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I have three concerns with regard to the editorial by Fitzmaurice and Murray.1 Firstly, a recent meta-analysis on anticoagulant prophylaxis to prevent symptomatic venous thromboembolism (VTE) in 19958 hospitalised medical patients showed only modest benefit.2 The numbers needed to treat were 345 (absolute risk reduction 0.29%) to prevent one pulmonary embolism (PE) and 400 (0.25%) to prevent a fatal PE. The difference in symptomatic DVT prevention did not reach significance, and neither did an increase in major bleeding (0.14% absolute increase). Before rushing to use prophylactic anticoagulants in medical patients, clinicians should remember this and target only high risk medical patients (as highlighted in the table1).
Secondly, Fitzmaurice and Murray report that VTE causes 25000 potentially preventable deaths. However, this is merely an estimate that is based on extrapolation from European data.3 The authors of the Department of Health's report indicate that the data on VTE in hospital patients are not sufficiently robust to enable secure conclusions to be drawn and the department is urged to initiate research to establish an accurate measure of death from VTE.3 Furthermore, the meta-analysis indicated that anticoagulant prophylaxis had no effect on all cause mortality.3
Thirdly, to date, no studies have assessed the cost effectiveness of anticoagulant prophylaxis to prevent symptomatic VTE in hospitalised patients.2 The authors of the meta-analysis comment that because anticoagulant prophylaxis in medical inpatients has potential harm, increases healthcare costs, and is associated with modest treatment benefit in terms of absolute risk reduction, its use should be selective and limited to higher risk medical patients. Perhaps this is why NICE has produced a report only in surgical patients.4
Competing interests: None declared.