Nearly all participants, daughters of NHSII nurses, are white (95%). At baseline, 12.7% were overweight (85th–95th percentile on CDC BMI charts), 4.8% were obese (>95th percentile), and 4.7% were very lean (<5th%ile). In 2001, when data were collected on our 4 exposures, 16% of the girls were aged 14–15yr, 38% were 16–17yr, 34% were 18–19yr, and 12% were 20–21yr. At that time, 52% of girls were spending 1–5 hours/week on the computer for recreation (34%, even more hours), only 31.3% were sleeping 8 or more hours/night, 36% drank coffee, and 35% drank alcohol. The mean annual BMI gains, from year 2000 (when girls were aged 13–20yr) to 2001, declined with age, except for age 18 to 19yr (+0.47kg/m2), which may reflect weight increases as girls begin college. Beginning at age 18yr, mean alcohol intakes (0.22 servings/day) exceeded mean coffee intakes (0.15 servings/day).
Correlations among the 4 exposures were highly significant, except for coffee with Internet time (R=+0.009, p=0.54), demonstrating the importance of joint multivariate analyses of these exposures in relation to weight gain. The other correlations (all P<0.0001) were: Internet with sleep R=−0.093, Internet with alcohol R=+0.086, sleep with coffee R=−0.102, sleep with alcohol R=−0.116, and coffee with alcohol R=+0.111.
Girls spending more time on the Internet had significantly greater BMI increases during the same year (, top row), whether Internet time was measured categorically (6–10hrs/wk and 16+hrs/week) or continuously (hours/day). When we further included past year physical activity and TV/videos/computer-games in the model, the Internet effect was weaker. Adjusting for TV may be over-control as girls watch television at the same time as checking email, Instant Messaging or surfing the Internet. For girls aged 18+ years, the Internet effects were further weakened and not statistically significant. Older girls are likely also spending substantial non-recreational time on the computer for college or employment (data not collected), which may have diminished our estimates.
| TABLE IPast-yr recreational Internet use (2001 report) and its estimated association (β, se) with BMI change (kg/m2), 2000 to 2001. Models of categorical Internet time appear in middle 5 columns, and continuous Internet models are on right. Models adjust (more ...) |
Associations between sleep and BMI gain were summarized similarly (). Estimates shown in the top row were obtained from the same two multivariate models that provided estimates for , , and . A significant inverse trend was present even after adjusting for physical activity and TV/videos/computer-games. The strongest effects were on the older girls (18+). Those who slept 5 or fewer hours/night gained significantly more BMI (+0.322 kg/m2) during the year compared with those sleeping 8 hours.
| TABLE IIUsual sleep (hours/night), reported in 2001, and its estimated association (β, se) with BMI change (kg/m2) from 2000 to 2001. Models of categorical sleep time appear in middle five columns, and continuous sleep models are on right. Models adjust (more ...) |
| TABLE IIIPast-yr coffee intake (not decaf, 2001 report) and its estimated association (β, se) with BMI change (kg/m2), 2000 to 2001. Models of categorical coffee intake appear in middle five columns, and continuous coffee models are on right. Models adjust (more ...) |
| TABLE IVPast-yr alcohol consumption (2001 report) and its estimated association (β, se) with BMI change (kg/m2), 2000 to 2001. Models of categorical alcohol intake appear in middle three columns, and continuous alcohol models appear on far right. Models (more ...) |
None of the coffee models () provided evidence that drinking coffee promotes weight gain. In fact, though not significant, the bulk of the evidence (see 5+cups/week and continuous model estimates) suggested protection against weight gain.
Girls who typically consumed 2+servings/week of alcoholic beverages gained significantly more weight than those who consumed the least (). Statistically significant linear trends were observed, as well. For the older girls (18+yrs), the estimated effect (β =+0.115) for the 2+servings/week group, though only marginally significant (p<0.07), was larger than the significant effect (β=+0.108) from the full group of girls (both older and younger than 18yr).
To illustrate the effect of modifying all 4 exposures simultaneously, we compare 2 hypothetical girls who are identical (age 19, same prior BMI, same physical activity and same TV/videos/computer-games) except in the four exposures. One girl had no recreational Internet time, slept 8 hours nightly, consumed no alcohol, and drank a cup of coffee daily. The other girl was on the Internet 6–10 hours/week, slept 5 hours/night, drank no coffee but regularly consumed 2+ alcohol servings/week. The latter girl gained (according to the categorical exposures model, bottom of , , , and ) +0.65 more BMI over 1 year. For a 19-yr-old of average height and weight, this represents a nearly 4 pound weight gain.