; P = 0.007). At 24 months, multiple high-risk HPV genotypes were detected in 10 of 233 subjects (4.3%) in the intervention group and in 35 of 287 subjects (12.2%) in the control group (risk ratio, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.17 to 0.71; P = 0.004). The prevalence of non–high-risk HPV genotypes at the 24-month visit was also lower in the intervention group (26.2%) than in the control group (39.4%) (risk ratio, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.49 to 0.91; P = 0.01).
| Table 3Male Circumcision and the Prevalence of Human Papillomavirus (HPV) Infection.* |