Primary carcinomas of the extrahepatic biliary system (comprising extrahepatic bile ducts, gall bladder, and ampulla of Vater) are important health problems worldwide, and their management presents great challenges to the hepatobiliary specialist. Carcinoma of the ampulla of Vater is a relatively uncommon tumour, which accounts for approximately 6–7% of periampullary tumours and 0.2% of gastrointestinal tract malignancies,
1 with age standardised incidence rates of 3.8/1000 000 for men and 2.7/1000 000 for women.
2 Incidence rates have increased over time in men from 1.9 during the period 1976–1980 to 5.9 during the period 1991–1995, whereas in women they have remained stable.
2 Five year relative survival rates vary from 72.8% in TNM stage I cancers to 6.6% in TNM stage IV cancers, and most studies report five year survival rates of 30–50% in resected patients.
3–5 The overall rates of resection range between 48.1% and 82.1%.
2,5 Operative mortality rates range from 1.5% to 25%, and studies since 1990 have reported mortality rates below 8%.
2,6–8“There is a need for a better understanding of the biology of ampullary adenocarcinoma and for the identification of potential prognostic factors and clinically relevant molecular targets for treatment”
The prognosis for patients with tumours of the ampulla of Vater is better than for other periampullary tumours. The identification of independent prognostic factors in ampullary tumours has been limited by the small numbers of tumours and a lack of pathological review. In a survey from the Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, USA, factors significantly correlated with improved survival were resection (p < 0.01), and in resected tumours, negative nodes (p

=

0.04) and negative margins (p

=

0.02) independently predicted improved survival.
5 In that study, when margins, differentiation, and nodal status were examined as covariates by Cox regression, only nodal status and margins were independently correlated with survival. Perineural invasion, histological subtype, and vascular invasion did not reach significance by univariate analysis. In a multivariate analysis performed by Benhamiche
et al, stage at diagnosis remained the major prognostic factor (p < 0.01).
2 In contrast, several surveys report that the only significant and independent prognostic factor for ampullary cancer is the local spread of the tumour (T stage), whereas the predictive value of tumour grade and lymph nodes metastases is still controversial.
9–11 Nevertheless, independently from local spread, any cancer stage includes both longterm survivors and short-term survivors, and there is a lack of clinical or histopathological factors able to predict survival.
There is undoubtedly a need for additional prognostic markers, and the molecular anomalies involved in the tumour process may have the potential to represent new significant prognostic factors. Many studies have shown that accumulations of molecular abnormalities of oncogenes, tumour suppressor genes, or growth factors occur during tumorigenesis and tumour progression in ampullary cancer. In several tumour types, such as in breast, lung, colon and gastric cancers, p53 mutations are associated with a poor prognosis.
12–15 Only a few studies have correlated p53 expression and survival in ampullary tumours.
16–19 In these reports, p53 overexpression was evaluated during the progression of carcinoma and the relation between p53 expression and prognosis was analysed. In ampullary carcinoma, p53 abnormality occurs during malignant transformation from adenoma and continues during tumour progression in carcinoma, but all studies failed to demonstrate a possible role for p53 in predicting survival.
16–19 Only Park
et al reported that clinical prognosis was worse in patients with p53 overexpression than in those lacking p53 expression.
17Some reports aimed to demonstrate a role of proliferating indexes, such as Ki-67, proliferating cell nuclear antigen, the percentage of cells in phase S, and DNA content, in predicting survival.
18,20,21 In a multivariate analysis, Ajiki
et al showed that proliferating cell nuclear antigen expression in ampullary tumours independently contributes to survival (p < 0.05).
16 All the other proliferating indexes failed to show a significant correlation with prognosis.
Scarpa
et al investigated whether allelic loses (loss of heterozygosity) of chromosomes 17p and 18q may be of prognostic value in multivariate survival analysis.
22 The authors examined 53 ampullary cancers for chromosome 17p and 18q loss of heterozygosity using microsatellite markers and DNA from paraffin wax embedded tumours. Multivariate survival analysis included age, sex, tumour size, macroscopic appearance, grade of differentiation, T stage, lymph node metastasis, and chromosome 17p and 18q status. The five year survival rates for chromosome 17p retention and 17p loss were 80% and 7%, respectively. Chromosome 17p status was an independent prognostic factor among patients with ampullary cancers at the same stage. The same research group
23 evaluated the role of microsatellite instability in ampullary cancer and showed that replication error negative (absence of microsatellite instability) cancers had a significantly worse prognosis, irrespective of the stage at diagnosis. Therefore, these studies suggested that molecular anomalies might prove useful in discerning prognosis within cancers at the same stage. Several other studies have aimed to evaluate the prognostic role of several molecular parameters (such as cyclooxygenase 2 expression, cyclin D1, k-ras mutation, intratumorous microvessel density, telomerase activity, and survivin expression) in periampullary cancers.
24–29 All these molecular factors failed to show a significant correlation with survival, with the exception of cyclin D1. Increased cyclin D1 expression was seen in 17 of 30 carcinomas of the ampulla of Vater, and significantly correlated with tumour cell proliferation and worse clinical outcome.
25Thus, there is a need for a better understanding of the biology of ampullary adenocarcinoma and for the identification of potential prognostic factors and clinically relevant molecular targets for treatment. For this reason, we examined for the first time the possible prognostic relevance of Bax, Bcl-2, and p53 protein expression, and of the apoptotic index, in a large cohort of uniformly treated patients with radically resected ampullary cancer.