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J Natl Med Assoc. 1979 July; 71(7): 661–664.
PMCID: PMC2537291

Predicting Minority Student Performance in the First Medical School Year


Impressions and anecdotal evidence have raised concerns that traditional cognitive measures of past performance may not be predictive of the performance among minority students in medical school. This study assessed the relationship between nine objective measures and actual first year academic performance for cohorts of minority students enrolled in a single medical school between 1973 and 1976.

The findings support previous impressions that objective measures together explain less than half of the variance in academic performance. Furthermore, the cumulative undergraduate college average and the competitiveness of the undergraduate college are consistently the strongest predictors of academic performance among this group.

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Selected References

These references are in PubMed. This may not be the complete list of references from this article.
  • Johnson DG, Smith VC, Jr, Tarnoff SL. Recruitment and progress of minority medical school entrants 1970-1972. J Med Educ. 1975 Jul;50(7):713–755. [PubMed]
  • Evans DA, Jones PK, Wortman RA, Jackson EB., Jr Traditional criteria as predictors of minority student success in medical school. J Med Educ. 1975 Oct;50(10):934–939. [PubMed]

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