The latitudinal gradient in biodiversity offers an excellent example. Latitudinal gradients in species richness are general across the current biota as well as across space and time (
Willig et al. 2003;
Hillebrand 2004). Moreover, it has been solidly demonstrated that species richness can be predicted by the underlying correlates of latitude such as productivity, precipitation, temperature and seasonality to name only a few (
Currie 1991;
Badgley & Fox 2000;
Hawkins et al. 2003a). Nonetheless, these environmental variables do not produce species
per se (
Weins & Donoghue 2004), but may only enhance underlying differences in diversification that contribute to contemporary latitudinal gradients in species richness. At the least, species originate in particular areas and this strongly influences the location of their geographical distributions. Moreover, if diversification rates are spatially variable along a latitudinal gradient, this could contribute substantially to contemporary patterns of biodiversity (
Cardillo 1999;
Cardillo et al. 2005).
Two similar concepts (centre of origin hypothesis (
Hennig 1979;
Ricklefs & Schluter 1993), time-for-speciation hypothesis (
Stephens & Wiens 2003)) propose a historical mechanism that can produce gradients of species richness. These hypotheses propose that the area occupied by the ancestor of a monophyletic group represents its centre of origin and diversification results from the production of new taxa, some of which disperse and diversify away from the centre. After sufficient time, a diversity gradient develops in which species richness is greatest toward the centre of the range of the higher taxon and decreases toward the periphery. Moreover, dispersal from a productive (in terms of the origination of new taxa) origin accompanied by added speciation as species colonize and adapt to new regions results in gradients of both species richness and the phylogenetic characteristics of taxa. Historically, testing for such centres of origin has been problematic. For example, the actual location of a centre may be obscure and different from taxon to taxon (
Moritz et al. 2000). Nonetheless, the measurement of the actual expansion does not require precise identification of the centre of origin because the ‘genetic footprint’ of such expansion is often detectable with modern molecular techniques (
Lessa et al. 2003).
These two similar hypotheses (e.g. centre of origin hypothesis, time-for-speciation hypothesis) provide five testable predictions: (i) species richness declines with proximity to the edge of the range of the higher taxon; (ii) toward the edge, taxa continuously enter new habitats and evolve to new selective regimes, thereby enhancing rates of molecular evolution (
Bromham 2003) and ultimately speciation. To this end, relative rates of evolution measured as average sequence divergence between taxa and the putative ancestor of the entire clade should be higher toward the edge than toward the centre of the higher taxon's geographical distribution; (iii) as a result, the average age of taxa on the edge should be lower than toward the centre. Finally, because the duration of diversification is longer toward the centre than toward the edge, both primitive and derived taxa should co-occur toward the centre and primarily derived taxa should co-occur toward the periphery. Accordingly, (iv) the variance of ages; and (v) the variance of sequence divergences should decrease toward the periphery of the range of the higher taxon. Confirmation of these predictions could provide strong evidence for a historical component to variation in species richness along a particular environmental gradient. Moreover, niche conservatism will only enhance such a process (
Weins & Graham 2005) if the environmental gradient is sufficiently long so as to span different selection regimes.
Although attempts have been made to evaluate the influence of historical phenomena on contemporary gradients of diversity, few (
Brown 1988;
Rohde 1992;
Ricklefs & Schluter 1993;
Brown & Lomolino 1998;
Weins 2004;
Weins & Donoghue 2004;
Weins & Graham 2005) have proposed a mechanism whereby the diversification of taxa through time could lead to commonly described latitudinal gradients in species richness (i.e. tropical conservatism hypothesis). If particular higher taxa are monophyletic and of tropical origin and diversify along latitudinal gradients according to a historical process such as the one presented, then the five aforementioned predictions should hold with respect to distance from the equator and should at least in part account for latitudinal gradients in the species richness of taxa of tropical origin.
Phylogenetic approaches can enlighten understanding of historical diversification that has resulted in the contemporary biota (
Moritz et al. 2000;
Lessa et al. 2003). Moreover, phylogenies combined with spatial variation in species composition can be used to infer historical processes and ultimately the formation of contemporary patterns of biodiversity. Indeed, biodiversity is not distributed randomly across the tree of life. Similarly, ecological diversity is not uniformly distributed in terms of phylogeny. For bats, a few clades represent disproportionate amounts of the ecological diversity of the entire order (
Simmons & Conway 2003). The best example is of the New World bat family Phyllostomidae. The oldest known fossils from this family are from the Miocene of Colombia suggesting a tropical origin (
Savage 1951;
Czaplewski 1997;
Jones et al. 2005). Moreover, this family represents a highly diverse group that comprises approximately 53 genera and 141 species (
Wetterer et al. 2000); more than half of all bats found in the continental New World. Members of Phyllostomidae exhibit dietary specializations for insectivory, frugivory, carnivory, nectarivory and sanguinivory (
Wilson 1975). Consequently, this family exhibits more morphological diversity than any other family level group of mammals (
Baker et al. 2003). Indeed, understanding this diversity, in particular its mechanistic basis, has been an area of active research.
Although phyllostomids are by far the most-studied family of bats from a phylogenetic perspective (
Jones et al. 2002), such elevated diversity has made the determination of systematic relationships problematic for at least the last century (
Baker et al. 2003). Two recent phylogenies (
Baker et al. 2003) based on independently evolving genomes, the
RAG2 nuclear gene and combined 12S RNA, tRNA
VAL and 16S rRNA mitochondrial genes, provide a digenomically congruent reconstruction of the evolution of this species-rich and ecologically diverse family. Such congruence provides powerful inference regarding systematic relationships of taxa and presents a promising baseline from which to explore the geographical diversification of taxa and resultant formation of latitudinal gradients in species richness. Herein, I evaluate a quantitative model integrating predictions of both the centre of origin hypothesis and the time-for-speciation hypothesis and apply this model to better understand the diversification of New World leaf-nosed bats along latitudinal gradients.