Mutations in the
K-ras oncogene are rare in the normal disease-free pancreas [
13]. Their frequency does not seem to exceed 13% [
15], whereas it reaches 80% in PDAC [
24]. Our meta-analysis demonstrated that the frequency of
K-ras mutations in PanIN lesions corresponds to their grade of dysplasia, with PanIN-2 and PanIN-3 lesions displaying a significantly higher frequency (87%) than PanIN-1A (36%) (). The second major finding was the correlation of K-ras positivity in PanINs with the duration of CP.
We reviewed 15 studies and reclassified 1519 duct lesions. In most studies, the duct lesions could be easily reclassified, particularly when high-quality illustrations were provided. Problems arose in about 15% of the studies. They were due to uncommon phrasing of histopathologic findings and concerned mostly the distinction of PanIN-2 lesions from PanIN-3 lesions. Because of this occasional uncertainty and the small total numbers of PanIN-2 and PanIN-3 lesions reviewed, the statistical analysis was performed on a combined PanIN-2/PanIN-3 group.
In an earlier study on the sensitivity of the molecular method used for the detection of
K-ras mutations and the rate of positive samples [
15], we already found that so-called ME-PCR will result in higher rates of K-ras-positive samples than plain PCR. This study confirmed this result and additionally showed that the high sensitivity of the ME-PCR method was particularly evident in the low-grade PanINs. Whether the results obtained with ME-PCR reflects the
K-ras mutation status better than plain PCR has been widely debated during recent years [
25]. However, in order to avoid false-positive results as far as possible, the use of plain PCR techniques with subsequent DNA sequencing appears to be the method of choice.
Do
K-ras mutations have a role as a diagnostic marker of PDAC? Considering the methodological ambiguities and the demonstration of K-ras positivity not only in CP but also in the disease-free pancreas [
12,13,26,27], the detection of a
K-ras mutation in a patient does not establish the diagnosis of PDAC. However, the results of our meta-analysis show that a
K-ras mutation may be indicative of the development of a PDAC, particularly in patients with CP. The latter notion would be supported by our data that
K-ras mutations were only found in CP of more than 3 years' duration. If, in addition, the patient is a smoker, the risk would further increase. Under these conditions as well as in surveillance programs for patients with hereditary pancreatitis and familial pancreatic carcinoma [
28], K-ras analysis should be recommended.
This study clearly demonstrated that in PanINs from patients with PDAC, the gradual increase in K-ras positivity correlated with the grade of dysplasia. Other investigations revealed a rising incidence of LOH for p16, p53, and DPC4/SMAD4 with increasing PanIN grades [
17,29]. In addition, shortened telomeres have been demonstrated in PanIN lesions of all grades [
30] and were thought to predispose PanINs to accumulate progressive chromosomal abnormalities. Finally,
BRCA2 and
maspin, two tumor-suppressor genes known to also be involved in breast tumorigenesis, were found to be inactivated in PanIN-3 lesions [
31,32]. Based on these findings [
24,33–37], a progression model for genetic alteration in PanINs has been proposed. In this model, it is suggested that
K-ras mutations occur early in the evolution of PanINs [
38].
Recently, new experimental evidence for the tumorigenic potential of the
ras oncogene was provided. Immortalization of bovine pancreatic duct cells from the adult pancreas with SV40 large-T and further transfection of mutated
K-ras resulted in a malignant phenotype. Upon transplantation into nude mice, PDACs were formed [
39]. In a three-step model, transfection of activated human telomerase (hTERT), SV40 large-T plus, and mutated
H-ras drove human embryonic kidney cells and fibroblasts into malignancy [
40]. More recently, in a study employing a conditionally transgenic mouse model for K-ras, typical PanINs were induced in animals with spontaneous progression to invasive ductal adenocarcinoma [
41]. Taken together, these data demonstrate that
ras does indeed play an important role in tumorigenesis and thus also in the pathogenesis of both PanINs and PDAC. How, precisely, the activated K-ras alters the cell machinery toward malignancy is not yet clear, but recent studies suggest that K-ras stimulates cell proliferation rather than inhibits apoptosis [
36,42].
What may induce
K-ras mutations in the pancreas? As causes of
K-ras mutations, smoking and also coffee consumption have been discussed [
27,43,44]. Whether the same factors may also play a role in the induction of PanINs is not known, but because PanIN-1 lesions may occur early in life [
13,45], it is possible that such K-ras-positive PanIN-1 lesions may exist for a long time. Eventually, one of them is suddenly transformed into a higher-degree PanIN and invasive PDAC by accidental accumulation of additional genetic events genes such as
p16, p53, and
SMAD4/DPC4. Neither the time axis of the progression nor the trigger for these additional mutations is known. Recent findings may provide a clue, at least in alcoholic CP: ethanol has a dramatic synergistic effect with smoking on the formation of acetaldehyde [
46]. Acetaldehyde in turn generates reactive oxygen and nitrogen species [
47], resulting in reactive aldehydes, which are known to induce DNA adducts and mutations [
48]. Some of the reactive aldehydes have been detected in CP already [
49]. Alkylating agents may induce specific
K-ras mutations, namely G-A transitions, as shown in those heavy smokers in the absence of histologic lesions [
27]. Besides alkylating agents, methylating agents and organic solvents have been demonstrated to induce
K-ras mutations. Analyzing patients with PDAC and occupational risks, these G-A transitions could be associated with polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons and gasoline engine exhausts [
50]. For methylating agents, the proposed mechanism lies in the reduction of
O6-alkyl guanine DNA-alkyltransferase (MGMT), as shown in colorectal adenomas [
51]. Reduced MGMT has also been described in PDAC [
52]. The presumably long phase after the first injury (K-ras) that makes the pancreatic duct epithelium receptive to malignant transformation but unaltered—if not injured for a second time—can be deemed as a “dance on the volcano” that is harmless for most people but may be fatal for a few [
53].
In summary, using the new PanIN system, we reclassified and then compared a large number of preneoplastic lesions of varying grades in published reports. In PanINs associated with PDAC, we found unambiguous evidence of a stepwise increase in K-ras mutations with increasing grade of dysplasia. We also found that the duration of CP was significantly longer in K-ras-positive than in K-ras-negative patients and that the minimum duration of CP associated with K-ras positivity was 3 years. These findings suggest that K-ras mutations play an important role in the evolution of PanINs and PDAC. However, detection of K-ras mutations as the only test cannot be recommended as a screening tool for PDAC but could be useful in combination with cytology.